Early Voting

Early voting ends Saturday in most states. I think MI and Wi vote through Sunday but there is no party ID there, so it doesn’t get covered much. States with high mail in ballots like NV and PA will get coverage all the way up until election night.
 
Early voting was smooth and uneventful. So much better than election day.
Usually 50% vote before ED. This year, it is expected 2/3 will vote before ED in states like NC, GA, FL, AZ, NV, etc. I think people just want to get it over with.
 
I admit I don't always understand the polls. Does that Pa poll mean Dems have a 387k lead in absentee ballots received?
Weren't many saying Pa could be in play?
 
I admit I don't always understand the polls. Does that Pa poll mean Dems have a 387k lead in absentee ballots received?
Weren't many saying Pa could be in play?
Yes, but it was 1.1 million Dem advantage in 2020, so a vast improvement. Also it is not a poll. It is actual ballots received by the county election boards.
 
I admit I don't always understand the polls. Does that Pa poll mean Dems have a 387k lead in absentee ballots received?
Weren't many saying Pa could be in play?
Dems have more registered voters than GOP in PA so no matter how you look at the early data, Dems will likely have more ballots regarding mail in ballots. To this point, I have posted that GOP has gained 400k more registered voters relative to Dem voters since 2020. The vote difference in 2020 was 80k. The dem voter registration advantage was much greater in 2016 when Trump won the state. So the assumption for PA has always been that yes Dems will submit more ballots than GOP. Why do you think campaigns go after Independents?
 
I admit I don't always understand the polls. Does that Pa poll mean Dems have a 387k lead in absentee ballots received?
Weren't many saying Pa could be in play?
Once again, I caution folks that early data only provides information about voter enthusiasm, not actual votes or the final result after Election Day voting.
 
I admit I don't always understand the polls. Does that Pa poll mean Dems have a 387k lead in absentee ballots received?
Weren't many saying Pa could be in play?
There is no relationship between polls and early voting. Polling tries to determine the final voting result. Early voting is about measuring enthusiasm.
 
Voter registration data, early voting data and polling data are different animals and thus should be looked at differently.
 
Is this surprising?

"
A poll greeter in Dallas, Texas told one of Steven Crowder’s reporters that he found a folded piece of paper with username and login password for voting machines lying on the ground.

“I’m working as a poll greeter. I was going to check the count and as I’m maybe about 20 feet from the door, I looked down, piece of paper right here so I picked it up and I open it and it’s got passwords for the election machines,” a poll worker told a reporter.


The poll worker said he confirmed that he indeed found the login and passwords to get into the poll books lying on the ground."
"
The Dallas County Election Department told the undercover reporter of the piece of paper lying on the ground: “It’s not supposed to be not on the premises, no sir!”

The Texas Attorney General’s office said of the password and login information: “It would not be for the voting machine itself,” Alicia from the Texas AG’s office said. “It would either be for where you deposit the ballot, the counter, or the e-poll book would kind of be the two places where you would have that potential login.”

The poll book is where people can look up registration."

I wonder if this was deliberate?
 

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