I just checked in on the sports forums and saw that I had two private messages from
@Garmel accusing me of "hit jobs" for making posts and not sticking around to defend them. I responded to him privately, but thought I'd check in to see whether he raised any points that make me reconsider my latest post. Nope.
I didn't attack Dr. Cicchetti's statistical analysis. In fact, based on my moderate understanding of statistics, I have no reason to doubt his statistical analysis.
Dr. Cicchetti explicitly spelled out his assumptions in his ten-page summary. Those assumptions are what I refuted. Unless you can somehow rehabilitate his assumptions, the analysis is based on "garbage in" and thus will inevitably yield "garbage out."
To reiterate -- Dr. Cicchetti explicitly assumed that the votes counted before 3:00 a.m. on November 4 were drawn from the same population as the votes counted after 3:00 a.m. on November 4. The truth or falsity of that assumption is the key to his analysis. I don't see you, or anyone else, trying to defend his assumption. And I didn't see any need to hang around to see whether you would refute it, because I knew it couldn't be refuted. It is objectively false.
"Some of the best statisticians out there" -- really? Name one. This guy is not even a statistician, much less one of the best out there --
he is an economist. Every attempt I've seen to debunk the election using statistics or other math techniques (this one, Benford's law, swing-vote scatterplots) has been posted by someone with expertise other than the area they are talking about. And it has all been refuted by people who actually are experts.
As I predicted... I guess SCOTUS must be corrupted, too.