2018 Senate (& House)

Beta a 46 yo man skateboards through a Whataburger parking lot
Senator Ted Cruz a 47 yo man buys a 12 pack of Shiner at a Bucees

VuvZsEHuvH6BHTtM
 
I voted yesterday. 32 straight years without voting for a democrat.
I tend to vote a mixed ballot but only because some of the decent judges at both local level and State level courts came out of the D primary.

For the other offices, however, rare is the instance that I will vote for a D...I think Sid Miller was the lone R that I could not choke down a vote for on Monday.
 
He ought to be shopping at Spec's instead.

You must be in or from Houston. I love Spec's Original, and I get my liquor at the one in Bee Cave, but they in no way represent what Texas is all about better than Buc-ee's.

Full disclosure: I grew up in Lake Jackson, so I am quite biased towards Buc-ee's.
 
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I voted yesterday. 32 straight years without voting for a democrat.

Good on you. I have voted straight GOP since my first time to vote in 1980.

Unless you voted in a primary how would anyone know what party affiliation in a general election vote?

Are you asking how they would know what your vote was?
 
You must be in or from Houston. I love Spec's Original, and I get my liquor at the one in Bee Cave, but they in no way represent what Texas is all about better than Buc-ee's.

Full disclosure: I grew up in Lake Jackson, so I am quite biased towards Buc-ee's.
No, not a Houstonian, but I have been a sales specialist for Spec's for the better part of the last decade.
 
I tend to vote a mixed ballot but only because some of the decent judges at both local level and State level courts came out of the D primary.

For the other offices, however, rare is the instance that I will vote for a D...I think Sid Miller was the lone R that I could not choke down a vote for on Monday.

I cast my most GOP-dominant ballot since 2004. However, I did vote for a few Democrats who were running against flagrant crooks or incompetents. I voted Demicratic and against George P. Bush (Land Commissioner), "Crooked Sid" Miller (Agriculture Commissioner), Jimmy Blacklock (Texas Supreme Court), and Jeff Brown (Texas Supreme Court).
 
Just be prepared for a long line on Election Day.
Nope. The long lines are during primaries when people don’t know who to vote for (they use voter lists supplied by 3rd parties). In this election, there isn’t much of a debate who to vote for, regardless of party affiliation
 
Doesn’t the blue wave require GOP to stay home on Election Day? Early voting in the Woodlands is a zoo.
 
Here is another story for the "voter fraud does not exist" crowd.
The Democrat leader for Tarrant County has been caught funding a voter fraud ring --

" .... the women were paid to target older voters on the city’s north side “in a scheme to generate a large number of mail ballots and then harvest those ballots for specific candidates in 2016.

The notice did not specify which candidates the suspects were allegedly paid to support, but it noted that Sanchez and others marked down-ballot candidates “without the voter’s knowledge or consent.”
* * *

Sanchez distributed payments “from funds received from Stuart Clegg (then executive director for the Tarrant County Democratic Party)” to more than four women for engaging in “activities” such as “fraudulent altering (mail-in) applications and submitting them again by fax.””

Former Democratic Party leader paid women in alleged Tarrant voter fraud ring, AG says
 
NO JF
That can't be right. SHusker told us over and over on here that there was no voter fraud and that the GOP was chasing a problem that does not exist.
 
So I looked up Beta's resume.
Srsly ?? ( I wish I had a good pic of a cat here)
Following college, O'Rourke worked as a live-in nanny for a family in Manhattan, then at Hedley's Humpers as an art mover, before working with his uncle at a startup internet service provider.[14][24] During this time, he fell into a depression, unsure of what to do with his life.[14] However, his friends Stevens and Klahr (along with his friend from college, David Guinn) joined him in New York, and they rented and renovated an inexpensive 2000-square-foot factory loft in Williamsburg, Brooklyn.[14] Interested in the publishing industry, he found a job as a proofreader at H. W. Wilson Company in the Bronx, and wrote short stories and songs in his free time.[14] He began to miss his family and lifestyle in El Paso,[14] and returned to the city in 1998.[25]

