This is the fifth meeting between the schools. The first was the 2003 NCAA semifinal game on April 6 which Texas lost 69-71. The last game on November 17, 2009 was a 83-58 loss. UConn is going for their tenth overall national championship and third in a row. The two teams have two common foes this season: Stanford and UCLA. Texas defeated both, winning on the road at Stanford (87-81 in OT) and at UCLA (75-65). UConn lost to Stanford on the road 88-86 in OT while taking down UCLA 86-50 at Uncasville, Conn. Texas had Nneka for those two wins but did not have Imani. Facing UConn, Texas has lost Nneka but gained Imani.
Five players average in double figure scoring for the Huskies. Breanna Stewart (# 30, 6-4 Jr. F) tops the five with an average of 17.1 ppg. Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis (# 23, 5-11 Sr. F) is second at 15.0 ppg. At 14.0 ppg is Morgan Tuck (# 3, 6-2 RS Soph. F). Moriah Jefferson (# 4, 5-7 Jr. G) adds 12.0 ppg . The last double digit scorer is Kia Nurse (# 11, 6-0 Fr. G) at 10.5 ppg. Off the bench, Gabby Williams (# 15, 5-11 Fr. F) puts up 9.1 ppg. Williams has moved from guard to forward and has taken only one 3 this season. Stewart leads the Huskies in FGs made and attempted (234-435; 53.8%). Mosqueda-Lewis (186-349; 53.3%) and Tuck (210-346; 60.7%) have broken the 300 FGs attempt line. Those with at least 200 FGs attempted are Jefferson (167-285; 58.6%), Nurse (127-252; 50.4%) and Williams (135-209; 64.6%). Saniya Chong (# 12, 5-8 Soph. G) and Kiah Stokes (# 41, 6-3 Sr. C) have taken 100+ shots. Chong is at 77-162 (47.5%) and Stokes has hit 65-120 (54.2%). UConn takes 20.5 3s a game. All five starters are threats from BTA. Mosqueda-Lewis is the main threat, having made 109 of 219 attempts (49.8%). Nurse is second in attempts with 47 of 114 treys (41.2%). Jefferson is making over 50% of her 3s (48-94; 51.1%). Chong has made 34-91 (37.4%) while Stewart has connected on 25-82 (30.5%). Tuck has taken 59 3s and made 15 (25.4%). Stewart is the top Husky from the FT line, connecting on 106 of 133 FTs (79.7%). Mosqueda-Lewis has the best percentage at 93.3% but gets to the FT line an average of just under once a game. Nurse (65-91; 71.4%) and Williams (41-89;46.1%) rank second and third in FTs attempted.
Stewart (7.2 rpg) and Stokes (7.1 rpg) lead UConn in rebounding. Williams (6.2 rpg), Tuck (5.4 rpg) and Mosqueda-Lewis (4.2 rpg) provide solid support to Stewart and Stokes on the boards. Williams’ ability to jump was shown early at age 15 when she placed fifth 2012 U.S. Olympic high jump trials. Four players have reached triple digits in assists with two others close to that. Jefferson tops the squad with 169 assists. Stewart (111), Nurse (107) and Tuck (103) are the others to reach triple digits. Mosqueda-Lewis (93) and Chong (73) have a chance to reach triple digit assists for the season. Stokes ranks first on the team with 140 blocks (4.0 bpg). Stewart is second with 89. Next is Williams with 13. Jefferson has 89 steals. Six others have between 54 (Stewart) and 24 (Chong) steals.
No one player is playing more than Mosqueda-Lewis’ 28.1 mpg. Stewart, Tuck, Jefferson, Nurse and Chong all average between 27.7 and 20.2 mpg. Williams averages 16.6 mpg and Stokes 18.9 mpg while Courtney Ekmark (# 22, 6-0 Fr. G) has averaged 10.6 mpg in 25 games. The base rotation in 35 games for UConn is eight players with Ekmark getting into 25 games. The starters, Stewart, Mosqueda-Lewis, Tuck, Jefferson and Nurse, all average 20+ mpg. Chong and Ekmark are the primary backcourt subs with Williams and Stokes subbing into the frontcourt.
