2020 Presidential Election: let the jockeying commence

Horn6721 said:
Nv is an example of Libertarians throwing their vote away.
If even most of the 37k who voted for Johnson had voted for Trump??
This time is just as stark a contrast to how America is viewed
Trump's view? Or Biden 's?
Click to expand...

Agree. On the youth vote, they got weed in 2016, which no doubt aided the Johnson total. But that is over and now they have Jo Jorganson (who went to SMU) instead of Gary Johnson. (So they just stay home and eat Cheetos? Or, have they been inspired by the oratorical mastery of Joe Biden? Seems unlikely, unless you are high. Maybe).

Mormons have to break for Trump, right? I dont see another option for them. I think I saw there are 130k Mormons registered to vote in NV

They also have some type of statewide gay marriage ballot this time. But I dont know if its a big motivator or not.
 
Colorado

Like North Carolina, white voters, and particularly white, working-class voters, are over-performing in EV

According to CNN exit polls from 2016, white voters cast 78% of all votes in Colorado. The breakdown was --
Whites with a college degree 45%
Non-college whites 33%​

As of today, whites have cast 87% of all the EV. Broken down by education:
White EVs with a college degree 39%
Non-college white EVs 48%​

So, in this state, the white share of the EV is +9 over 2016. And non-college educated whites are +9 in 2020 early voting
 
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Virginia

Like North Carolina and Colorado, white voters, and particularly white, working-class voters, are over-performing in EV

According to CNN exit polls from 2016, white voters cast 67% of all votes in Virginia. The breakdown was --
Whites with a college degree 38%
Non-college whites 29%​

As of today, whites have cast 78% of all the EV. Broken down by education:
Whites early voters with a college degree 35.6%
Non-college whites 42.5%​

In sum, while the college-educated white vote is down somewhat, the white, working-class early voters are way up -- from 29% in 2016 to 42.5% as of today. That's a big jump and its good news for Trump as well as the down-ballot races

These 3 states indicate there is a surge by white voters, in particular a surge of working-class white voters, that is not properly reflected in the polling.

And this surge makes NC, VA and Colorado all in play.
 
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Hillary announces she is a dem elector for NY
She has spoken to Biden lawyers, Dnc lawyers and groups of independent lawyers
All ready to contest the outcome when Biden loses no matter how nany votes Trump gets
The DMC will put our country through hell and Antifa/ BLM will burn it down
 
Garmel said:
I guess it was so bad that it got nuked. :D
Click to expand...
I wonder if it was a leaked internal poll.

E41F13DB-F8B1-42CD-A344-78A736E152CF.jpeg
 
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