Htown, You really think we can't have the same mediocre under performing team with a different coach?
Mediocre = average. Since the average team has not made the tournament 15 of the last 16 season and 4 of the last 5, I do not feel the results have been mediocre. There are 351 basketball teams. If 68 teams make the tournament, that’s only 19% of all teams. Being in the top 19%, under the definition of mediocre, is not mediocre. So I would like to preemptively dispense with that word. Barnes results have been good, just not as good as we would all like recently. We want great to elite results, not just good. As I have already stated too many times and you acknowledged, I am not sure we can do better than generally good occasionally great or elite.
You might be right, but I have a hard time accepting that.
That's perfectly fair. We all have our opinions but honestly none of us are really sure what the ceiling of our basketball program is. We know what it is in football and baseball. We will not know in basketball until someone wins a national title or we have a string of coaches after Barnes do worse or the same.
IF it is true what was said in the other thread that we are putting a new stadium south of the river... this whole discussion is pointless and we may as well give up on the program.
And what difference does it make how many guys like Durant, M.Turner, et al Barnes recruits if he can't get out of the 1st round?
It makes a huge difference. See Barnes HAS gone to the final four once and elite 8 three times.
He has proven that if things fall into the right place, he has a shot to take them deep. You HAVE to recruit at least some superstars to have any shot of a national title. If you cannot recruit those super stars, you will be like Penders and never really have any shot of going beyond the elite 8. My problem is I am unsure many coaches can recruit superstars due to the way our basketball program is managed (what carryhorn and I discussed) and the fact that this state is not a basketball state. We are football first and I would argue baseball second. The Northeast, Midwest, East Coast are basketball first. The best talent plays basketball there. The best talent here does not. There is some basketball talent here now, but for a state our size, it is not anything like other parts of the country. We have to have a coach that can convince non Texans to come here like Barnes can. It is a hard sell for players to come across the country to a school that cares more about football and has lame atmosphere (again, see other discussion on athletic department fixing the atmosphere). Billy Donovan won national titles because he was able to recruit non Florida players to Florida (Joachim Noah was from New York City.) If you do not have elite talent, all the coaching in the world will only get you to the elite 8, MAYBE the final four if you get lucky. We have a coach that can get elite talent and has proven he can get to the final four. All you can ask is to have a coach that gives you shot.
Winning the NCAA tournament in basketball (though the same is true of other sports) involves a lot of luck. First, you have to not play a small school that gets hot for that one to two games in the first or second round (see Bucknell beating Kansas, Norfolk State beating Missouri, etc.) Second, related to the first, its all about who you play and when. Unfortunately in 2011, for example, we had to play an Arizona team in the second round that made the elite 8, beat 1 seed Duke, and barely lost the game to go to the final four. Texas and Arizona playing in the second round was terrible seeding. Third, you have to have 6 consecutive games where the refs are not terrible to you or call in our favor (See Texas-Xavier 2004 for bad refs against us). Fourth, true in all sports, generally cannot have injuries. You want a coach that has the talent to win it all if no bad luck events described above happen to you.
Finally, I attended the Iowa State basketball game and Minnesota baseball game yesterday. I will agree Barnes coaching mistakes cost us, especially the lineup before halftime, yesterday. Maybe Barnes does not have it anymore. On the other hand lots of coaches have bad streaks. Billy Donovan failed to win an NCAA tournament game 3 seasons in row. From 2008-2010, Florida only made the NCAA tournament once. This season will be the 5th time florida has not made the tournament under Donovan. DKR, in football went 6-4, 7-4, and 6-4 1965-1967 between national titles. Augie Garrido made the CWS in 2011, then failed to make the NCAA tournament in 2012 and 2013, then made the CWS again in 2013. People were making plenty of "Garrido has lost it" arguments a year ago. Since Barnes has proven he can make a final four, you just do not get rid of him willy-nilly. I would give one more year regardless of this year. Why? Besides the fact he is a proven commodity, our team has five juniors. I am unsure Myles Turner has played well enough to jump to the NBA (though I am certainly not an NBA scout). If we return everyone, we might as well give him one more shot with the team he has built and hope we do not have injuries like this year. Unless Holmes gets over his concussions, we will probably be better without him next year (hate saying that has Holmes has been one of my favorite players). A new coach would need to build his own team with his own recruits. Instead he would have to wait a year with Barnes's seniors before he could really recruit his own team. After next season the seniors would be gone and a new coach would be able to get started right away. We may as well maximize our chances for success next year and keep the person who built this team.... of course this is all assuming Patterson can get a coach at least as decent or preferably better than Barnes to come here.