BabHorn
10,000+ Posts
Tech welcomes Texas to Lubbock this coming Saturday. This will be the last home game of a five home game stretch for the Lady Raiders. The past four have all been wins for Tech. The biggest scalp among those four belonged to UCLA. Meanwhile, Texas has a 2-2 record in the past four games, going 1-2 in road games and 1-0 at home. Actually, the one away win was at a neutral court. The teams each won at home last season. Some WEIRD things have happened to Texas in Lubbock.
Tech has three big post players, Jordan Barncastle (#1, 6-2 Fr. F), Kierra Mallard (#20, 6-3 Fr. C), and Dominic Seals (#41, 6-2 Sr. F). Seals is the main threat as she leads the team in scoring (13.5 ppg) and rebounding (7.8 rpg). Mallard plays 20 mpg and averages 8.7 ppg and 6.9 rpg (second on the team). Barncastle adds 6.1 ppg and 4.9 rpg in 18 minutes a game. All three have started at least 6 six games. They will put a lot of pressure on the Horns’ interior players. Seals had an outstanding game for Tech at home last year.
In fact, every player that has played for Tech has started at least 1 game this season. Maria Moore (#3, 5-5 Sr. G) leads Tech with 53 assists (4.1 apg). Jordan Murphree (#13, 6-0 Jr. G) has only played in seven games but has started four and is the second leading scorer by average at 12.1 ppg. Moore and Murphree lead the team with 16 steals each. That’s an average of 1.2 spg and 2.3 spg, respectively.
As a team, Tech makes a very average 68.5% of their FTs. Seals tops the team in FTs made and attempted with 42 of 64 (65.6%).Tilmila Martin (#14, 5-6 jr. G) is the top FT shooter, having made 30-34 (88.2%). The Lady Raiders will shoot it from BTA, with five players have taken at least 23 3s. Maddy Brown (#32, 5-10 Jr. G) has taken 48 of 53 shots from BTA. She has made 17 for 35.4%. Three others have almost 50% of their FG attempts as 3s. Moore’s 10 made 3s rank second on the team to Brown’s 17. Murphree (7-19, 36.8%), Martin (7-24, 29.2%), Keisha Walker (#2, 5-8 Sr. G; 9-33, 27.3% on 3s) and LaVonda Henderson (#23, 5-7 Sr. G; 7-23, 30.4% on 3s) are other players that the Horns will need to be aware of when they are behind the 3pt line. Look for Seals (11.6 FG attempts per game) and Murphree (9.1 FG attempted per game) to be the primary shooters for Tech. Murphree changes things for Tech, giving them someone who can score from BTA and inside, shares the ball well (2.6 apg, tied for second on the team), and is the best ball thief on the squad. There’s little question that she is likely to be Brit’s primary defensive assignment.
Texas is led by Brit’s 14.9 ppg and Kat’s 13.4 ppg. Erika is third on the team at 9.9 ppg. There are 3 players tied with 20 steals each: Lindsey, Earnie and Yvonne. Carla has 18 steals and Kat 16. Lindsey and Gayle will make things difficult inside with 36 and 31 blocks, respectively. Carla leads the team with 77 assists while Yvonne is second with 31. Kat (6.2 rpg), Earnie (5.2 rpg), and Lindsey (4.9 rpg) lead the Horns’ assault on the boards where they have a 10.9 advantage.
If the Horns are shooting a technical, they want Kristen to shoot it. She leads the team with a 95.2% on FTs (20-21). She leads five other Horns that are making at least 80% of their FTs. Brit and Kat each have made 49 FTs to lead the team. Brit has attempted 59 (83.1%) and Kat 55 (89.1%). Erika and Kat are the designated 3pt shooters, have made and taken 26-64 (40.6%) and 20-55 (36.4%). respectively. However, Brit, Earnie, Carla, and Yvonne are all threats from BTA that need to be respected. The Horns have had a fairly stable starting six, with Kat and Erika taking turns starting. Carla, Brit, Earnie and Lindsey have started all 14 games. Kat and Erika have each started seven games.
Defensively, the Horns are allowing only 32.5% on FGs and 26.5% on 3s compared to Tech’s 36.5% and 35.2%. The Horns are making 47.1% of their FGs and 39.8% of 3s. Tech comes into this game making 41.5% of FGs and 31.9% on 3s. FT% also favors Texas, 76.5 to 68.5. The question for Texas is whether the team that has put up those %s shows up or the one that lost two of the last four games by shooting and defending poorly.
A statistical comparison the two teams for their pre-conference games.
