Texas isn't red enough for him to get the 14-incher. He will get the 10-incher though.
2022 House and Senate election
- Thread starter mchammer
- Start date
Texas isn't red enough for him to get the 14-incher. He will get the 10-incher though.
I suppose that will have to do. I just worry the 10 incher will not make enough of an impression on him to convince the guy to stop running for high office.
He may try again in a Democratic year, but if he couldn't win in '18 (against a complacent, unlikeable opponent with a divided base with the worst possible Republican president for a midterm election), he's not going to win. He's a sacrificial lamb this year the way Gary Mauro was in 1998.
What a douche.
Unbelievable he can garner anything more than 1%.
BrntOrngStmpeDe
1,000+ Posts
seems to me there is a concerted effort to provide Beto with credibility. We know polls have been shown to be pretty far off from actual results in the last few years but I suspect that if we reviewed some of these polls, they would have an even larger margin of error (leaning Dem) earlier in the process. By this I mean that this lyceum poll is arriving at a 2% delta between Beto and Abbott...NOW.
I don't buy it. I wonder if they intentionally move the dial a bit as we get closer so that they can regain some cred.
It would seem to me that the most motivating place to reflect your campaign is "within striking distance". This keeps the troops a little more motivated since they don't perceive you as a lost cause or as a runaway winner.
They wouldn't want to be far off immediately before the poll because they would lose cred, but if they are making these claims way out in front of the election, whose ever really paying attention at that point. ??
Texas Lyceum Poll Finds Voters Nearly Split on Gubernatorial Race – NBC 5 Dallas-Fort Worth (nbcdfw.com)
I don't buy it. I wonder if they intentionally move the dial a bit as we get closer so that they can regain some cred.
It would seem to me that the most motivating place to reflect your campaign is "within striking distance". This keeps the troops a little more motivated since they don't perceive you as a lost cause or as a runaway winner.
They wouldn't want to be far off immediately before the poll because they would lose cred, but if they are making these claims way out in front of the election, whose ever really paying attention at that point. ??
Texas Lyceum Poll Finds Voters Nearly Split on Gubernatorial Race – NBC 5 Dallas-Fort Worth (nbcdfw.com)
From the more-thorough breakdown, they got 926 registered voters out of 1200 calls.
"Self-identified registered voters from among the adult sample produced a potential electorate made up of 47% of White respondents when exit polling data in 2020, 2018, and 2016 found the electorate to be at least 56%White. Despite this, the result continues to find Abbott leading his Democratic challenger, at this, admittedly, very early stage in the contest."
They almost sound disappointed that even a skewed sample that is not representative of the State still suggests Abbott was in the lead...
Fuckin Beta has no chance. He might stir up some decent polls from politically favorable media and groups, but he once the campaign starts, he is screwed. He completely beclowned and ruined himself during his laughable presidential bid, and he has zero chance. If he reaches 42 percent, it's a good day for him.
I keep abreast of what the political types think on Twitter. In short, no one thinks Beta has a snowball’s chance in hell.
He doesn't.
Ironic coming from a bunch of people who think dudes can become women and vice versa just by saying so.
SHOULD be but WON'T be...
humahuma
1,000+ Posts
MSNBC analyst John Heilemann revealed a ‘dark’ strategy Democrats are considering using to curb potential losses during the November midterm elections on ‘Deadline: White House’ Tuesday.
"Heilemann said inflation is ‘psychologically the most devastating thing politically’ and said the key to mitigating losses, according to the strategy, was to make Donald Trump the face of the Republican Party and then harangue attacks against him as an undemocratic force in U.S. politics.
"‘They have to scare the crap out of [the Democratic base] and get them to come out,’ Heilemann said. ‘[The Democrats] can't motivate them on the basis of hope or their pocketbooks or any of these accomplishments. They have to scare the crap out of them.’"
"Heilemann said inflation is ‘psychologically the most devastating thing politically’ and said the key to mitigating losses, according to the strategy, was to make Donald Trump the face of the Republican Party and then harangue attacks against him as an undemocratic force in U.S. politics.
"‘They have to scare the crap out of [the Democratic base] and get them to come out,’ Heilemann said. ‘[The Democrats] can't motivate them on the basis of hope or their pocketbooks or any of these accomplishments. They have to scare the crap out of them.’"
So repeat the Virginia governor's race strategy nationwide.
Nevada has leaned blue largely because of the large Hispanic population. With Democrats telling Hispanics they're not welcome anymore because they won't say "Latinx," that state is going flip. It may not happen immediately, but it's going to happen. New Mexico may be heading the same way. Frankly, if they're not careful, they may start to at least loosen their stranglehold on California.
BrntOrngStmpeDe
1,000+ Posts
That's what all of their "End of Democracy" crap is about. Their campaigns this fall will largely be about tying all of the GOP to DJT as "acolytes" and abortion. It is not in DJT's nature to lay low but that is exactly what the GOP needs him to do until December.
The "democracy" issue is ********. You can't support the Democratic Party's approach to the judiciary and administrative state and credibly claim any real concern about democracy.
What slays me is the continued emphasis on Trump as a candidate in 2024. He may still be a puppeteer behind the scenes, but the first year of #MushForBrains in office has all but guaranteed that this Nation will NEVER again elect someone who will reach the age of 70+ while in office.
There are plenty of younger candidates who share a Trumpian vision for getting this Nation back on track. THAT is the class whom the Republicans should be focusing the energies towards...
That said, if a general comes down to a choice between Trump and ANY Democrat, my vote goes to Trump. I'd settle for sound foreign policy, cheap gas and some mean tweets right about now...
There are plenty of younger candidates who share a Trumpian vision for getting this Nation back on track. THAT is the class whom the Republicans should be focusing the energies towards...
That said, if a general comes down to a choice between Trump and ANY Democrat, my vote goes to Trump. I'd settle for sound foreign policy, cheap gas and some mean tweets right about now...
And yet, they draw the conclusion in the tweets that follow which suggest that the problem is that the Dems are too moderate...that they need to follow the AOC's of the party and the party needs to cater to the 18-34 demographic (in order words, give more free crap at taxpayer expense).
They ARE lemmings who have no clue about reality.
When was the last time that Hispanic approval of a Democratic president was lower than white approval? It wouldn't surprise me if that has never happened.
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