Horns head into the Sweet Sixteen matchup with UConn with two players averaging in double figures: Kelsey (10.7 ppg) and Imani (10.0 ppg). Lending scoring support are Ariel (9.7 ppg), Brady (7.8 ppg), Empress (7.3 ppg) and Brooke (7.1 ppg). Kelsey (160-290, 55.2%) and Imani (102-181, 56.4%) are the leaders in FGs made and percentage. Kelsey has the most attempts with Ariel (234), Brady (230), Empress (240) and Brooke (221) all having taken at least 200 shots. Brianna (175) joins them and Imani in having triple digit FG attempts. That comes out to balanced shooting from the team with those averaging shots per game of 8.8 (Kelsey), 9.0 (Ariel), 7.0 (Brady), 7.5 (Empress), 6.5 (Brooke), 5.6 (Brianna) and 7.0 Imani.
Brady (35-111, 31.5%) and Brooke (36-106, 34.0%) are the top 3pt threats for the Horns. Krystle (16-55, 29.1%) and Ariel (16-54, 29.6%) are tied for the third most threes made. Wonder if Nneka would have hit 250 FT attempts made this season if she had not gotten hurt. She still leads the team with 93 FT attempts. Next up are Empress (58-83, 69.9%) and Brady (59-82, 72.0%). Our three freshmen guards have the highest FT percentages on the team: Ariel (64-76, 84.2%), Tasia (18-23, 78.3%) and Brooke (39-50, 78.0%).
Kelsey leads the team in total rebounds with 212 (6.4 rpg). Imani has the highest rpg average at 7.1 rpg (184 total rebounds). Brianna (4.3 rpg), Ariel (3.4 rpg), Brady (3.2 rpg) and Empress (3.5 rpg) provide strong support on the boards for Kelsey and Imani. Brady (3.2 apg), Empress (2.6 apg) and Celina (2.3 apg) continue half the 15.1 apg that the team averages. Ariel (32), Brooke (32) and Brianna (30) top the team in steals. The team has 156 blocks with Imani (56) and Kelsey (47) adding over a 100 to that total.
Nine of the players average between 29.9 mpg (Brady) and 13.0 mpg (Krystle). Kelsey, Ariel, Empress, and Brooke join Brady in averaging over 20 mpg. Imani, Brianna, Krystle and Celina average in the teens although Imani has played 30 and 31 minutes in the last two games. The starting lineup the last two games has been Imani, Brady, Empress, Celina and Brianna.
Projected starters based on the last game:
Texas____________________
UConn
Imani (6-7 Jr. C)___________Tuck (6-2 RS Soph. F)
Brianna (5-9 Soph. G)_____Stewart (6-4 Jr. F)
Empress (5-7 Jr. G)________Nurse (6-0 Fr. G)
Celina (5-8 Jr. G)__________Jefferson (5-7 Jr. G)
Brady (5-11 RS Jr. G)______Mosqueda-Lewis (5-11 Sr. F)
Tuck is the main post that will stay in the paint for UConn although she does shoot a number of 3s. Stewart’s ability to play inside and outside will cause some matchup problems for Texas as they will either guard her with a smaller player or have Kelsey, most likely, guarding her as she moves between the 3pt line and the paint. For Texas, one player they do not want to leave alone is Mosqueda-Lewis, UConn’s number one 3pt shooter who is connecting on half of her 3pters. She takes just over ten 3s a game. The Huskies ability to space their offense so well forces the defense to scramble, giving UConn an open shooter if they swing the ball around and they are very good at doing just that.