[pre]
TEAM STATISTICS UT Tech
--------------------------------------------------
SCORING................. 1108 897
Points per game....... 79.1 69.0
Scoring margin........ +26.0 +9.4
FIELD GOALS-ATT......... 401-851 316-761
Field goal pct........ .471 .415
3 POINT FG-ATT.......... 82-206 65-204
3-point FG pct........ .398 .319
3-pt FG made per game. 5.9 5.0
FREE THROWS-ATT......... 224-293 200.292
Free throw pct........ .765 .685
F-Throws made per game 16.0 15.4
REBOUNDS................ 614 521
Rebounds per game..... 43.9 40.1
Rebounding margin..... +10.9 +2.7
ASSISTS................. 233 188
Assists per game...... 16.6 14.5
TURNOVERS............... 240 204
Turnovers per game.... 17.1 15.7
Turnover margin....... +3.0 +2.6
Assist/turnover ratio. 1.0 0.9
STEALS.................. 143 110
Steals per game....... 10.2 8.5
BLOCKS.................. 91 44
Blocks per game....... 6.5 3.4
ATTENDANCE.............. 37972 76005
Home games-Avg/Game... 8-4746 9-8445
SCORE BY PERIODS: 1st 2nd Total
------------------------- ---- ---- ----
Texas.................... 521 587 - 1108
Texas Tech............... 420 477 - 897 [/pre]
Some things to look for: who wins the inside game, Murphree vs Brit and whose bench contributes more. Both teams have basically four inside players. I’m counting Ashlee Roberson (#31, 5-11 Jr. F) as a post player for Tech. I could be wrong. Tech has the better offensive post player in Seals. Texas is going to counter with shotblockers Lindsey and Gayle. Barncastle and Mallard for Tech and Kristen for Texas will be important in providing depth. If Texas has Aubry available, the Horns should have a slight edge. Murphree and Brit came into the league at the same time. Both are excellent players that can do a multitude of things. I think Brit is quicker with Murphree being stronger. This battle, should they guard each other extensively, should be worth the price of admission. Both are extremely important to their teams. Both teams play all available players. For both, that is normally 11 players. For Tech, that means 10 players who average between 14 and 29 minutes with an 11th averaging 8 mpg. For Texas, all 11 players average in double digit minutes, between 12 and 24 minutes. Aubry, however, has not been available the last few games due to an injury. Fatigue is not likely to be a problem although it remains to be seen if the benches are used as extensively as they have been during pre-conference games.
There’s no question that, statistically, Texas should win this game easily. But that is why the games are played, because the team with the best stats doesn’t always win. With the history behind this series, especially in games played in Lubbock, this should be an very interesting and probably close game. See Dlbt81’s post that gives an outstanding overview of the series since 1990. Tech is averaging 8445 per home game. The Horns should expect a few more to show up. Tech is running some promotions for this game.
Unusual for the series, there will be no tv for this game. KVET 1300AM will broadcast the game as usual in the Austin area.
Both institutions have their previews up. The Texas preview can be found here while this is the release from Texas Tech.
Tech has three big post players, Jordan Barncastle (#1, 6-2 Fr. F), Kierra Mallard (#20, 6-3 Fr. C), and Dominic Seals (#41, 6-2 Sr. F). Seals is the main threat as she leads the team in scoring (13.5 ppg) and rebounding (7.8 rpg). Mallard plays 20 mpg and averages 8.7 ppg and 6.9 rpg (second on the team). Barncastle adds 6.1 ppg and 4.9 rpg in 18 minutes a game. All three have started at least 6 six games. They will put a lot of pressure on the Horns’ interior players. Seals had an outstanding game for Tech at home last year.
In fact, every player that has played for Tech has started at least 1 game this season. Maria Moore (#3, 5-5 Sr. G) leads Tech with 53 assists (4.1 apg). Jordan Murphree (#13, 6-0 Jr. G) has only played in seven games but has started four and is the second leading scorer by average at 12.1 ppg. Moore and Murphree lead the team with 16 steals each. That’s an average of 1.2 spg and 2.3 spg, respectively.
As a team, Tech makes a very average 68.5% of their FTs. Seals tops the team in FTs made and attempted with 42 of 64 (65.6%).Tilmila Martin (#14, 5-6 jr. G) is the top FT shooter, having made 30-34 (88.2%). The Lady Raiders will shoot it from BTA, with five players have taken at least 23 3s. Maddy Brown (#32, 5-10 Jr. G) has taken 48 of 53 shots from BTA. She has made 17 for 35.4%. Three others have almost 50% of their FG attempts as 3s. Moore’s 10 made 3s rank second on the team to Brown’s 17. Murphree (7-19, 36.8%), Martin (7-24, 29.2%), Keisha Walker (#2, 5-8 Sr. G; 9-33, 27.3% on 3s) and LaVonda Henderson (#23, 5-7 Sr. G; 7-23, 30.4% on 3s) are other players that the Horns will need to be aware of when they are behind the 3pt line. Look for Seals (11.6 FG attempts per game) and Murphree (9.1 FG attempted per game) to be the primary shooters for Tech. Murphree changes things for Tech, giving them someone who can score from BTA and inside, shares the ball well (2.6 apg, tied for second on the team), and is the best ball thief on the squad. There’s little question that she is likely to be Brit’s primary defensive assignment.
