Election Day

mchammer

mchammer

10,000+ Posts
Well, folks here we are: Election Day. This thread is for Election Day related events plus predictions.

I have not changed mine. Namely:

- Trump to do at least 3 pts better than RealClearPolitics poll average (currently +3 for Hillary). So, I'm predicting a tie at worst for Trump.
- Trump victory in the electoral college.
 
I'm also going with Trump for the upset. Polls are skewed, AA and Lib turnout underwhelms.

Plus DT will do better than most expect in minority categories.

There'd be no better day of online surfing in the history of the internet than Wed. Reading the fallout in the media and coming out of Hollywood would be priceless.

Please, please, please make this happen. :popcorn:
 
Hillary with 300+ Electoral Votes.
Senate is 50/50 with VP Kaine giving her a Democratic Majority for two years.
 
Trump will do better than expected but I stick with what I've said since before any primary, Hillary has too much power behind her - corrupt and otherwise. She will win and I think it's sad.
 
At the risk of waffling from my prediction two weeks ago, I'm sticking with 323-215 (potentially 214 if the GA faithless elector follows through with her threat). HRC keeps FL, NC, and NV in addition to all the swing states that Trump needed to get up to 272.

Senate will be an upset for the GOP as they hold on to NH and IN at the last minute. We get at least 2 more years of no USSC nominee floor debate.
 
yelladawgdem said:
Hillary with 300+ Electoral Votes.
Senate is 50/50 with VP Kaine giving her a Democratic Majority for two years.
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I suspect you're correct on Hillary being elected. Sure hope you're wrong about the Senate. IMO, the only hope for America to survive the Hillary term is for the GOP to retain control of both houses of Congress - otherwise, she will force her Socialist agenda on the country and we all lose.
 
I'm usually excited about Election Day just because of the anticipation. This election is like the Christmas Eve where you know Santa is going to come down the chimney and shoot both your parents in the face, steal your gifts, and burn down your house. It's going to be catastrophic either way.

Nevertheless, Trump wins the race to the bottom - meaning he loses the election. I'm less certain of a Democratic takeover of the Senate. I think they'll pick up IL, WI, and PA. However, I think the GOP will hold NH, IN, NC, and MO very narrowly. I don't think they'll pick up NV. Trump ruined that seat for them. They'll lose between 15 and 20 House seats, which will leave them with a slim but ungovernable majority. The GOP Speaker (which may not necessarily be Ryan) will have to turn to and therefore make policy concessions to Nancy Pelosi to pass budget legislation.

Trump will ***** but ultimately concede. However, he'll keep the "rigged" talk going, and within a few months, he'll launch Trump TV with Steve Bannon and Roger Ailes. It'll compete with and draw viewers from Fox News. Fox News will still lean right, but it'll be more Megyn Kelly and Chris Wallace and less Sean Hannity and Bill O'Reilly. In fact, I could see both of them moving to Trump TV after their contracts expire.

Immediately after the election, the GOP leadership will try to move on with rebranding itself. However, Trump and his supporters will push the stab-in-the-back myth hard. They'll blame the Party and NeverTrumpers for his defeat, leading to massive intraparty conflict. Exit polling will prove them wrong, but they'll dismiss the polls as rigged. As a result, the GOP will underperform in the 2018 election.
 
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The 3 tiny towns in New Hampshire that vote at Midnight on election day voted 32-25...

FOR TRUMP BABY!!!!!!!!
 
Lines were A LOT shorter here in my neighborhood in Arlington, VA (a very blue neighborhood) then it was 4 years ago. I don't think early voting had much to do with it because my polling station did not have early voting.
 
Clean said:
The 3 tiny towns in New Hampshire that vote at Midnight on election day voted 32-25...

FOR TRUMP BABY!!!!!!!!
Click to expand...
http://www.11alive.com/news/local/t...new-hampshire-after-midnight-voting/349662501
Ok, so I just read this article about the NH towns and Trumps 32-25 lead there. Is my reading comprehension messed up?

Don't read too much into the results from these towns. They lean conservative and tend to vote Republican, and obviously represent an extremely small sample. Dixville voted for the Republican in every election since 1960 — including Barry Goldwater who lost in a landslide to Lyndon Johnson — until going for Obama in 2008, and splitting the vote between Romney and Obama in 2012.
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So these towns "lean conservative," but voted for Obama in 2008 and split with Romney in 2012?
 
PPD wasn't around in 2012. They accurately predicted some of the House and Governor's races in 2014. They use the same methodology as the LA Times/Dornsife poll (lock in a pool of people and keep asking them the same questions every day). We'll see tomorrow how well those match up with the final results.
 
I predict it will be closer than expected, but the following people will be happy. Miley Cyrus, Michael Moore, Whoopi Goldberg, Raven Simone and Amy Schumer. Let that sink in.
 
theiioftx said:
I predict it will be closer than expected, but the following people will be happy. Miley Cyrus, Michael Moore, Whoopi Goldberg, Raven Simone and Amy Schumer. Let that sink in.
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Or their heads could be exploding tonight.
 
theiioftx said:
I predict it will be closer than expected, but the following people will be happy. Miley Cyrus, Michael Moore, Whoopi Goldberg, Raven Simone and Amy Schumer. Let that sink in.
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I will readily admit that as anti-Trump as I am, I will enjoy the media's (especially the New York Times and CNN) reaction if he wins.
 
Mr. Deez said:
I will readily admit that as anti-Trump as I am, I will enjoy the media's (especially the New York Times and CNN) reaction if he wins.
Click to expand...

If Trump wins, you know what I won't enjoy? The stock market tumble. One set of researchers are projecting an interim 12% drop in the market if Trump wins.
 
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