I've seen the line through the week, watching the line come down from the opening -6 to seeing some -4.5's out there a moment ago and I briefly looked at where money was flowing. Sadly, I have also seen the Texas secondary answer the past few weeks to TOAST. And badly burnt at that.
Sark knows he has to feed the bell cow and hopefully realizes that Roschon ALSO needs 10-15 touches a game. Casey will lose a go-to with Whittington being out but still collects 250 yards or so through the air.
Okie Lite does not throw for a ton of yards per game but they still average ~8 yards per attempt. Texas seems to allow previously unheralded QB's to put up career numbers, something not unique to this season. Okie Lite also doesn't give up many sacks, with 7 in the five games. TD/INT is a 7:5 ratio. Their starter also has no compunction about running, with close to 50 rushes this year...it will be imperative that Texas D keep a spy in place and that the rushers contain so that the pocket doesn't have a huge gap parting like the Red Sea.
I'll be honest...if I were in Vegas this week, I would probably take the 4.5 or 5 points if I could get it. This game comes down to Dicker with about three ticks on the clock.
My call...
Texas: 36
the "I'm 40, I'm a Man's"- 34