After coming home, O'Rourke wanted to tackle the "brain drain" of El Paso, or the exodus of youth because of lack of opportunity.[14] The following year, he co-founded Stanton Street Technology, an internet services and software company that develops websites and software.[24][26] His wife, Amy, operates the business as of March 2017.[27] For a few years, the company also published an online (and briefly print) newspaper, also called Stanton Street, that O'Rourke modeled on alternative periodicals like the Village Voice and the New York Press.[14]

El Paso City C
 
NO JF
That can't be right. SHusker told us over and over on here that there was no voter fraud and that the GOP was chasing a problem that does not exist.

I think they even said there's NEVER been any voter fraud proven in the US. LBJ and Richard Daily are still laughing over that one.
 
So the Dems have a new get-out-the-vote campaign
Apparently this is real
It's spoiled for multiple reasons, which will be immediately apparent -- but be warned, once seen, cannot be unseen

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This is something I have been suggesting this entire thread
Now some hard numbers are finally coming out to support the idea

 
If GOP wins NJ, WV, MT, and MI (where polls show a GOP surge), they will have 59 seats - one less than 60 due to Alabama stupid election. Not sure it matters anyway on issues like health care and immigration with Murkowski and Collins still in the senate.
 
If GOP wins NJ, WV, MT, and MI (where polls show a GOP surge),

They won't win NJ. Even with Menendez on the ballot, the state is too blue to flip. If this was 2014 (a red wave), then maybe but not in this political environment.

Manchin has surged since the Kavanaugh vote and is probably safe now. However, like I said at the time, they should lean on him hard to switch parties after the election. I think that vote probably ruined him for Democratic primary voters, and he's obviously conservative enough to win Republican votes. If he doesn't switch, he's going to have to fight for primary and general election victories and then be ostracized by his party even if he wins. If he switches, he'll never be vulnerable again. That seat will be his until the day he dies if he wants.

MT will be close. Unlike Manchin, Tester has mostly voted with the Demicratic leadership on key issues. He only wins because he's good at faking it. He looks and talks very moderate - looks like Meat Loaf and is likable.

Stabenow is safe in MI. I wish she wasn't, because John James is a great guy and a strong candidate, but it just isn't the year to flip MI. She's well ahead of him.
 
They won't win NJ. Even with Menendez on the ballot, the state is too blue to flip. If this was 2014 (a red wave), then maybe but not in this political environment.

Manchin has surged since the Kavanaugh vote and is probably safe now. However, like I said at the time, they should lean on him hard to switch parties after the election. I think that vote probably ruined him for Democratic primary voters, and he's obviously conservative enough to win Republican votes. If he doesn't switch, he's going to have to fight for primary and general election victories and then be ostracized by his party even if he wins. If he switches, he'll never be vulnerable again. That seat will be his until the day he dies if he wants.

MT will be close. Unlike Manchin, Tester has mostly voted with the Demicratic leadership on key issues. He only wins because he's good at faking it. He looks and talks very moderate - looks like Meat Loaf and is likable.

Stabenow is safe in MI. I wish she wasn't, because John James is a great guy and a strong candidate, but it just isn't the year to flip MI. She's well ahead of him.
NJ now changed to “toss-up”.
 
A little more of Beto's past. It is kind of amazing how little has been printed about it other than his playing in a band, and other cool stuff. I was surprised that the SA Express published this article on 10/14, front page. Of course the headline was slanted, but, there were some interesting and not friendly facts in the article.
"GOP uses his past to haunt O'Rourke"

here are a few of the highlights:
* As a member of the El Paso City Council, he was accused of a conflict of interest in 2006 for pushing an urban renewal plan (ie, giant shopping center) that his father-in-law (described as the richest man in El Paso) was in charge of. This plan would have destroyed many parts of the Segundo Barrio in El Paso, and they were ready to use imminent domain.
Many felt there was a conflict of interest as Beto was on the City Council and the man at the head of the Paso del Norte Group's Downtown Revitalization Plan was his father-in-law.
There is a Youtube of one of the meetings, where older women and men were crying, or almost crying about losing the area of town they had lived in for all of their lives. Beto was very cold in my opinion, and kept repeating, "If someone wants to buy your land, and you agree, that is legal." He seemed to have zero empathy for these people. If you want to see it, it's called, "The Barrio Speaks Out" He was being genuinely asked, by older people that trusted him, about what to do, and he couldn't answer them. And his Spanish was poor. (better than mine though!)

