Electoral College May 17, 2012

[Mr. Deez]

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[majorwhiteapples]

If Romney does not win, I fear for this country's safety. I am in the process of moving further out and will be working from home 90% of the time and stockpiling guns and canned goods!!!!

By the way, Romney is not my guy, before all this started I was a Ryan guy, you can do the research.

 

[Horns11]

The states within 5 percentage points (but +5 Obama now) are not going to be easily swayed by debates.

All of the most recent LV polls (which are usually swayed Red) have Obama up in Florida by a comfortable-enough amount that I doubt Mitt can say anything to the old folks in a debate. The final tally there will probably be somewhere around 50-100K votes in favor of Obama. Close? Yes. 2000 close? Hell no.

By my most recent count, that puts Obama at 266 without Nevada, Colorado, and New Hampshire. Romney's going to need some serious "bust out the brooms" momentum in the swing states. Possible? Sure. Probable? No.

 

[majorwhiteapples]

After the RNC and before the DNC, I have it at the following:

Romney 225
Obama 225

Undecided
NV-6
CO-9
IA-6
WI-10
MI-16
OH-18
VA-13
MO

88 electoral votes undecided
32 Lean Obama
46 Lean Romney

All of this is base on my opinon of what I have read and studied amongst the different credible polling groups, from both sides of the aisle.

After both conventions and giving it a week, not much changed in my opinion other than Missouri being up for grabs. The biggest changes I have seen are some liberal states are stronger for Obama and some conservative states are more for Romney. Missouri is an interesting state that is going to be worth watching.

Take all your jabs you want at me, I don't care, I am just calling it as I see, looking at conservative polls, liberal polls, news polls, likely voters, voters, popularity, congressional races, senatorial races and giving my opinion. Nobody else has given an opinion other than to talk **** about me, that's cool, probably because that is all you have to offer.

 

[Michtex]

 

[Michtex]

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[Mr. Deez]

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[I35]

Two things that are making it close "right now." 1) Obama has spent a lot more money on attack ads at Romney at this point. Well on ads in general to. 2) Obama's record is so bad that even though he has spent all that money on attack ads it is just keeping it even.

The advantage at this point until the election is Romney, he has a ton more money with cash on hand and will be spending much more at crunch time. Romney will be spending money on states like Wisconsin that Obama thought he had already wrapped up will force him to spend there as well. Also the debates should be tough for Obama to run from the real issues. But my understanding that all the left leaning networks are hosting the debates and will control what issues are talked about which means Obama will be asked if he wears boxers or briefs.

 

[majorwhiteapples]

The internet bully called me a drama queen, oooh that hurts so bad from the internet bully who can't even understand what this thread is about, Electoral College,not who is up in National Polls. Shows what people think of your posts they are so put together!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[Michtex]

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[ronthebassman]

Why is this even a discussion? Romney is a worse campaigner than Kerry in 2004. Obama will claim at least 300 electoral votes. Mitt had a chance at the beginning of the summer, but he let the Obama team successfully define him before he could define himself.

Five Thirty Eight

HuffPo Electoral Map

 

[314]

What argument is Mitt Romney going to magically wake up and articulate between now and November? He will continue to say Obama is bad on jobs, health care, and foreign policy, just as he has for a year.

Then he will lose a close election because people like Obama better as a person. Plain and simple.

(Romney donor, voter, and lifelong Republican)

 

[ronthebassman]

If Romney would have been able to keep the focus on jobs and the economy, he would be far ahead right now, and I firmly believe that. Instead, he let his tax returns become an issue, he nominated Paul Ryan who is a lightning rod because of the Ryan budget, and then he had a "Lehman moment" with the attacks in Libya.

 

[Hookem123]

Nothing like the "Carter Moment" Obama is having now. We have a dead ambassador like Carter before him, Obama doesn't have a clue what to do.

He can't attack his muslim buddies, his own sister is muslim, just like his daddy and his step daddy.

 

[Horns11]

"But my understanding that all the left leaning networks are hosting the debates and will control what issues are talked about which means Obama will be asked if he wears boxers or briefs."

Yes... I'm sure that's how it will play to the swing states.