2022 House and Senate election

LOL - read some of the comments to the Trafalgar tweet. Dems are denial. It doesn’t matter how accurate is the poll, it matters that it is close!
 
I saw the WA poll. The battlegrounds now are that race, OR MI NY Governors races, and NH Senate. The GOP seats including PA are out of reach, and AR and GA both moving to GOP. NV is over too.
 
I do think the King County Fraud Machine will pull it out for the empty headed Murray. Smiley needs to win by over 1% to avoid the recount till the Democrat wins effect.
 
You can smell the panic now. About 6 months too late. What’s next? Telling black folks the GOP will put you back in chains?


 
That worked on Mittens but it’s a different Republican party now compared to him, the Spachcock (spineless chicken) Paul Ryan, Jeb!, Bohner the drunk, McShitStain, or any of the other quitters, losers, and controlled opposition of the past 15 years.
 
mchammer said:
You can smell the panic now. About 6 months too late. What’s next? Telling black folks the GOP will put you back in chains?


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Maybe he should start a thread on a political board titled Ron Johnson Hates Puppies.

Seriously, Obama has become more a joke now than ever. That speech was laughable
 
Please note that even in the Dem polls, their candidates are rarely over 50%. In fact, in the RCP average poll numbers, the Dem candidates are under 50% in all the races discussed in this thread. If a Dem wins, it’s likely a 1% point win, a la (49.5-48.5-2.0 ind).
 
For NM 2nd congressional district, the spread was 12 points between an Emerson poll and the NYT/Siena poll. The results in a week are going to be crazy. Yes, some results will be within 2-3 points (I.e., the MOE) of the poll averages, but some will be off 10-12 points.
 
mchammer said:
For NM 2nd congressional district, the spread was 12 points between an Emerson poll and the NYT/Siena poll. The results in a week are going to be crazy. Yes, some results will be within 2-3 points (I.e., the MOE) of the poll averages, but some will be off 10-12 points.
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Another race where the polls have wide variance:

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Mr. Deez said:
That could actually make a difference in this race, because for a Libertarian, Victor was actually a pretty good candidate.
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The ironic thing is that Masters is much better libertarian than Victor was. As a libertarian I would much rather see Blake in office. Also several leaders in the LP talked to Victor about this. One of them I saw in Austin do a comedy show last month.
 
mchammer said:
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1. No winning candidate was crappy.

2. His definition of a crappy candidate - one with a popularist focus for the working class, is the future of the Republican Party, whether he and his band of GOP Inc like it ir not.

3. McLaughlin is the very definition of the term “cukservative”. He’d rather have seen Jeb! lose than Trump win. His dream candidate would be one with the same ability to connect with, and advocate for the working class, as say Mittens or Paul “Spatchcock” Ryan.
 
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mchammer said:
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What many people don’t realize about Gereymandering is that it’s not some magic technique that lets you win every election cycle.

The goal is Gerrymandering is to pool your opponent’s usual voters into a few districts, where they in effect waste votes, as they will win those districts 70-30 or 80-20. Then you have a lot of districts that your side wins 52-48.

The danger to this is that when your side is very unpopular, has caused skyrocketing inflation, lets criminals out of jail to prey on the taxpayer, and has a national leader who wears and soils into a diaper, you’re likely to lose those 52-48 seats.

The Democrats desperately wanted to hold onto the House, so they Gerrymandered more seats 52-48 that they will lose, instead of fewer seats at say 55-45 that they could probably hold. So in their greed to hold the House, they’ll end up losing far more seats than if they’d tried a less risky strategy.
 
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