SEC Championship Prediction Thread: Texas vs. Georgia...Do We Show Up This Time?

If anyone thinks GA and TX are going to be on the same side of the bracket, oh nevermind.
 
Not especially meaningful but interesting to see some stats on this matchup. I don’t know what RROE is or if our grade of 127 is good or bad. :idk:

source: @statsowar Parker Fleming

Gd9MIXfWoAAz9cu.jpg
 
Remember the SEC championship is more important than the CFP.
 
I think ga got a little lucky here in Austin. We gave them too many short fields and the offensive line was not having the best game. I believe this changes, it it will also require Quinn to play two good halves. No more sloppy play. Secure the ball if you are going to take off running. Throw the ball out of bounds, not just lob it up for an easy interception. With this said:

Mighty Longhorns : 27
Georgia Bullies : 20
 
mchammer said:
If anyone thinks GA and TX are going to be on the same side of the bracket, oh nevermind.
Click to expand...
Last night showed Alabama and Georgia matching and taking the next game against Texas. And the claim was they did not expect to move teams up or down that have no more games.

Thus, if Texas wins the CCG, there is, at the moment, a chance of back to backs with GA.
 
My observations are:

1. Status of Trevor Etienne - Was the workhorse against us on October 19th. He logged 87 rush yards, 23 receiving yards for 110 combined yards, and 3 TDs. He was THE difference for an otherwise forgettable Georgia offense. Of course, it helped that the Georgia O started several drives within field goal range. He was out v.s. Georgia Tech and may not suit up for the SEC championship. If he's out, that is HUGE - Georgia O takes a step back.

2. Carson Beck - Was putrid against us on October 19th. He was 23/41 for 175 yards and 3 INTs for a QB rating of 64.8. Yes, that's right, 64.8. His only highlight game was against Tennessee. Because of Quinn's struggles (primarily because of a lack of protection and no run game), the fact that Beck laid an egg is overlooked.

3. The Texas Offensive LIne - Was punched in the face and never recovered on October 19th. Their failure led to 2 Quinn fumbles, 1 Arch fumble, 1 Quinn INT, and 7 sacks or a loss of 35 yards. The Texas offensive line led the way for a grand total of 21 rush yards against the Georgia D.

It is highly, highly unlikely that the Georgia O gets to start a majority of its drives in Texas territory. It is highly, highly unlikely that the Georgia D collects another 7 sacks and 3 turnovers. Could happen, but I say no.

The Texas offensive line is still embarrassed, and has accepted a challenge to win the trenches in the championship.

Sark has allowed the Texas team to evolve midseason, which is a marvel to have watched. Previously, the Texas "identity" was as a pass-happy Big XII-type pinball offense with all the pressure on Quinn to win in the air. Texas is now more a stingy defense first, run it down your throat first offense. Somewhere, Saban is smiling because Texas looks more like his older Alabama teams - suffocating defense, run oriented, game managing offense - than most people realize.

The Texas offense, led by a scorned o-line, establishes a reliable run game and Quinn manages the game with a steady diet of Gunnar Helm and throws to the RBs, with an occasional big play to the receivers. The Texas defense stuffs the run game, dares Carson Beck to win in the air, and snatches two INTs.

Texas ignores a Georgia home crowd and cooly collects a 27 - 16 victory.
 
Eliminate the turnovers, sacks, and the resulting short fields from the first meeting, and I like our chances. Now, I’m naive about how you go about fixing problems experienced previously, but I think we should run more pass plays where the primary receivers and patterns are on the left side of the field, giving Quinn or Arch more of an opportunity to have eyes on that side to help see line issues earlier and react accordingly.

The real UT 23, Georgia 17.
 
Just wanted to say if the margin is 10 points or more, it will be Texas not GA applying the pain.
 
Bulldogs 27
Horns 17

Ewers turns the ball over, kicking game under performs and the come down from the Aggie win is too much to overcome.
 
UT Horn Fan said:
From what I’ve seen, winning the CCG would make TX a 2 seed. That would mean a 1st round bye and 2nd round matchup with the winner of Indiana/Georgia in a neutral site bowl game. A loss in the CCG would most likely make them a 5 seed. That would mean a 1st round matchup with Arizona State (B12 champ) in Austin and 2nd round with 4 seed Boise State (MW champ) in a neutral site bowl game.

According to the talking heads on the SEC Football Final show, a majority of coaches don’t want a week off this late - unless there is a particular injury they need time for or maybe they just played a 8 OT game and need to recover. There’s no time to be rusty coming off a bye week when it’s win-or-go-home. Not saying I agree, just that that’s what they said.
Click to expand...
I agree that the #5-seed (whoever it is) is going to have a MUCH EASIER time getting to the Semifinals than the #1 or #2 seed. I think the #5-seed is the best seed in the current playoff format. It is better than the #1 or the #2 seed, even though you have to play 1 more game. Here is why:

The question is who has an easier path to get to the SemiFinals. In the SemiFinals, you will be playing a very good team regardless, so there is really no value in positioning yourself for SemiFinal placement. If you get there, you will be playing a very good team. But there is a big difference in the path to get to the SemiFinals.