Texas is led by Brit’s 14.9 ppg and Kat’s 13.4 ppg. Erika is third on the team at 9.9 ppg. There are 3 players tied with 20 steals each: Lindsey, Earnie and Yvonne. Carla has 18 steals and Kat 16. Lindsey and Gayle will make things difficult inside with 36 and 31 blocks, respectively. Carla leads the team with 77 assists while Yvonne is second with 31. Kat (6.2 rpg), Earnie (5.2 rpg), and Lindsey (4.9 rpg) lead the Horns’ assault on the boards where they have a 10.9 advantage.
If the Horns are shooting a technical, they want Kristen to shoot it. She leads the team with a 95.2% on FTs (20-21). She leads five other Horns that are making at least 80% of their FTs. Brit and Kat each have made 49 FTs to lead the team. Brit has attempted 59 (83.1%) and Kat 55 (89.1%). Erika and Kat are the designated 3pt shooters, have made and taken 26-64 (40.6%) and 20-55 (36.4%). respectively. However, Brit, Earnie, Carla, and Yvonne are all threats from BTA that need to be respected. The Horns have had a fairly stable starting six, with Kat and Erika taking turns starting. Carla, Brit, Earnie and Lindsey have started all 14 games. Kat and Erika have each started seven games.
Defensively, the Horns are allowing only 32.5% on FGs and 26.5% on 3s compared to Tech’s 36.5% and 35.2%. The Horns are making 47.1% of their FGs and 39.8% of 3s. Tech comes into this game making 41.5% of FGs and 31.9% on 3s. FT% also favors Texas, 76.5 to 68.5. The question for Texas is whether the team that has put up those %s shows up or the one that lost two of the last four games by shooting and defending poorly.
A statistical comparison the two teams for their pre-conference games.
[pre]
TEAM STATISTICS UT Tech
--------------------------------------------------
SCORING................. 1108 897
Points per game....... 79.1 69.0
Scoring margin........ +26.0 +9.4
FIELD GOALS-ATT......... 401-851 316-761
Field goal pct........ .471 .415
3 POINT FG-ATT.......... 82-206 65-204
3-point FG pct........ .398 .319
3-pt FG made per game. 5.9 5.0
FREE THROWS-ATT......... 224-293 200.292
Free throw pct........ .765 .685
F-Throws made per game 16.0 15.4
REBOUNDS................ 614 521
Rebounds per game..... 43.9 40.1
Rebounding margin..... +10.9 +2.7
ASSISTS................. 233 188
Assists per game...... 16.6 14.5
TURNOVERS............... 240 204
Turnovers per game.... 17.1 15.7
Turnover margin....... +3.0 +2.6
Assist/turnover ratio. 1.0 0.9
STEALS.................. 143 110
Steals per game....... 10.2 8.5
BLOCKS.................. 91 44
Blocks per game....... 6.5 3.4
ATTENDANCE.............. 37972 76005
Home games-Avg/Game... 8-4746 9-8445
SCORE BY PERIODS: 1st 2nd Total
------------------------- ---- ---- ----
Texas.................... 521 587 - 1108
Texas Tech............... 420 477 - 897 [/pre]
Some things to look for: who wins the inside game, Murphree vs Brit and whose bench contributes more. Both teams have basically four inside players. I’m counting Ashlee Roberson (#31, 5-11 Jr. F) as a post player for Tech. I could be wrong. Tech has the better offensive post player in Seals. Texas is going to counter with shotblockers Lindsey and Gayle. Barncastle and Mallard for Tech and Kristen for Texas will be important in providing depth. If Texas has Aubry available, the Horns should have a slight edge. Murphree and Brit came into the league at the same time. Both are excellent players that can do a multitude of things. I think Brit is quicker with Murphree being stronger. This battle, should they guard each other extensively, should be worth the price of admission. Both are extremely important to their teams. Both teams play all available players. For both, that is normally 11 players. For Tech, that means 10 players who average between 14 and 29 minutes with an 11th averaging 8 mpg. For Texas, all 11 players average in double digit minutes, between 12 and 24 minutes. Aubry, however, has not been available the last few games due to an injury. Fatigue is not likely to be a problem although it remains to be seen if the benches are used as extensively as they have been during pre-conference games.
There’s no question that, statistically, Texas should win this game easily. But that is why the games are played, because the team with the best stats doesn’t always win. With the history behind this series, especially in games played in Lubbock, this should be an very interesting and probably close game. See Dlbt81’s post that gives an outstanding overview of the series since 1990. Tech is averaging 8445 per home game. The Horns should expect a few more to show up. Tech is running some promotions for this game.
Unusual for the series, there will be no tv for this game. KVET 1300AM will broadcast the game as usual in the Austin area.
Both institutions have their previews up. The Texas preview can be found here while this is the release from Texas Tech.