* As a member of Congress, he invested in initial public stock offerings for Twitter and other companies, which is an ethics violation. He did report the violation and returned the earnings once this was discovered.

*Beto partners with his mother on several real estate deals, and business ventures. One of their stores was targeted by the IRS in a $630,000 tax fraud case in 2010. The main store was making a series of cash deposits just under $10,000, most likely to avoid financial reporting requirements. These deposits totaled more than a million dollars, about $630,000 from one customer who has never been identified.

* O'Rourke's father was a very popular judge. In 1983, sheriff's deputies were putting a radio in his jeep and found a condom filled with either cocaine or heroin. The source of the drugs was never investigated.

* He is worth around $9 million, and has put little if any of his personal money into his campaign. Ted Cruz is worth about $3 million, according to the article.

*Of course, we all know about his DUI when he was 26. His story of not fleeing the scene is opposite of witness statements and the police report.

*While acting like a "man of the people, with his rolled up sleeves, sweaty, skateboarding dude image" (my words!) it surprised me to learn that he went to Woodberry Forest School, a private, all-male boarding school in the Virginia countryside. The alumni of this school include Marvin Bush, George Bush's brother.

* Most of his money comes from family real estate business, given to him by his mother. In 2012, mom gave him somewhere between 1-12 million dollars. He seems to have some very shady connections between his family and his father in law regarding land and business in El Paso.

None of this means Beto is a terrible man, or shouldn't be elected (although he shouldn't) but, it sure puts a damper on his squeaky clean, let's all get along no substance message. I know many politicians are involved in shady deals, anatd aren't people of sterling character, I just found it interesting that he has managed, (with the help of the press) to keep most of these questionable behaviors and business' out of the public's, or at least my, knowledge.
 
look at how much out of state people have donated to Beta
www.breitbart.com/tech/2018/10/24/google-employees-second-largest-donors-to-beto-orourke-campaign/

  • Google Employees Second Largest Donors to Beto O’Rourke Campaign
Beto-O-Rourke-D-TX-918-getty-640x480.jpg

LAURA BUCKMAN/AFP/Getty Images
24 Oct 2018407

3:21
Big Tech company employees are pouring money into Democratic candidate Rep. Beto O’Rourke’s senate campaign in an attempt to unseat Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), with employees from Google parent company Alphabet listed as the second largest donating force.
According to CNBC, employees at Google parent company Alphabet were the second largest contributor to O’Rourke’s campaign overall, and came first on the list of Big Tech contributors, with Alphabet employees donating $157,189.

Overall, Alphabet was only beaten in donations to O’Rourke’s campaign by employees of the University of Texas, who donated $296,123.


Microsoft came second on the list of Big Tech contributors, with employees donating $58,943, followed by Dell ($56,361), Facebook ($53,929), Apple ($52,494), and Amazon ($48,573).

“O’Rourke, a congressman who’s running to unseat Republican Sen. Ted Cruz, is the top recipient of employee donations from Alphabet, Apple, Dell, and IBM, and a close second for Facebook, Cisco, Amazon and Microsoft. In total, the 46-year-old Democrat’s campaign reeled in $38 million in the third quarter, compared with $12 million for Cruz,” reported CNBC. “While the tech industry has long bent to the left on the political spectrum, it’s veered further in that direction in the two years since the election of Donald Trump, whose positions on immigration, trade and civil rights are staunchly opposed across Silicon Valley.”
 

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