Texas at Baylor

BabHorn

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The big game this weekend will be in Waco as the Baylor Lady Bears take on the Texas Longhorns on Saturday at 6:30 pm. Horns will roll in on a two game winning streak. Baylor has won three straight after being upset at Kansas. Coach Aston spend one season as associate head coach at Baylor working with Coach Mulkey before getting a head coaching position at North Carolina Charlotte. The personnel and strategy moves employed by both are going to be interesting to follow throughout the game. Injuries and fouls will impact those decisions.

Texas has three players averaging double figures in Big 12 play: Imani (12.7 ppg), Nneka (11.4 ppg) and Chassidy (10.5 ppg). Imani averages 10.7 shots a game at 52%. Nneka is hitting 45.7% on 8.8 shots a game. Chas averages 8.8 shots and hits 42.9% of them. Kelsey has the best percentage from the field (55.9%) on 4.3 shots a game. Brady is hitting 42.3% from BTA and averages 3.3 treys a game. Gigi is at 45.5% from BTA on an average of 1.4 treys a game. Chas has the best percentage from BTA at 53.8% on the same number of treys per game as Brady. Nneka has been the best at getting to the FT line and has converted 64.3% of her attempts (5.3 FT attempts per game). Brady (12-14) and Kelsey (6-7) have the best FT percentage at 85.7%.

Nneka is the only player in the Big 12 averaging a double double in league play with her average of 10.4 rpg to go with her 11.4 ppg. Imani ranks second with 6.7 rpg. Kelsey (4.6 rpg) and Empress (4.5 rpg) are third and fourth. Celina averages 4.3 apg with three others having reached double digit figures in assists. Imani (17) and Nneka (11) lead in blocks during league play. Kelsey is one block away from hitting double figures with her nine blocks. Brady (12) and Celina (10) top the Horns in steals.


Nine Horns have started at least one league game. Two others have played in all eight league games. Ten players average at least 10 mpg with one other at 9 mpg. Brady and Celina have started all eight league games with Nneka starting seven of eight games. Texas has a basic 11 player rotation with two others that have played a couple of minutes each in the last two games. Brady at 32.1 mpg, tops the team in minutes played per game. Nneka’s 27.5 mpg is second on the squad.

Baylor is led in scoring by Odyssey Sims (#0, 5-8 Sr. G) at 29.9 ppg and Nina Davis (#13, 5-11 Fr. F) averaging 11.6 ppg. Sims takes 34% of BU’s shots (181 FG attempts—22.6 shots per game). Davis, with 76 FG attempts, is second on the team in shots attempted. Sune Agbuke (# 22, 6-4 Jr. P) is the most accurate shooter for Baylor at 54.1% (20-37). All of the posts for Baylor that average at least 10 minutes are making at least 50% of their FGs: Agbuke, Davis (38-76, 50%); Khadijiah Cave (# 55, 6-2 Fr. P; 13-25, 52%) and Kristina Higgins (# 44, 6-5 Soph. P; 9-17, 52.9%). They account for a solid 25.7 ppg, 33% of Baylor’s average of 77.1 ppg. Only three players have hit a three in conference play: Sims (26-56, 46.4%), Makenzie Robertson (# 14, 5-9 Sr. G; 17-45, 37.8%) and Imani Wright (# 20, 5-9 Fr. G; 7-29, 24.1%). Ieshia Small (# 24, 6-0 Fr. G) and Chardonnae Fuquá (# 3, 6-0 Soph. F) have taken one 3 apiece in conference games but did not hit their shot. Sims has more than doubled the number of FTs made and attempted of the player second in those categories at 47-64 FTs (73.4%). Davis is second in number of FT attempts (17-27, 63%). Agbuke has the second most made FTs (22-25) and has the highest FT percentage at 88% aside from a couple of players that have made 3 of 3 and 2 of 2.

Sune is the top rebounder for the Lady Bears at 8.3 rpg in conference play. Davis adds 7.9 rpg while Sims grabs 6.0 rpg. Niya Johnson (# 2, 5-8 Soph. G) has the most assists with 40 (5.0 apg) with Sims second at 34 (4.3 apg). Davis, Robertson, and Agbuke all have double digit assists at 15, 11 & 11, respectively. Off the bench, Small has 12 assists. Agbuke averages 2.5 blocks a game. Davis has 16 steals with Sims taking away 13.Nine players for Baylor average at least 11 minutes a game. Sims, Robertson, Agbuke, Davis and Johnson have started all eight league games to date. Two others have played in six games, averaging just over five minutes a game: Fuquá and Mariah Chandler (# 11, 6-2 Grad. P/F). Sims (34.2 ppg), Robertson (31.4 ppg) and Davis (29.4 mpg) average the most minutes per game. None of the starters average less than Agbuke’s 22.5 and her minutes are low due to foul trouble.

