2022 House and Senate election

Mr. Deez said:
When was the last time that Hispanic approval of a Democratic president was lower than white approval? It wouldn't surprise me if that has never happened.
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I completely understand why this is happening. Hispanics in general have a belief system much more aligned with conservatives than liberals. The further off the rails the libs go towards transgender gay demanding God hating group the more Hispanics will move right.

Also, every single person I know who immigrated from Mexico and the rest of central America legally hate that the border is wide open and they know who to blame.
 
Vol Horn 4 Life said:
I completely understand why this is happening. Hispanics in general have a belief system much more aligned with conservatives than liberals. The further off the rails the libs go towards transgender gay demanding God hating group the more Hispanics will move right.

Also, every single person I know who immigrated from Mexico and the rest of central America legally hate that the border is wide open and they know who to blame.
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The Democrats are running wildly away from both Hispanics and blacks. The only reason blacks still vote for them as a bloc is racial politics. (That's why black conservatives make them lose their ****. They undermine all that, and it's the only big tool in their shed.) Racial politics are far less prevalent among Hispanics, so when Democrats go overboard on the gender ideology and the God-hating, it doesn't just annoy Hispanics, it actually makes them reconsider their voting preferences.

However, I think there's also a personality and tone problem, as James Carville has pointed out. Link. White progressives come across as extremely pretentious and aloof (especially when they talk about minorities). They just ooze a toxic combination of arrogance and self-righteous douchiness, and nobody likes that except other douches.
 
Mr. Deez said:
White progressives come across as extremely pretentious and aloof (especially when they talk about minorities). They just ooze a toxic combination of arrogance and self-righteous douchiness, and nobody likes that except other douches.
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I speculate these are the same folks who in colonial days were the civil servants who ordered all the brown, black and yellow skin-tone folks in their own country. I call it cultural-colonialism.
 
Vol Horn 4 Life said:
I completely understand why this is happening. Hispanics in general have a belief system much more aligned with conservatives than liberals. The further off the rails the libs go towards transgender gay demanding God hating group the more Hispanics will move right.

Also, every single person I know who immigrated from Mexico and the rest of central America legally hate that the border is wide open and they know who to blame.
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This touches on what I've repeatedly said for years; the demographic coming from Mexico is nowhere near the feminist culture yet the feminists pretend to be all in love with them. It's the most cynical elitist crap ever. They are using those poor folks trying to find a better life and what the end result will be the feminists ruling on top of a feudal society.

I'm from South Texas and what you say about being aligned with Conservatives is spot-on. I hear it all the time.
 
mchammer said:
So who will be more brain dead? Feinstein, or the younger version they want to replace her with?

4 senators say 88-year-old Sen. Dianne Feinstein's memory is 'rapidly deteriorating': report
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It's sad when this happens to people, and frankly, she isn't that old (88) to be this far gone. I remember Strom Thurmond getting like this, but he was pushing 100. At 88, he was still actively debating, giving speeches, and carrying major legislation. In fact, he chaired the Armed Services Committee for six years in his 90s with no problems until the end.

The problem is that there's no real way to get rid of her until '24. She can't be recalled. (That's only available for state or local offices.) She could be expelled, but that's usually done for misconduct and it would look bad in a situation like this. Basically, unless she can be convinced that she can't do the job, they're stuck with her for the next 2 years.

There's no question that her successor will be ten times worse. To sane people, she's a liberal. To Californians, she's definitely on the right side of the political spectrum, and she's Richard Spencer-right within the California Democratic Party.
 
If you have ever dealt with people with dementia you know that when they get that far along denial and frustrated anger are present.
Look no further than how Slojoe is acting
 
Feinstein was a ahole towards Kavanaugh. But IMO what is clearly happening is she is not a lunatic from the Left so they want her out. It's the same as what is happening to Henry Cuellar (A Democrat) in South Texas. He is being challenged by another lunatic who is an immigration attorney and is obsessed with protecting the rights of illegal aliens. They raided Henry's home prior to the primary and it enabled his challenger (Jessica Cisneros) to force a run-off. All has gone quiet on the raid. The run-off will occur in May and the news will ramp up again.

YES, I BELIEVE THE FBI IS WORKING FOR THE DEMOCRAT PROGRESSIVE WING.

They've succeeded in appointing a woke SCOTUS jurist and the Democrat from West Virginia will be next.

DON'T EVER LET A LIBERAL LECTURE YOU ON DEMOCRACY. THEY DON'T CARE ABOUT THAT ONE BIT. THEY ARE RUTHLESS AND WILL DESTORY ANYONE WHO IS IN THEIR WAY INCLUDING THEIR OWN PARTY MEMBERS.

In the case of Feinstein, if her constituents vote her in, then that's Democracy. If the party forces her out, then that's Totalitarianism and those are the people who will be ruling us. Everyone who self-identifies as a Liberal is a totalitarian. It's very nuanced.

Are you a Liberal or are you a Democrat?
 
What are Republicans going to do when they win the Congress back in 2022? Lockdown the economy again like in 2020? Print trillions of dollars like in 2020 and 2021? Pick Supreme Court Justices that make rulings Progressives will be proud of? Increase the deficit? Start another war we can't afford?

Play nice with groomers? Remember in 5 years it will be "conservative" to protect grooming and radical trans ideology. Conservatives for the last 100 years have protected what Progressives changed 5 years before. They are the part of excuses not freedom.
 
mchammer said:
Democrats are in danger of losing three congressional strongholds in South Texas
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First, Mayra Flores and Cassy Garcia are hot. Just had to put that out there.

