Wow, Shark, you've been busy this morning.
The D's could possibly lose the Senate next year due to the number who have announced they won't seek relection (5 so far counting Herb Kohl who bugged out yesterday), but the R's have 2 leaving so far with probably more to come (paging Tom Coburn) and they need some good candidates to keep those seats and take the formally Dem ones.
The curb-stomping was last year. A lot has happened in the brief period of time since then and a lot of indies and R's are unhappy w/ their new and old R congressmen as shown by recall petitions, unexpectedly tight race in NY 26 (one of the reddest in the country, formerly pin-up boy Rep Chris Lee's, only 3 D's elected in the last 150 yrs), polling, and - my favorite - the large number of freshmen Congressional R's who sent a letter to the President asking him to ask their D counterparts to quite being so mean to them and saying hateful "partisan" things about them. Crybabies who have not delivered on their promises of jobs, smaller govt, less govt intereference in personal lives, and 40 acres and a mule are scared of their voters.
A chance of R's taking the Senate, a chance of D's taking the House, no chance of Obama losing to any announced or potential Republican. Herman Cain? Ron Paul? Newt? Trump? Pawlenty? Huck? Bachmann? Santorum? Sarah? Even unannounced Christie, Daniels, or Huntsman are unknowns. (Yeah, yeah...so was "Dear Leader", etc.).
When 45% of voters (latest NY Times-GfK Roper poll) say they are dissatisfied with the GOP candidates who have declared or are thought to be serious about running, up from 33 percent two months ago, you've got problems.
A lot of you listen to the R talking heads in your car and watch Fox News 24/7, thinking the rest of the country is drinking that kool aid too, but in reality they're not.