2024 GOP Primary

Apparently the last big day for polls. I suppose some minor ones may come out tomorrow. Long story short, I can’t believe the crooked pollsters actually giving Dems hope for a surprise victory on Tuesday. Oh are they going to be crushed.

Note Rasmussen has shown Trump +2-3 consistently since July. TIPP, who was fairly accurate in 2020, is now showing Trump +1. These 2 polls show Trump will win the EC beyond the poll MOE since battlegrounds are national vote +2 Trump.
 
I'll be honest- national polls are utterly meaningless. We don't count national totals. State-level polling won't be accurate but paint a more useful portrait. After all, we allocate electoral votes (generally) on a State-by-State basis.
 
I'll be honest- national polls are utterly meaningless. We don't count national totals. State-level polling won't be accurate but paint a more useful portrait. After all, we allocate electoral votes (generally) on a State-by-State basis.
Well hell, you should have said that 125 pages ago.
 
I'll be honest- national polls are utterly meaningless. We don't count national totals. State-level polling won't be accurate but paint a more useful portrait. After all, we allocate electoral votes (generally) on a State-by-State basis.
National polls are useful to see if state polls in aggregate are out of step with national sentiment. Like early vote tabulations, they only tell you so much.
 
With the cheating going on we know about (Ga illegally allowing vote counting , states apparently allowing non citizens voting inFed elections voting machines changing votes, DOD denying ballots to military)
WHAT cheating is going on we don't know about?

MrD did you get your ballots?
 
National polls are useful to see if state polls in aggregate are out of step with national sentiment. Like early vote tabulations, they only tell you so much.
Except they rarely let you know what States were sampled. If they over-sample (for example) CA, WA, OR and under-sample TX, FL, and LA, have you really learned anything?
 
Except they rarely let you know what States were sampled. If they over-sample (for example) CA, WA, OR and under-sample TX, FL, and LA, have you really learned anything?
If you look at 2016, the national polls on average were far more accurate than the battleground state polls. In 2020, both national and state polls were wrong to about the same degree (Biden +3% pts off).

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