Is there much in the way of statistical improbabilities? If so count me in.
Far too politically incorrect and frankly tactless to comment on or seriously question him about it. However, what are the odds of someone:
1. Being diagnosed with HIV in 1991 (when HIV was practically a death sentence) and having pretty much no apparent health effects 30 years later; and
2. Not infecting his wife because he always used condoms with her but barebacked it with strippers and hookers? How many dudes are sexually careless with skanks who are very high risk for STDs but extremely careful with their wives who presumably are not? Really?? Who the hell does that?
Is this all possible? Of course. But it damn sure takes a lot of needle-threading over a long period of time to be true.
And when I've brought this up to deniers of my theory they usually grudgingly admit that my skepticism makes some sense but deny Magic's motives. Why do this? I say that it's attention, legacy, and money.
Think about it. I think he was 32 years old at the time he went public. He wasn't washed up by any means, but he already had five NBA championships and had established himself as one of the best of all time. He had absolutely nothing left to prove on the basketball court and was already loaded with money. Furthermore, his team was on the decline and getting pushed aside in prominence by the Chicago Bulls. If he had kept playing, he would have declined as a player on a mediocre team.
Just not a lot of reason for a player of his callibur to keep playing. If he had just retired, he would have gone to the Hall of Fame and would be famous but he basically would have faded as a personality as other guys like Larry Bird, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Moses Malone, and Dr. J got replaced in prominence by Michael Jordan, Dennis Rodman, Charles Barkley, etc. However, by claiming to have HIV/AIDS, he became a global megastar unlike any other player of his day and leveraged that to become extremely rich and well-connected. He went from being a great basketball player to being a global media and cultural icon, and there's a hell of a lot to be gained from that.
By the way, I like Magic. Not only was he a hell of a player, he was a good guy. I wish no harm on him at all. But he has been selling snake oil for sympathy and money for 30 years, and I'm not buying.