If we beat Georgia, huge.
If we get blown out by Georgia, that is far worse for our final rankings than winning the Alamo Bowl.
This year, without a defensive line and having a team that is not ready for teams of Georgia’s caliber, I would rather take the likely Alamo Bowl win that would boost our ranking, build momentum for next year and get 10 wins over the likely loss to Georgia.
Georgia could have a hangover from the Bama game and we could play our best game of the year and win, and I hope that happens as it is the best case scenario, but I would choose a 65% chance to win the Alamo Bowl over a top 15 10-2 Washington State over a 30% chance to beat a top 10 10-2 Georgia any day.
College football is about total wins. While beating Georgia would be huge, losing to Georgia does nothing for us and getting blown out by Georgia would be very bad regardless of the year. Did getting blown out by Miami help Texas or David McWilliams? No. Did getting blown out by Penn State in the Fiesta and Virginia Tech in the Sugar help John Mackovic? No.