2024 GOP Primary

[mchammer]

 

[mchammer]

I beat the WH:

 

[mchammer]

 

[mchammer]

 

[mchammer]

 

[mchammer]

 

[mchammer]

 

[Horn6721]

I am normally very optimistic and positive . I also respect the history of past performances. I am positive  the Demx will cheat in any and all ways they can.
So how much cheating can a 2 to 5pt advantage overcome?

 

[mchammer]

I am normally very optimistic and positive . I also respect the history of past performances. I am positive  the Demx will cheat in any and all ways they can.
So how much cheating can a 2 to 5pt advantage overcome?

I have estimated the cheating is 0.5% max. Of course that was enough for Trump to lose GA, AZ, and WI in 2020.

 

[mchammer]

 

[HornHuskerDad]

New poll says Trump ahead by 2 - Trump takes 2-point lead over Harris nationally: Poll

 

[mchammer]

 

[mchammer]

 

[mchammer]

Unless it’s not blindingly obvious, the more you force Dems to go to the ballot box on ED, the better chance for GOP to win. A significant percentage of Dems (5% or 1 out of 20 is my guess) will not show up.

 

[Vino Bevo]

Just went and cast my ballot early at the grocery store in front of our neighborhood. I've been in there several times since early voting began and the line has been 40-50 deep each time, which far exceeds what I've usually observed for this spot in years past. Will be intrested to see if that continues but this is already day four.

 

[Horn6721]

Vino
Is your area mostly blue?

 

[Sangre Naranjada]

Vino
Is your area mostly blue?

It's mostly unpopulated. Probably red.

 

[horninchicago]

It's mostly unpopulated. Probably red.

His vino is red or his area?

 

[Sangre Naranjada]

There might be 10K people in the whole county. Red, blue, or pinko commie, it's not enough to affect the outcome on a state or national level.

 

[horninchicago]

There might be 10K people in the whole county. Red, blue, or pinko commie, it's not enough to affect the outcome on a state or national level.

Wait, there's nothing funny about that.

 

[Sangre Naranjada]

There might be 10K people in the whole county. Red, blue, or pinko commie, it's not enough to affect the outcome on a state or national level.

Actually, I got @Vino Bevo mixed up with @Gylcomer .

So it's funny because I'm looking like a complete dumbass.

 

[Vino Bevo]

LOL - I was starting to feel stalked...

We live in western Travis County near the lake so it's historically red but a little purple-ish lately with all the Californians who've come in the last several years.

Side note - the wine is mostly red as well...

 

[Sangre Naranjada]

the wine is mostly red as well

Is it also mostly Californian, or do you trend European instead?

 

[Vino Bevo]

The folks moving here are mostly Californian.

The wine is mostly European.

 

[mchammer]

 

[mchammer]

 

[mchammer]

 

[Garmel]

 

[mchammer]

 

[mchammer]

Final NYT poll from 2020 was off by 4 pts.