A&M will be hosting Texas this Saturday (02/20/2010) at noon. The Aggies are 6-5 after winning their first two games. Texas is 8-3 after starting out 0-2. The Aggies plastered the Horns in Austin 91-70 in the first conference game for both. It’s difficult to say that the game probably wasn’t as close as the final score made it seem. However, since then, Texas is 8-1 while A&M has gone 4-5. A&m is on a two game winning streak while Texas goes for its seventh straight win. Texas leads this series 58-18. A loss on 02/08/2006 began an A&M run of 8-1 in the last nine games. Texas’ only win in those nine games was a 01/21/2007 by 67-60. Since, A&M has run off six straight wins.
Danielle Adams (#23, 6-1 Jr. F/C; 17.2 ppg), Tanisha Smith (#22, 6-0 Sr. G/F; 12.3 ppg) and Tyra White (#20, 6-0 Soph. G; 10.4 ppg) lead the Aggies in scoring. Adams does it primarily coming off the bench although she has started some games. Smith and White are joined in the starting lineup by Damitria Buchanan (#2, 6-2 Sr. F; 2.8 ppg), Sydney Carter (#4, 5-6 Soph. G; 9.2 ppg) and Adaora Elonu (#21, 6-1 Soph. F; 6.1 ppg). Sydney Colson (#51, 5-8 Jr. G, 7.3 ppg) normally starts at PG but has missed the last three games with an injury. She was probable for the last game vs OSU so could play Saturday. Without her, A&M is only playing one player more than 10 minutes off the bench (Adams). Kelsey Assarian (#40, 6-1 Soph. F, 1.7 ppg) and Maryann Baker (#15, 5-10 Jr. G, 1.5 ppg) are the only other players to have played in all 11 Big 12 games.
Adams’ 7.2 rpg tops the Aggies with Smith adding 6.5 rpg. White at 5.6 is third. Adam’s is also their leading shot blocker in league play with 2.09 bpg. Smith’s 24 steals (2.18 spg) tops the team. Adams, Smith, Carter and White have been the most likely to take a shot. Adams has been very effective inside although she likes to take the 3 several times a game. Carter (10-31, 32.3%) and Elonu and Baker (2-5, 40%) have the best % from BTA in conference games. Adams (9-34, 26.5%) and White (7-24, 29.2%) have taken the most threes in conference games for the Aggies. Adams (36-49, 72.4%) and Carter (29-34, 85.3%) have been to the FT line the most and have been effective once there.
Texas is led by three players in double digit scoring: Brit (14.5 ppg), Ashleigh (12.4 ppg) and Kat (11.5 ppg). Four others are averaging between 9.5 and 5.1 ppg. In the last four games, Cokie is averaging 14 ppg. Kat’s 20-46 (43.5%) lead the Horns in 3s made and attempted in Big 12 play. Ashleigh’s 47.8% from BTA is second behind Kristen’s 100% albeit that is on one shot. Brit (16-39, 41.0%), Erika (13-33, 39.4%) and Earnie (5-14, 35.7%) are other threats from BTA. Every player except for Ashley has taken a three. Given that she has shot a couple of times from close to the arc, it wouldn’t surprise me to see her try one before the season is over. As as team, the Horns are making 44.3% of their FGs. They have two players over 55% from the field and four others at 43% or better. Brit (47-62, 75.8%) and Cokie (32-53, 60.4%) have gotten to the FT line the most. Only two players are under 60% from FT line. Four are at 83% or better with Erika’s 94.1% tops.
Kat is the top rebounder at 6.5 rpg with six others adding in at least 4 rpg. Ashley has 36 blocks (3.27 bpg). Three players have between 11 and 18 steals. Every player has at least 3 steals. Ashleigh and Brit top the assist list with 32 and 28, respectively. Four others have at least 10 assists each. Horns are doing an excellent job moving the ball around to find the open shooter. Of the ten players on the roster, only Lauren is not at double digit minutes and she is averaging 9.9 mpg. Erika, who sprained her knee two games ago and missed the last one, may be available to play against the Aggies although she may also be held out a bit longer.
Projected starting lineups:
Texas A&M
Ashleigh CarterBrit Elonu
Kat Buchanan
Earnie White
Ashley Smith
The Aggies forced 22 TOs and converted them into 24 points. Led by Adams’ 18 pts, they outscored the Horns 38-18 in the paint. They outrebounded the Horns 43-36. Outshot them 54.1 to 32.1% from the field and 60.0% to 23.5% from BTA. One of the few things the Horns did better was FTs. They hit 69.8% to the Aggies’ 63.3%. That came from the Horns making 30-43 to the Aggies 19-30.
