2024 GOP Primary

ActiVote is not a serious pollster (I believe it’s online). It does however seem to catch momo to one candidate or the other. Trump has been surging in their latest polls:

 
As previously noted, ballot returns and EV totals are eclipsing ballot requests and voter registration data in terms of importance:

 
Note if Trump finishes +2% pts RMG can still claim they were accurate. They just don’t have the balls to put Trump ahead.

 
Uh-oh! Narrative is going to be that Harris will lose. Some % of folks don’t want to vote for a certain loser (herd effect). Snowball effect coming.
 
Polls are reverting to the numbers before the Trump-Biden debate. In those old polls, Trump led every battleground state.
 

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