I question that. It’s like there is one spot reserved for this, and the party on the outside looks saner by comparison.
Here's how the GOP could screw it up. They gain control of Congress after the midterm elections, so they're no longer on the outside. They get bold and push for a national ban on abortion (which is both fruitless and unconstitutional), and in the process, they get caught up in ugly and stupid fights over issues like rape exceptions, certain types of birth control, etc. We give the media a ton of sound bites of our people saying moronic things, which they'll dutifully broadcast nonstop. It doesn't hurt us in '22, but it does hurt us in '24.
Might some Democrats say stupid things too? Yes, they will. However, it won't come from their leaders, and the media will ignore them. Furthermore, they probably won't control Congress, so they won't be setting the agenda.