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So this Iowa outlier poll is +13 dem. Meaning if corrected properly, it shows Trump up by 10% pts.
Where did you see that? I wanna **** talk some people.
Well hell, you should have said that 125 pages ago.I'll be honest- national polls are utterly meaningless. We don't count national totals. State-level polling won't be accurate but paint a more useful portrait. After all, we allocate electoral votes (generally) on a State-by-State basis.
National polls are useful to see if state polls in aggregate are out of step with national sentiment. Like early vote tabulations, they only tell you so much.I'll be honest- national polls are utterly meaningless. We don't count national totals. State-level polling won't be accurate but paint a more useful portrait. After all, we allocate electoral votes (generally) on a State-by-State basis.
Except they rarely let you know what States were sampled. If they over-sample (for example) CA, WA, OR and under-sample TX, FL, and LA, have you really learned anything?National polls are useful to see if state polls in aggregate are out of step with national sentiment. Like early vote tabulations, they only tell you so much.
Where did you see that? I wanna **** talk some people.
If you look at 2016, the national polls on average were far more accurate than the battleground state polls. In 2020, both national and state polls were wrong to about the same degree (Biden +3% pts off).Except they rarely let you know what States were sampled. If they over-sample (for example) CA, WA, OR and under-sample TX, FL, and LA, have you really learned anything?
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