A few more observations after a couple of weeks with my 16 GB wi-fi iPad.
For me and my family it's like another little appliance in the house. We pick it up, do what we want to, and set it aside. We leave it around the kitchen or living area, and grab it for a quick email, weather check, update the Netflix queue, look up something on the web, or look at some photos. I have synced more than 12,000 photos from nine years of my Aperture library, and I still have about 5 GB of free space. The iPad is a nice little photo album to have lying around, especially considering that I have thousands of photos that I will never print, so the kids can browse through them any time.
I also noticed that I am going upstairs to open my laptop less frequently because the iPad handles the little common tasks well. It's definitely not a necessity for us, just a handy extension of technology we already have. But the easy mobility of it is part of the value. Battery life is very good so we'll use it for several days before I need to think about plugging it into the charger.
The iPad, in its current form, will not work for me as a primary device because I need the power and memory of a full-featured laptop for processing images and HD video. But for someone like my mom who just wants to do basic tasks, it seems almost perfect. I think that says a lot for a first generation device, and I expect that future iPad models will provide more power and functionality as the technology evolves.
This quote from John Patrick, former Marketing VP at IBM, is pretty accurate, I think:
"When we introduced the ThinkPad in 1992 it seemed like a huge deal just to get everyone at IBM to agree with the name. No one, certainly not me as VP of marketing at the time, had any idea that more than 30 million ThinkPads would be sold. The iPad will surely sell multiple times that number but more important the iPad will change the model of personal computing — not immediately and not for everyone, but for many millions of people the PC will begin to look like a dinosaur."
I think the risk that Apple has taken here is to try to redefine what 'computing' means for a lot of people, and I believe the time is right for such a transition. It's about getting the technology out of the way for the average user (file systems, complex software installations, disk management, etc) and focusing in on the basic tasks people want to do every day. In that sense I think it could be a huge success. And for other fields like health care, education and publishing, there's huge potential for this form factor. We're looking at a new class of device here, and if we see other companies coming out with similar offerings soon, then we'll know that Apple has hit on something important. The iPad isn't perfect and it's certainly not for everyone, but I give Apple credit for taking this risk and executing well on the strategy.