the official Predict Horns vs Baylor Bears

It doesn't matter whether Baylor is sky high or grave low. If Texas plays to its potential, no contest as Texas wins going away.

Someone on the Texas defensive staff figures it out and Texas wins 28 - 24.
 
Both teams will struggle after their demoralizing losses, but the Horns will win GO INTO HALFTIME with a last-second DECISION NOT TO KICK A field goal.

Fixed that for ya. At least this week, it won't be the difference between a win and a loss.

Actual score prediction to come later in the week...have not had enough alcohol yet.
 
Baylor 45 Us 28.

There's 2 ways this can go, either Rape U will be down after their loss to blowu or they'll be pissed and take it out on us. I think since they have something to play for (spot in BXII CG), they'll be pissed and give us another butt kicking.
 
Will miss CJ, again, but....
Gut tells me there is some righteous indignation building in this team.
Can't figure out a score that works for what else I have in mind, so...

Horns 30
Bears 27
 
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Opponents score the last four games (including Kansas)...
48, 37, 24, 23.

Our score the last four games...
50, 27, 27, 21

I don't see Baylor scoring over 40 since we're getting our defensive guys back. And with Collin hurt and Eagles dealing with whatever, I don't see our offense skyrocket. Giving us 3 because :hookem:

Texas 31
Baylor 34
 
Bears 41, Horns 31.

Sacrilegious to say as a Horns fan, but I'd almost welcome this outcome instead of a win. That way, I wouldn't have to lament the fact that an offsides penalty at the end of the Iowa State game cost us a chance to beat Baylor for a chance to play in the Big 12 Championship.
 
Baylor 45 Us 28.

There's 2 ways this can go, either Rape U will be down after their loss to blowu or they'll be pissed and take it out on us. I think since they have something to play for (spot in BXII CG), they'll be pissed and give us another butt kicking.
Clean, Texas' loss to ISU cemented ou/Baylor in the CCG since Baylor will have to lose to Texas and Kansas to get to 3 losses. Even then they will get the spot due to a better season record (this is how losing to LSU even hurt Texas in the Conference).
 
ViperHorn, I don't think that's correct. If only two teams are tied for second place, the first tiebreaker is head-to-head. If Texas beats Baylor and Texas Tech, and if Baylor loses to KU for their third loss, and if no other teams end up with three losses, Texas would win that tiebreaker and advance to the B12 Championship.

The tiebreaking procedures (Tiebreaker Procedures) say that only conference games are used in breaking ties.
 
ViperHorn, I don't think that's correct. If only two teams are tied for second place, the first tiebreaker is head-to-head. If Texas beats Baylor and Texas Tech, and if Baylor loses to KU for their third loss, and if no other teams end up with three losses, Texas would win that tiebreaker and advance to the B12 Championship.

The tiebreaking procedures (Tiebreaker Procedures) say that only conference games are used in breaking ties.
So we still have a mathematical chance to get to the big 12 championship?
 
Yes, there's still a mathematical chance if we win out.

We need Iowa State to lose once, at home to KU or on the road at Kansas State. And we need Baylor to lose twice, both at home to Texas and on the road at Kansas. (Before I edited this, I said Okie State needed to lose a game, but on further musing I'm pretty sure that's irrelevant, as described in the next paragraph.)

If these things happen and Okie State also loses a game, we're tied alone with Baylor for second at 6-3 and advance on the head-to-head win. If these things happen and Okie State wins out, we're tied with both Baylor and Okie State at 6-3, but we would've beaten them both, so we'd advance on the two head-to-head wins.
 
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Texas' loss to ISU cemented ou/Baylor in the CCG since Baylor will have to lose to Texas and Kansas to get to 3 losses. Even then they will get the spot due to a better season record (this is how losing to LSU even hurt Texas in the Conference).

Well that sucks. Baylor plays 3 cream puffs and we play a top five team and we get penalized!
 
Yes, there's still a mathematical chance if we win out.

We need Iowa State to lose once, at home to KU or on the road at Kansas State. And we need Baylor to lose twice, both at home to Texas and on the road at Kansas. (Before I edited this, I said Okie State needed to lose a game, but on further musing I'm pretty sure that's irrelevant, as described in the next paragraph.)

If these things happen and Okie State also loses a game, we're tied alone with Baylor for second at 6-3 and advance on the head-to-head win. If these things happen and Okie State wins out, we're tied with both Baylor and Okie State at 6-3, but we would've beaten them both, so we'd advance on the two head-to-head wins.

KVUE has a good article about this. In short, Longhorns need to win out, Baylor needs to lose both games, and Iowa State needs to lose 1 of its remaining 2 games. It doesn't matter what Oklahoma and Oklahoma St. do.
 
I should have said, "all but cemented". However, the probability of ISU losing at KSU and KU has beating Baylor at home is very low. If it ends up a 3 way tie the first tie breaker is head to head. To reach this point Texas will have beat Baylor.

Here are the three-way tiebreaker rules (it could come down to Texas' margin of victory against Baylor):

b. If three or more teams are tied, steps 1 through 4 will be followed until a determination is made. If only two teams remain tied after any step, the winner of the regular season game between the two tied teams shall prevail.
1. The Conference records of the three or more teams will be compared against each other in a “mini round-robin” format.
2. The Conference records of the three or more teams will be compared against the remaining team(s) in the Conference
standings from top to bottom.
a. When comparing against the remaining teams in the Conference standings any two-way ties will be broken by head-to-head
competition before the comparison begins.
b. If more than a two-way tie exists amongst the remaining teams in the Conference standings, the record against the collective
tied teams as a group will be used.
3. Scoring differential among the tied teams. The team or teams with the lowest difference between points scored and points
allowed in games vs. the tied teams is eliminated from consideration.
4. Draw (In the event steps 1-3 cannot break a multi-team tie the prevailing team or teams will be determined by draw at the
Conference office).
In the event tiebreaking procedures are unsuccessful and a draw is necessary in determining any portion of seeding.
 
This could be close and Bailor will have to overcome the disappointment of blowing the game last night but I just don’t see how Texas can win this game.

BU - 34
TX - 27

One caveat: If Herman/Beck get creative on the offensive side of the ball, we will have a chance. I’ll believe it when I see it, but if we start seeing jet sweeps, misdirections, pitches, screens, reverses, etc, my prediction would be that we will win the game.
Dion, I’m going to change my pick based on what I saw Monday in the press conference:

TX - 38
BU - 24

If as I suspect Herman finally got the message — that what he has been doing is not working, he may be prepared the throw out many of his preconceived notions and take a new and different approach. That has the potential to be very positive.
 
I think it’s a huge stretch to think Herman can turn his whole direction/attitude around in one week but I’ll never predict against the Horns so against better judgement, 41-39 Horns.
 
Charlie took a way more inferior team up there in 2015 to knock the Baptists out of the Sugar Bowl. Horns hang on to win the annual game that they shouldn't, 27-24.

:hookem2:
Wasn't that the game where Baylor was down to their 3rd string QB starting that game, and had to go to a WR who played QB at Refugio high school ( 2A ); and still almost beat us ????
 

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