For UConn, the issue will be stopping the Texas inside game, whether it is one player or the twin towers, without getting into foul trouble. For the Horns to allow their posts room to make their moves, they have to be able to hit enough shots from outside to keep UConn from collapsing inside. While the Texas stats don’t look that good over the season, the fact is that the last ten games has seen the Texas guards step up and make those plays that allow Imani, Kelsey and Brianna room to operate inside.
Season Record: Texas (24-10) & UConn (34-1)
Season Statistics__________
Texas_______
UConn
Scoring_____________________2317________3141
Pts per Game______________68.1_________89.7
Scoring Margin____________9.2__________+42.3
FGs—made/attp.__________872-2043____1229-2259
FG%_______________________42.7%_______54.4%
FGs made per game_______25.6_________35.1
FGs attp. per game________60.1_________64.5
2pt FGs—made/attp.______744-1614____937-1542
2pt FG %__________________46.1%________60.8%
2pt FGs made per game___21.9_________26.8
2pt FGs attp. per game____47.5_________44.1
3pt FGs—made/attp.______128-429_____292-717
3pt%______________________29.8%_______40.7%
3pt FGs made per game___3.8__________8.3
3pt FGs attp. per game____12.6_________20.5
FTs—made/attp.__________445-647_____391-546
FT%_______________________68.8%_______71.6%
FTs made per game_______13.1_________11.2
FTs attp. per game________19.0_________15.6
Rebounds________________1443_________1549
Rebs. per game___________42.4_________44.3
Rebounding margin_______9.7_________+13.4
Assists____________________514_________763
Assists per game_________15.1_________21.8
Turnovers________________551_________437
TOs per game____________16.2_________12.5
TO margin_______________-1.0__________+5.7
Assist/TO ratio___________0.9__________1.7
Steals____________________247__________359
Steals per game_________7.3___________10.3
Blocks___________________156___________281
Blocks per game________4.6____________8.0
Attendance_____________59628________119761
Home game average____17-3385_____14-8554
Pts. per Period___
1st______
2nd_____
OT1_______
OT2_____
Game Average
Texas_____________32.8_____34.4_____0.6________0.3______68.1
UConn____________47.7_____41.7_____0.3________-0-_______89.7
UConn probably has the most efficient offense in CWBB this season. But it can be disrupted. Most likely, the Horns will flash a variety of defenses at UConn as well as using different defenders on the players instead of relying solely on one player to try to shut down a specific UConn player. For some reason, it seems to be making the rounds that Texas is not a very good halfcourt team. Since our posts are the leading scorers and have the best FG% on the team, I don’t know why that particular rumor got started. Post play is our strength and basically every team we have faced has tried to take that away with zones and/or packing the defense inside. Our guard play was weak in mid conference play but has come on the last ten games. It’s not a coincidence that we have played our best in those games since the early part of the season.
UConn’s ability to run their offense so effectively puts a lot of pressure on the opponent to not make mistakes. Texas is best when running when possible and, when not, running their halfcourt offense without forcing the ball inside. This allows the team to control the pace of the game. It also limits the ability of opponents, in this case UConn, to use TOs to get easy pts.
To tweak a quote, many outside the Texas program and the Texas fans think that the Horns’ chances of winning against UConn are slim and none and that slim has left the building. However, they not looking at the dance floor where slim is having a great time twostepping with the Texas team.
Game time is 11 AM on Saturday with the game on ESPN. KVET 1300 AM will carry the radio broadcast.
For some reason, none of the ESPN experts are picking Texas to advance to the Elite Eight.
From the New Haven Register: Banged-up Texas next for UConn in NCAAs
http://www.nhregister.com/sports/20150325/banged-up-texas-next-for-uconn-in-ncaas
From texassports.com: Women's Basketball preview: vs. No. 1/1 UConn
http://www.texassports.com/news/2015/3/26/WBB_0326154820.aspx
From uconnhuskies.com: No. 1 UConn Heads to Albany for NCAA Regional Semifinal Tilt with Texas
http://www.uconnhuskies.com/sports/w-baskbl/spec-rel/032615aaa.html