2024 Football Schedule

I have updated the schedule — no pitchforks or pillaging please!

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11/24/2024 SEC Championship Game Tiebreaker analysis.

Obviously if Texas wins next week we are in as the #1 seed.
UGA will be the only possible #2 seed in this scenario, as they have the H2H win over Tenn., even if Tenn wins over Vandy to create a tie for second at 6-2. in this scenario A&M falls to 5-3 by losing to us and everyone else is also 5-3 or worse.

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But just for groans, I wanted to analyze what would happen if Texas lost next week.

This would create either a 3 way tie or 4 way tie for first in the conference depending on the Tenn v. Vandy result.

I use SEC Football Tie-Breaking Process - Southeastern Conference as a reference for the minutia of the tie breaker details.

***If Tenn. loses.
3 way tie for first between Texas, UGA, A&M
First tie breaker is H2H
Rule A1 - there is no complete round robin as UGA did not play A&M, so this rule doesn't apply.
Rule A2b - If one team lost to all the other tied teams, it is eliminated and the other teams return to the start of the applicable tiebreaker procedures, unless there are only two teams remaining, in which case they are both selected for the championship game.
So in this scenario since Texas lost to both UGA and A&M, we would be eliminated. I don't care to go back and see who would be the #1 seed between them.

***If Tenn. wins.
4 way tie for first between Texas, UGA, A&M, and Tenn
Check H2H tiebreaks.
Rule A1 - no complete round robin
Rule A2a - no team beat all other tied teams
Rule A2b - no team lost to all other tied teams
Rule A2c - If no team either beat all the other tied teams or lost to all the other tied teams, all the tied teams advance to the next tiebreaker procedure.
A2c applies to this 4 way tie so we go to the next criteria.
Rule B. Record versus all common Conference opponents among the tied teams.
The only common opponents among all 4 of these teams is MSU and UF. All 4 tied teams are 2-0 vs MSU and UF. No team is eliminated so we go to the next criteria.
Rule C. Record against highest (best) placed common Conference opponent, proceeding through the Conference standings among the tied teams.
Rule C5. If all tied teams have the same record against the common opponent(s) with the best Conference record, proceed to the next common Conference opponent(s)based on their order of finish within the Conference and continue the procedures above until all common Conference opponents are exhausted.
Again all 4 teams are tied in this criteria so no one is eliminated and we go to the next criteria.
D. Cumulative Conference winning percentage of all Conference opponents among the tied teams.

I added up the current wins of the conference opponents of the 4 teams, and added in the Tennessee win and the A&M win that were necessary for this scenario to exist.
Texas - 25
UGA - 27
Tenn - 23
A&M - 28
With the way the common opponents are and which teams are playing H2H in the final week, we can't catch A&M or UGA in this metric in any scenario.

Final conclusion for SEC CG matchup:
We win: Texas vs. UGA
We lose: UGA v A&M
 

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