Second, district 34 is a long shot. They'll make it competitive, but that district is still Democratic enough that they'll at least probably hold it for now. The GOP will take district 15. I think they have a very decent shot at district 28. It leans D, but if Cisneros wins the primary, that district flips. South Texas isn't electing a less attractive AOC. Even if Cuellar wins, will be stay with the Democrats? He leans enough to the Right on social issues that he could run as a Republican.
 
Once the districts are set and the primaries over, it’s going to look worse come August. Head to head polling will show the true damage.

 
mchammer said:
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Just think about what a 1 pt move really means when you get to that last 30% of support. To go from 48% to 47% means you are losing your moderate non-party types but when you are going from 29% to 28% it means you are losing hard core Dem's at that point. People whose identity is built around party affiliation. If Biden is starting to cut into that block imagine how bad his neg's are with moderates at this point.

This really is an opportunity of huge proportions for the GOP. We have to be very careful not to overplay this before November with more issues that drive left wing emotional types. Immigration is a strong issue but Abortion often loses as much or more than it gains. We don't have to back down on this but we certainly don't want to play it up right now either. And keep playing up the fight to protect women's rights against the Trans crusaders. And Trump needs to keep his head down for the next 6 months and quit stirring the pot with primary battles.
 
^Absolutely correct. The GOP has to be selective in attacks, and simply let the Democrats self-destruct on liberal issues.
 
BrntOrngStmpeDe said:
Just think about what a 1 pt move really means when you get to that last 30% of support. To go from 48% to 47% means you are losing your moderate non-party types but when you are going from 29% to 28% it means you are losing hard core Dem's at that point. People whose identity is built around party affiliation. If Biden is starting to cut into that block imagine how bad his neg's are with moderates at this point.

This really is an opportunity of huge proportions for the GOP. We have to be very careful not to overplay this before November with more issues that drive left wing emotional types. Immigration is a strong issue but Abortion often loses as much or more than it gains. We don't have to back down on this but we certainly don't want to play it up right now either. And keep playing up the fight to protect women's rights against the Trans crusaders. And Trump needs to keep his head down for the next 6 months and quit stirring the pot with primary battles.
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If you frame yourself as the party of inflation, expensive gas, crime, and talking about dicks with very small children at taxpayer expense, you're going to have a pretty low floor when it comes to support. You don't have to be a big right winger to see why those are bad things. Post-Trump, all they had to do was not be crazy, and they couldn't help themselves.
 
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We have two upcoming inflection points:
June 1 (after Memorial Day)
late August (Labor Day).

June 1 the message will be Dire for Dems
Sept 1 the message will be Catastrophic Dems

30 seats flip minimum
40 seats likely
50 seats possible
 
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Dems are going to have to come up with new ways to cheat. Stuffing balllot boxes, halting counting, then delivering truckloads of ballots in middle of night won't work this time.
 
This supports my theory that folks relied on Trump to push back on Obama/Clinton criminal administrations. When GOP defeats Dems this Fall, the pivot to DeSantis (or someone like him) will be complete.

 
The left is who has the MOST investment in trying to push DJT as the presumptive 2024 GOP nominee. They are banking on people failing to recognize that this nation will never again install someone over the age of 70 into the Presidency. They WANT DJT in the spotlight so that any cognitive issues or missteps on his part distract from #MushForBrains and the daily faux pas that have, sadly, been the daily norm...

Trump-esque policies WILL remain in favor because it was shown that they WORK at protecting the Nation from the lunacy of the left. DJT wasn't spending us into oblivion and constructive steps WERE taken on both the energy and border fronts. Instead, we are left with #SlowJoe and a party that has abandoned Americans on more fronts than we can count: energy, OUR southern border, Afghanistan, inflationary policies, and the complete abandonment of common sense in favor of appeasing the fringe elements...and the list could go on.
 
This is an interesting political story. Senator from NH is up for re-election. She barely won in 2016. Both Trump and her opponent lost very close races. I think she isn’t dumb. She knows she will lose given the current trajectory. Will it work? Who knows, but interesting nonetheless.

Border visit backfires on vulnerable Senate Dem
 
mchammer said:
This is an interesting political story. Senator from NH is up for re-election. She barely won in 2016. Both Trump and her opponent lost very close races. I think she isn’t dumb. She knows she will lose given the current trajectory. Will it work? Who knows, but interesting nonetheless.

Border visit backfires on vulnerable Senate Dem
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Regardless it’s hysterical that securing the border is a controversial issue. How?
 
mb227 said:
Trump-esque policies WILL remain in favor because it was shown that they WORK at protecting the Nation from the lunacy of the left.
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Great point, mb227. And I sincerely hope that Trump is not the candidate in 2024. The Democrats want him to be nominated so they can stir up their base of hatred and get their voters out in droves to vote against Trump (just as they did in 2020). If anyone else heads the GOP ticket (DeSantis, Haley, for example), it's a landslide win for the GOP. The election is there for the taking - the Democrats have (1) moved their platform too far left and (2) totally screwed up governing.
 
mchammer said:
This supports my theory that folks relied on Trump to push back on Obama/Clinton criminal administrations. When GOP defeats Dems this Fall, the pivot to DeSantis (or someone like him) will be complete.

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It also doesn't help that he lost his reelection bid. Presidents who don't get reelected rarely maintain their status and support within the party.
 
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