2024 GOP Primary

Ha! Do you think Harris can win the 2nd half after being tied at half? Don’t make me laugh.

 
No **** Sherlock - been saying this for months. Also NC is a given so it’s just GA and PA.

 
Be careful of polls conducted over labor day weekend. As noted below, they historically tend to favor democrats.

 
CNN has a bunch of state polls out, some are garbage. Note CNN was negative Trump by 7% pts in 2020.
 
Trump is doing a townhall in PA this week and the debate is next week.
 
Okay, I have been reading about Harris EC strategy:
1. It acknowledges that Harris is behind in PA and will likely not win it.
2. Thus how to win? Harris must win GA, MI, WI, AZ. Basically it’s her only path if she loses PA.
3. How can Trump win if he loses GA? He reaches 271 EV if he wins PA (assumed), AZ, and NV.
4. Scenarios above assumes Trump wins NC.

As you can see, Trump has the EC advantage because for whatever reason, PA has been leaning Trump all year.
 

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