The #5 playoff seeding will play the #12 playoff seed in the first round. This is very likely the winner of the 5th best conference, which is probably going to be ranked much LOWER than #12. In the current rankings (assuming all the higher ranked teams win their conference championships) this is Arizona State - which is ranked at 15.

Then the #5 seed plays the #4 seed - which is the 4th best conference champion. This team will probably be ranked much LOWER than 4, because teams from the top 3 conferences will usually take up the higher rankings. In the current rankings, this would be Boise State which is ranked at 10.

Therefore, to get to the semifinals, the #5 seed just has to beat the #12 Arizona State (ranked 15) and #4 Boise State (ranked 10).

Let's compare that to the #1 and #2 seeds. The #1 seed plays the winner of the #8 and #9 seeds. The teams who take these seeds will probably be ranked much HIGHER than 8 or 9, because the #3 and #4 seeds go to conference champions (who are probably ranked lower). In the current rankings, these teams are Ohio State (ranked 6) and Tennessee (ranked 7). Therefore the #1 seed has to play the winner of Ohio State or Tennessee to get to the SemiFinals.

The #2 seed plays the winner of the #7 and #10 seeds. Again, the teams who take these seeds will probably be ranked much HIGHER than 7 and 10. In the current rankings, these teams are Georgia (ranked 5) and Indiana (ranked 10). Therefore, the #2 has to play Georgia (most probably) to get to the SemiFinals.

I would much rather be playing Arizona State and Boise State, than either Ohio State or Georgia to get to the SemiFinals. That is why the #5 seed is the BEST seed in the current playoff format.
 
SteveInAustin said:
I agree that the #5-seed (whoever it is) is going to have a MUCH EASIER time getting to the Semifinals than the #1 or #2 seed. I think the #5-seed is the best seed in the current playoff format. It is better than the #1 or the #2 seed, even though you have to play 1 more game. Here is why:

The question is who has an easier path to get to the SemiFinals. In the SemiFinals, you will be playing a very good team regardless, so there is really no value in positioning yourself for SemiFinal placement. If you get there, you will be playing a very good team. But there is a big difference in the path to get to the SemiFinals.

The #5 playoff seeding will play the #12 playoff seed in the first round. This is very likely the winner of the 5th best conference, which is probably going to be ranked much LOWER than #12. In the current rankings (assuming all the higher ranked teams win their conference championships) this is Arizona State - which is ranked at 15.

Then the #5 seed plays the #4 seed - which is the 4th best conference champion. This team will probably be ranked much LOWER than 4, because teams from the top 3 conferences will usually take up the higher rankings. In the current rankings, this would be Boise State which is ranked at 10.

Therefore, to get to the semifinals, the #5 seed just has to beat the #12 Arizona State (ranked 15) and #4 Boise State (ranked 10).

Let's compare that to the #1 and #2 seeds. The #1 seed plays the winner of the #8 and #9 seeds. The teams who take these seeds will probably be ranked much HIGHER than 8 or 9, because the #3 and #4 seeds go to conference champions (who are probably ranked lower). In the current rankings, these teams are Ohio State (ranked 6) and Tennessee (ranked 7). Therefore the #1 seed has to play the winner of Ohio State or Tennessee to get to the SemiFinals.

The #2 seed plays the winner of the #7 and #10 seeds. Again, the teams who take these seeds will probably be ranked much HIGHER than 7 and 10. In the current rankings, these teams are Georgia (ranked 5) and Indiana (ranked 10). Therefore, the #2 has to play Georgia (most probably) to get to the SemiFinals.

I would much rather be playing Arizona State and Boise State, than either Ohio State or Georgia to get to the SemiFinals. That is why the #5 seed is the BEST seed in the current playoff format.
Click to expand...
It does look like this right now, but I wonder whether the committee will tinker with the final bracket, Almost all of the relevant teams will have another win or loss, and even if it is only counted as "1/4" of a win or loss, they get to re-sort everything, at least a little--and with a very subjective viewpoint of what it means for Penn State or us or Georgia or whomever to have another loss. Then, they could use that subjectivity to get a bracket that makes sense. For example, making sure we don't play Georgia in back to back games.

(I assume most people would agree that having to play Ohio State is not the same as playing Boise State or Arizona State....)
 
Horns get revenge. Taafee with yet another pick. Beck injury. Kicking and punting continues to be the worst that I’ve witnessed in 53 years.

Bevo 33
Bulldogs 24
 
I would like to hear from CDC about the Bevo ban. The fans deserve an explanation on why other mascots are allowed but not ours. Sorry but that’s f’ed up and not ok.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Weekly Prediction Contest

Predict TEXAS-ARIZONA STATE

CFP Round 2 • Peach Bowl
Wed, Jan 1 • 12:00 PM on ESPN
AZ State game and preview thread


Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl website

Recent Threads

Prediction Results Threads

2024 Schedules

Back
Top