I do a lot of reading. I have PhD in Chemical Engineering. I try to ignore the politics when doing analysis. The media publishes crap to get ratings, not to tell the events. Further, epidemiolgy is like economics - only good for describing what happened, not good for predicting the future. Second, assuming you have data to trust, you go with the data ALWAYS. Ignore the talking heads. The data tells me that cases start to drop at 15-20% infected due to 40% of the population having cross immunity from coronavirus colds. You see it when looking at data from 40 states that I track daily plus foreign countries (like Sweden, Chile, Panama, UK, etc.). Not a single state or country at 20% infected has had a second surge (just a long tail). We know true infection is 8-12x known cases from blood tests. Finally follow the $$$ from the media, politicians, and drug companies. It’s in everyone’s interest except Trump to pump the fear porn. Going on severe lockdown only delays a surge in infections. Check out Australia and Singapore where they failed to control it. We are 6 months away from a possible vaccine - way too long for a severe shutdown on the economy.
