2020 Presidential Election: let the jockeying commence

Vol Horn 4 Life said:
I've been all over the southern half of Colorado in the past few months. That state is still red but controlled by Denver or as Duck says the voter fraud or possibly both. Biden signs are practically non existent and when I talk with people everyone is pro Trump. They all hate the Californians who have moved in and turned the state blue.
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Forty years ago they hated Texans for different reasons. We owned much of it and they didn't like our "style"
 
Watchin Trump in AZ
He just introduced McCarthy who Trump said would be the next House Speaker
Mccarthy said when he took the gavel he would not bang Nancy with it but would gavel in a newer era
NIgel on now
 
Garmel said:
Not even in Florida?
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Not sure about FL, but generally, it's a statistical inference, based upon party affiliation, where this is known. IMO, this leads to more accurate predictions than polling. It did in 2016. I relayed quite a bit of that info in the 2016 election thread but it was largely ignored.

I think most states can begin processing them early, but they are not allowed to actually tabulate votes early. "Processing" meaning open the envelope, check its validity, maybe look at signatures - things of this nature. But I think the vast majority cannot start tabulating votes until the actual day of the election
 
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Come on, Minnesota.

Elc5AhCXIAEn45F
 
Trump knows how to talk to the people/ Obama did too
Where is Biden?
Now Trump is boogying to YMCA
How many hundreds of thousands have attended his rallies and watched?
Where is Biden?
 
Horn6721 said:
...Now Trump is boogying to YMCA...
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Cracks me up every time.
Some gay folks are upset about the "cultural misappropriation" of their "national anthem." But I think its time for them to stop always being so prissy about everything, loosen up and have some fun. And Trump, to sort of "drive the point home" even more, has Elton John as his number two rally song. Heh
 
Joe Fan said:
Reps keep eroding the EV Dem lead there
3 days ago, was 100k+, now just +75k
And many Rs vote on election day there
Something else about this rally in AZ. It will be in Bullhead City, which is almost as much southern NV as it is northern AZ. Translation, it is Trump on offense as much as defense
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Arizona update
The Dem lead in EV shrank by another 4,000 this afternoon
Now ~71k total
At this rate, the Dem EV lead could easily be down near D+30k by election day, in a state which usually has a large R in-person voting presence

Still too close to call, but completely within range for an R-win and hold of the Senate seat
 
Joe Fan said:
Nevada
As of this am, the Dem EV lead was 50k, and sliding
Dems probably need to be 80K+ on election day to hold off the R surge
They are being hurt this time by lack of (a) students and (b) casino workers
Raising the odds they will try to cheat their way to a win
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Some more Nevada, a local paper
click once to enlarge

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The early voting blog
 
Pennsylvania
While over 50% of the EVs have been by Dems, only about a third of total voters have voted early
I see it as good news for Trump
 
Joe Fan said:
Not sure about FL, but generally, it's a statistical inference, based upon party affiliation, where this is known. IMO, this leads to more accurate predictions than polling. It did in 2016. I relayed quite a bit of that info in the 2016 election thread but it was largely ignored.

I think most states can begin processing them early, but they are not allowed to actually tabulate votes early. "Processing" meaning open the envelope, check its validity, maybe look at signatures - things of this nature. But I think the vast majority cannot start tabulating votes until the actual day of the election
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Correct but PA will not process until after the other votes are counted.
 
Joe Fan said:
Some more Nevada, a local paper
click once to enlarge
ElaxRDlWkAAGCKg

Ela0r1VXEAYgMGG

The early voting blog
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Apparently the rural vote in Nevada is coming in relatively huge for Trump
The 2016 rural Nev vote was +58k Trump
State Dems originally thought he might get up to +70k this time
Now it looks more like +80k
State Dems voicing concern now - Hillary won 2016 by ~27k
This one is going to be close, but Trump will have a good shot
 
Story on the repercussions of the recent SCOTUS decision regarding Penn

“I reluctantly conclude that there is simply not enough time at this late date to decide the question before the election,” Alito wrote in his opinion. Nevertheless, he added that the case “remains before us” and could be decided “under a shortened schedule” after the election takes place.

The upshot of Alito’s opinion: Pennsylvania will conduct its election. Ballots that arrive before Election Day will most likely be counted. But ballots that arrive during the three-day window that follows may still be tossed out.​

The Supreme Court’s latest decision looks like a win for voting rights. It’s really a threat.

Could end up applying to North Carolina too

"Moore, like Republican Party, could potentially be revisited after the election. So it’s possible that ballots cast in North Carolina could also be invalidated after the election has already happened.​
 
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