Germany's Refugee Crises

Zero Hedge says "the German establishment was just trounced" --

The German polls have officially closed, and the first exit polls numbers come in, confirming the expected fourth victory for Angela Merkel's CDU/CSU, however getting a unexpectedly low 32.5% of the vote, which according to Europe Elects was the worst result for Merkel's CDU/CSU (EPP) since 1949. Merkel's main challenger, the SPD, got 20%, also its worst result since Nazi era 1945; furthermore, the SPD has said it plans to enter the opposition, collapsing the current CDU/CSU-SPD "grand coalition."

In other words, just like in the recent Franch elections, the German establishment was just trounced:

  • Worst result for Merkel's CDU/CSU since 1949
  • Worst result for SPD Since 1945
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-...ection-afd-enters-parliament-after-late-surge
 
DKgOrxrV4AAhRRr.jpg
 
This is the actual seat allocation.

Screenshot_20170924-185651.png


Some good things. First, Martin Schulz got clobbered. That guy is scum, so that's obviously a good thing. Second, Die Linke and the Greens underperformed. No chance at a SPD-Die Linke-Green coalition. The numbers won't add up. In fact, they won't even come close. Third, the Free Democrats (FDP) did well, which is good, because they're economically the most conservative party. However, also good, they didn't do well enough to give Merkel a majority, which would have invited the same kind of policies we've been getting from her.

Merkel basically has two choices, neither of which are easy for her. She can form a coalition with FDP and the Greens, which means she'll have to juggle significant conflict on economic and environmental issues. (The Greens in Germany aren't anywhere near as nutty as they are in the US, but they still lean left.) Her other option is to breakdown and play ball with the AfD, which would take massive concessions on immigration. She says she won't do that, but the other option gives the Greens a hell of a lot of leverage.

Or, of course, they can call another election if nothing happens.
 
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Joe Fan said:
The Afd seems to be getting a little smarter

DK5mUugXoAAkrzt.jpg
Click to expand...

They had several different versions of these, though this is probably the most "revealing." Nevertheless, I've seen a lot more skin in public. I got off the train once in Wiesbaden and walked through the park across the street from the main rail station, and there were women sunbathing in the park topless - probably ranging in age from about 16 to 60. Some dudes would probably enjoy seeing this, but I was very preoccupied with not starring, which kept me from enjoying the view.
 
Joe Fan said:
My Italy buddy doesnt think Merkel is going to be able to get a govt together
He says FDP is not enuf votes
Click to expand...

Nope. She'd have to bring the Greens in with the FDP. Could the AfD be brought in? Doubtful. At a minimum, she'd have to do a total reversal on immigration, but I doubt that would be enough. She'd have to get a lot more Eurosceptic.
 
2 million immigrants receive unemployment benefits in Germany

The number of foreigners receiving unemployment benefits (Hartz-IV) touches the 2-million-mark for the first time in Germany.

According to the Federal Office for Employment, there were 1,997,519 foreigners on the dole by the end of June, making it 406,570 or 25.6 percent more than in mid-2016.

Out of this number 1,49 million are [classified as] employable – that number has gone up by 20,2 percent, and 507,292 were not employable, a rise of 44,7 percent in that category. [Translated].​

http://m.bild.de/politik/inland/har...er-beziehen-hartz-iv-53437740.bildMobile.html
 
Vienna, Warsaw, Budapest likely to join forces after Austrian vote

http://www.thenews.pl/1/10/Artykul/...ter-Austrian-vote-report#sthash.7zg6UdT1.uxfs

Austria's conservative People's Party, led by 31-year-old Sebastian Kurz, won the country's early parliamentary election on Sunday, and the far-right Freedom Party secured a mandate to enter government coalition talks after a strong showing at the ballot box.

Both parties are anti-immigration in their rhetoric.

According to Britain’s The Times newspaper, a new right-wing and anti-immigration alliance of Austria, Poland and Hungary is likely to emerge in Europe, aided by other Central European countries concerned over Muslim refugees.​
 
Joe Fan said:
Merkel fourth term in doubt as German coalition talks fail

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...-as-german-coalition-talks-fail-idUSKBN1DJ0I3
Click to expand...

Trying to work a deal out with the Greens never made sense. With the rise in terrorist activity, Merkel has tried to walk back or at least moderate her "migrant" policy with imposing an annual cap. They have embraced the role of panderer to the SJWs and urban, white leftists who view the "Wilkommenskultur" as their way to virtue signal. They were never going to go along with any sort of compromise on the issue.

I hope the SPD continues to stay out and forces her to either form a minority government or crawl back and try to form a government with AfD, which would require a full reversal on the migrant issue.
 
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