Ike Will Threaten Texas-Arkansas

Here's the 11am (EDT) wording from the NHC.
THE AIRCRAFT REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE SMALL INNER EYE IS ERODING AS
OUTER BANDS SURROUNDING THIS FEATURE ARE BECOMING BETTER DEFINED.
THIS COULD LIMIT RAPID DEVELOPMENT IN THE VERY NEAR TERM.
HOWEVER...THE UPPER AIR PATTERN IS GOING TO BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS...AND NOT MUCH LESS FAVORABLE
THEREAFTER. IN ADDITION...THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES IKE OVER SOME
WARM GULF EDDIES. WHILE THERE IS SOME DRY AIR IN THE WESTERN
GULF...AND INDEED SOME OF THAT IS NEAR THE CORE RIGHT NOW...THE
LARGE SIZE OF THE CIRCULATION AND OUTER BANDING SUGGESTS THAT IKE
SHOULD BE FAIRLY EFFECTIVE IN FIGHTING OFF THESE NEGATIVE EFFECTS.
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSER TO THE GFDL AND HWRF SOLUTIONS THAN
THE SHIPS/LGEM GUIDANCE.

The Link

If you're familiar with these type of postings, you'll know that they make conservative predictions. They're not in the business to sell news. They try their best not to cry wolf because when they really do need to sound the alarm, they want to people to believe them.

Bottom line, they're predicting a major cane will hit the coast 72hrs from now. When you get that close to impact, the odds are very high that they will be correct.

The other concern too is that the computer models are having a hard time figuring out when Ike will make a turn to the north. It could be after landfall, or it could be a few hours before, which would put him in either Corpus or near Galveston. That would be very ugly if that happens.
 
just some things i've noticed in this thread...

1) seriously ppl, it's not about the weather in Austin. it's about the role Austin will play in supporting coastal cities effected by the storm.

2) non-refundable rooms don't exist. DO NOT let them tell you you can't cancel or change your reservation. every hotel has policies in place with storms and accessing the hotel. if you can't fly in b/c of weather, they can't charge you. if they are shutting down Austin, they can't charge you. talk to a manager. document it all. if they still refuse, Monday morning call your credit card company and tell them the situation with details. do it asap

3) there are some real "men" on this board

4) if you're coming from out of town, book a new hotel room for the weekend of the 27th now. stop bitching that they're going to be full. i saw someone just booked a room and had no problems. if it's really that bad, you can rent my extra room out. i'll be willing to make room in my basement as well. i'll clean it out and throw the air mattress down there for you.
 
I just booked a room at the Spring Hill Suites - Northwest for the 26th - 28th, as a backup plan.

2 dbl bed suite for $129.00 / night. Fully cancelable.

Sure, it wouldn't be my first option for a place to stay, but there are certainly hotels available in Austin that weekend.....just not where people may be used to staying.
 
It would be fun if they moved it to Dallas (Would save me the trouble of driving down), but I think Texas Stadium would hold more than the Cotton Bowl.



wtf.gif

Brilliant statement! the Cotton Bowl hold more seating than Texas Stadium but I'm sure Jerry Jones wouldn't care if the game were in Irving....

We're not idiots here and nobody wants anybody to die or get hurt...I doubt this thing holds together but unfortunately DeLoss will dump the game when perry shut's everything down.

Our governor will have the final say so ultimately.
 
There are also plenty of hotels along the IH35 corridor in Round Rock, Georgetown and south towards San Marcos. Rooms will not be a problem and if they are we will just cancel the ACL fest. It sucks anyway.
biggrin.gif
 
Just for reference, Texas Stadium seats in the 65K range. The Cotton Bowl seated 80K+ last year, and this year will be something like 92K. The Cotton Bowl seats many more than Texas Stadium, and always has.

Anyway, the logistics to move the game to Dallas would be too difficult. It will be postponed or canceled, those are the only options.
 
I've booked 2 rooms at the SpringHill Suites in Round Rock for 2 nights...Sept 26th and 27th at $79 each.

Some of the available choices may not be people's "first choices", but there is availability. Might start booking now, you can always cancel if need be, well before any deadline.
 
Kirk Bohls: Latest is UT is monitoring the weather, nowhere close to a decision. A decision will probably come tomorrow. That's just in as of 11:16 a.m.
 
That's what I was just told by someone (can't remember his name) at the AAS. No decision has been made, but the athletic department will likely make a decision by tomorrow. The guy I spoke with thinks the game will be rescheduled.
 
Today would be nice, but it's too early to tell. Ike may pull a "Rita" and the game could get cancelled on a lovely day. Sure hope they play it, and we have electricity in Houston to watch it. Hook 'em.
 
I heard it as a fact, but I don't have total confidence in my source.

I agree that TODAY is the day to make the call.

It almost seems like a no-brainer, and can't imagine what the hold-up is.

If the Ark. football team needs a fancy hotel, they can get one in San Antonio.
 
I don't think that making a decision and announcing it tomorrow would be a "disaster."

It would certainly affect a small percentage of people that need to travel on Thursday, but the majority of people-- including the opponent's team and entourage as well as the television crews and staff-- will be traveling on Friday and Saturday, so it makes the most sense to wait as long as possible, with as much information as possible, before making the decision.

Any decision made today could ONLY be to postpone/cancel, whereas a decision made tomorrow, with more and better information, could possibly be to play as planned or perhaps make some minor adjustment like changing the kickoff time, if the hurricane tracks somewhere unexpected.
 
I am so pissed right now...I've been looking forward to this game for two years and now this frickin Hurricane screws up
a great weekend for everyone except those idiots in Arkansas!

I bet your *** their athletic department decides they don't want to risk rescheduling the game....especially due to their upcoming conference schedule...

That means we get one game UP THERE in 2009...********!
 
It's obvious that several of you have no first-hand experience with large-scale evacuations.

Plain and simple, even a perfectly run evacuation is incredibly traumatic on even the most "well-adjusted" people, not to mention those with special needs.

It is imperative that a major metropolitan area, and the highways leading to that area, be as free and clear from "auxiliary congestion".

And, as much as a die-hard and devoted Longhorn fan as I am, and one who travels 250 miles each way to attend practically every home game...........when compared to an evacuation from a major hurricane, a football game, and the hotel rooms, highways and roadways that are filled because of it is considered "auxiliary congestion".

The University would be taking a HUGE step toward easing the evacuation strain by rescheduling the game, and announcing it TODAY.
 
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