The Horns had a great of trouble handling the pressure the Aggies applied, especially early. This time around, the Horns will have the chance to see what they learned from that first game. With a six game winning streak to protect, especially at home, the Aggies will be difficult to bring down. They seem to have handled Colson’s absence well, winning the last two games she has missed. And she is likely to be back for this game. Meanwhile, the Horns could be without one of their top ballhandlers and shooters if Erika has to sit out this game to fully recover from her knee injury. In addition, Brit may not start depending on whether she has gone through her punishment for throwing an elbow in the Kansas game. Still, during the last six games, the Horns’ D has tighten up, they have gotten outstanding D inside from Ashley and scoring from Cokie to help open up the exterior. Can the Horns continue to do this against the in your face defense that the Aggies especially seem to like to use against Texas?
[pre]TEAM STATISTICS UT A&M
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SCORING................. 830 726
Points per game....... 75.5 66.0
Scoring margin........ +8.3 +5.3
FIELD GOALS-ATT......... 286-645 281-660
Field goal pct........ .443 .426
FG made per game...... 26.0 25.5
FG ATT per game....... 58.6 60.0
2-PT FG ATT............. 218-479 240-525
2-point FG pct........ .455 .457
2-pt FG made per game. 19.8 21.8
2-pt FG ATT per game.. 43.5 47.7
3 POINT FG-ATT.......... 68-166 41-135
3-point FG pct........ .410 .304
3-pt FG made per game. 6.2 3.7
3-pt FG ATT per game.. 15.1 12.3
FREE THROWS-ATT......... 190-276 123-181
Free throw pct........ .688 .680
F-Throws made per game 17.3 11.2
F-Throws ATT per game. 25.1 16.5
REBOUNDS................ 437 420
Rebounds per game..... 39.7 38.2
Rebounding margin..... +3.7 +1.2
ASSISTS................. 136 133
Assists per game...... 12.4 12.1
TURNOVERS............... 173 171
Turnovers per game.... 15.7 15.5
Turnover margin....... -0.09 +2.36
Assist/turnover ratio. 0.79 0.78
STEALS.................. 82 83
Steals per game....... 7.45 7.54
BLOCKS.................. 62 54
Blocks per game....... 5.6 4.9
ATTENDANCE.............. 34690 25932
Home games-Avg/Game... 6-5782 5-5186
SCORE BY PERIODS: 1st 2nd OT OT2 Total
-------------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- -----
Texas............... 364 420 26 20 - 830
A&M................. 339 387 726[/pre]
A&M takes more overall shots than the Horns. But the Horns hold a big edge in making 3s. That was a problem in the first game as the Horns couldn’t find the space to launch a three. They will have to get that shot off while not rushing it. A&M will try to dominate inside with Adams leading the way. Ashley and Cokie will need to counter for the Horns. Ashley will need to not get in foul trouble as her interior defense can create problems for the Aggies. She had six blocks in the first game but four fouls. The Horns will need to get to the FT line and take advantage of that. That could be the difference between winning and losing the game. As bad as the Horns looked, they forced 21 TOs while giving up 22. The shooting was the problem in the first game. They will have to move the ball to get a clean shot against the Aggie pressure.
Should be a good crowd for the Horns. A&M is emailing out a couple of free tickets to ticket holders and asking them to give those tickets to friends for the Texas game. They are also having elementary school day for the Texas game with parents getting two free tickets with presentation of the promotional flyer. They are working hard to fill that place up for Texas.
BabHorn, I look forward to, and read every one! I even print them out and take your review with me to the games. I've been a season ticket holder for 24 years, and your analysis is better than anything I've ever gotten from UT!!
I won't stop because it helps me to understand what to look for in the games. And this kind of stats and trying to make sense of them, is fun. Besides, it's a good excuse for watching as many WBB games as possible. Research, you know.
As with many things done that you can't measure what impact it has, I just wonder at times if it needed. Still, I did this for my private use for years before I started posting it here. Writing it down is the easy part and, in a lot of ways, the most enjoyable and satisfying part. For me, anyway.
God, I hate it when the hometown paper makes this mistake:Lady Horns out to stop losing streak to Aggies
You think the home town paper would know better.
I wish our ladies could read the AAS article. Look at the fourth paragraph from the bottom. He (Aggie Coach Blair)says he respects Texas but then right afterward refers to us a T.U. Me thinks respect should be made of sterner stuff.
Whther we win or not that TU comment by Blair needs to be in the locker room till after the 2-11 season. It is one thing when fans use it but head coaches is something else.
aggie will make a comeback, but as long as the Horns move the ball around, they willget the open shots. I like the starting push by the Horns. And Kristen made them pay for leaving her alone.