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SabreBill,
That’s all well and good, but when you have 2 million tested and 26 million untested, you can grab a couple of million new tests and drive the numbers through the ceiling or lower that the Grand Canyon.
We have no idea of the demographic makeup of these numbers, if that even matters.
The politicians started off with some dubious testing centers staffed by less qualified workers. How did that skew the numbers?
You guys are looking at the wrong stats. It’s not about daily cases or deaths. See tweet below and compare against NY, NJ, MA, CT, RI, DC which are above 15% infected. Note peak in Sweden was at approx 7.5% infected. Florida, AZ, and TX need to reach that level before infections start to come down. Note the US Northeast did not have a second surge after the street protests.Sabre
I agree the 2020 cumulative numbers are suspect for many reasons.
The last 4 weeks looks like we are a long way from cresting in July.
or August.
Just one opinion.
The CDC has said the true number of infected is likely 10x positive cases. If so, NY and NJ are >20% infected. MA is similar, probably at 18% infected. The states that have seen a smaller surge are likely at 10-15% infected. Finally the states that are peaking now like CA, TX, and FL are just now approaching 10%. The issue now is that there is a lot more testing available today vs NY and NJ in the early days of the crisis. So, the comparisons aren’t going to match so well. But I contend that once this turns in Texas the cases will go down week after week, and it should be obvious by mid -August.MC
Here are 4 charts showing the current daily CV19 positive tests to look at the trends that CV19 has in the US. When we put them all together we get one picture but the components are important.
Texas has been increasing since late May and has reached its highest levels in early July. The Texas chart is simliar for CA, FL, AZ, GA etc which are over 100M population. Any deaths associated with the current cases are a lagging indicator that will show up in the next 4 weeks plus any new infections. The count is increasing.
The NY chart indicates a fast start and early peak by Apr 8th with a steady decline to the current 600+ daily rate. NY was running 1200/day in late May. The NY chart is similiar pattern for NJ, IL, MA, MI, CT etc and represents 80M population. The count is in decline.
The daily chart for the US shows an early NY peak at Apr 8 of 30K+ cases a steady decline to late May to 22K cases and a significant increase to July 10 to 60K+ cases. The NY East peak was followed by a decline and then the TX South increase took over. The US is at double the NY peak. The count is increasing.
The Ohio chart represents a third group that have a much different pattern than TX SW and NY East. The Ohio chart is similair to LA, WA, VA. IA, IN, MO, KS with an early Apr peak followed by a decline to June and an increase to Jul. The Ohio MW group has a 65M population. The count is increasing.
The direction of CV19 as it works its way through the south and middle on the US appears to be follow population density. The current trends of July as CV19 works its way across the US is an increasing count of daily cases to record levels in July.
Hopefully advances in treatment, early hospitalization and early detection by testing will have a positive impact on the death counts while we wait for vaccines and herd immunity to arrive.
We are a long way to 15% or 50M cases in the US.
Just one opinion.
MC, Is this cases or deaths?Look at Sweden’s curve of cases. Looks similar to US curve. Neither country undertook a serious lockdown.
Sorry, it is cases. I should have cropped the file. I say the decline starts in 2 weeks in US.MC, Is this cases or deaths?
If cases it shows a decline since Jun 24, when will the 7 days avg for the US start a decline?
Our 50 percent ticket allocation for the cotton bowl just went to 25 percent. Lordly the resale on those thing will be through the roof.50% Occupancy based on TXOU Priority ranking.
Example if you donate $10,000.00 for 2020 you will get up to 6 tickets. abd if you donate less than $10,000.00 you will get 4 tickets.
Some folks will get fewer tickets than they own season tickets.
Priority for the Red River Showdown Tickets
Total Annual Gift Priority Tickets
$75,000+ 12 tickets
$50,000 - $74,999 10 tickets
$25,000 - $49,999 8 tickets
$10,000 - $24,999 6 tickets
$50 - $9,999 4 tickets
Non-Members 2 tickets - if available
One more week of this hysteria, then it drops forever, regardless of vaccine :