I’m up can’t sleep so I decided to fill my brain with wbb to relax so I can sleep. The Big IS NOT GOING TO BE A CAKE WALK. Baylor is back along with Kansas returned 4of 5 starters . Yes Kstate and ISU are ????’s but can be formidable. Okie state she signed a whole rotation out of the portal to go along with the best shooter in the conf in Garzon, like a whole 9 good solid players. TCU as well has flipped the bad into something you cannot pencil in a win and his style of play is fast he was responsible for the offense when Oregon had Sabrina and Sabally etc… Last BYU always is a solid group and U of H is another he went and got pieces that fit his in your face defensive style from the portal and his 2 best players both used they super senior year. If I’m up I know Vic is up looking and scheming cause yea it’s going to be a show this year in the big 12 mark my words. The conference as whole will not be down as it was. O and WVU new coach from sFA is no joke he made SFA better after Schneider left for Kansas so now we had the last 2 sFA coaches in our conference. I’m shook a lil to be honest we could end up anywhere from 1st- 5th seed in big12 tourney.
I like your analysis, but I can't help thinking that predictive things like this are contemplated every single preseason, and every single year injuries happen (sadly) and are factors in fouling up every prediction. Nobody considers injuries because no fan wants to think about one of their favorite players being out for the season with an ACL or an Achilles, etc., let alone incorporating that kind of a gruesome prediction into their season projections. How does one theoretically factor in that kind of thing? Look at last season alone.
Where is Texas if Rori, Taylor, and AMo aren't hurt? I'd say at least three more wins and a few seeds higher in the tourney. Better seeding, and we probably hit the Elite 8 again, or better.
What about Iowa State? How much different would they have been with a healthy Soares? And KSU with Lee?
I could go on, but those three examples serve to bolster my point. Yes, we could be 1st - 5th seed in the conference tourney. If the injury bug bites again, we could be even lower. If it moves on to other programs, pencil us in for the higher end of your range.
Let's all hope we get a nation-wide miracle season, and every single player on every team suffers no more than expected bumps and bruises. It ain't gonna' happen, but it's the best thing a fan of the game can wish for.