Projected starting lineups:
Texas

#2, Celina Rodrigo, 5-8 Soph. G
#3, Nneka Enemkpali, 6-1 Jr. F
#24, Chassidy Fussell, 5-10 Sr. G
#32, Brady Sanders, 5-11 Soph. G
#40, Kelsey Lang, 6-5 Fr. C

Baylor

#22, Sune Agbuke, 6-4 Jr. P
#13, Nina Davis, 5-11 Fr. F
#2, Niya Johnson, 5-8 Soph. G
#14, Makenzie Robertson, 5-9 Sr. G
#0, Odyssey Sims, 5-8 Sr. G

There are going to be some very interesting matchups in this game. Agbuke and Davis vs Lang and Nneka will make the matchup in the post a good one to watch. The reserves for Texas, Imani, Gigi and Nekia will be challenged by BU’s Cave and Higgins. Cave and Nekia especially will be a battle inside. For Baylor, Sims presents a problem. With the projected starting lineup, does Texas play a zone or go man to man? In man to man, Brady may draw the assignment on Sims or she could guard Johnson while Celina defends Sims. Another possibility would be starting Empress for either Chas or Brady and have her matchup with Sims from the start. One thing whoever is guarding Roberson cannot do is lost track of her. She’s on a hot streak and needs to be trying to shoot over a defender, not getting uncontested shots. An issue for Agbuke is her tendency to get in foul trouble. She has fouled out of three of the 8 league games they have played. Neither Cave nor Higgins are the defensive stopper Agbuke is. Baylor will have to contend with Nneka and Imani inside as well as with the shooting of Chassidy and Brady from BTA.

This game will hinge on which team can run their offense, rebound and get back in defense. Other than Baylor’s margin of winning and their scoring, there’s not a big difference in the teams’ stat lines. The defense of both could make this an ugly game as far as scoring goes. Texas will have to reduce their turnovers to stay in this game. Both teams are deep, with Baylor going nine deep and Texas 11 deep.

The game will be on Fox Sports SW at 6:30 pm. Plenty of time to watch the Texas men take on Kansas at 3 pm before watching this game.
 
baylorfan.com forum

Slimecap posted a long excerpt from the Waco Tribute Herald on page four near the bottom of that page. Some really interesting comments about our team from Coach Mulkey. Unfortunately, the Tribute Herald is subscription based so I can’t post a link directly to the story. But the link provided by Slimecap will do so.
 
Typical of Baylor to make it seem as though Karen was "molded" by Mulkey. I can tell you that one year working under someone can certainly teach you some things, but not enough to actually mold someone's philosophy.
 
A lot to look forward to in this game. Obviously Baylor is the favorite, and will be anxious to protect home court against a fast improving Texas. In particular as the Bears have had two streaks come to an end this season; UCONN ended their run of 69 straight home victories, and Kansas ended their 44-game Big 12 win streak. Getting the road win monkey off their backs should help the Horns, and if they play as complete a game as they did last time out vs. KS, this has the potential to be a great contest. Also of note, the Horns are currently ahead of Baylor (and highest ranked Big 12 squad overall) in three of the four RPI rankings. Let's hope our performance tonight reflects that distinction. Go Horns!
 
Almost five hours to tipoff!
Can't wait for this game to get started!.
Go, Horns!
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Rick Barnes is getting it done -- beat the #6 team in the country with a "young" team. I'd love to see Karen Aston go into Waco and pull of a similar upset. That would be a good day for Texas basketball.
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Kim sporting a smokey eye look while trying to be both coach and ref in this game. Gotta love her... or not.

Go Horns!
 
dang, at this rate, both Kelsey and Imani will foul out early in the second half. We need to start hitting some outside shots.
 
that should have been a foul on Sims, not on Celina. Sims threw out her right arm and they call Celina for the foul.
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jeez, Horns up at the half with Nekia's three, 36-35. Man, there's a lot of touch fouls being called. Wonder if there will be any post players left on either team the way they are calling it? And the way that the Texas guards are getting called for fouls also, we might need to have Helen play some minutes. Hope the refs calm down.
 
gotta hit our FTs. we are 8-14 while Baylor is 15-18. Everything else is pretty close, except for TOs where we got 7 and Baylor has 1.
 
Good first half for the Horns, we lead in most stat categories, with the obvious exception being fouls and FT%. And BU has just one TO while the Horns have seven. Not good to see Kelsey with three fouls, and Nneka and Imani with two each. But Agbuke, Davis and Higgins all have two each for the Bears also, so both squads have to be careful the rest of the way. This is definitely a winnable game for the Horns. You know Mulkey will be spitting fire in the locker room so we need to come out focused, and play tough bb to start the second half. Let's go Horns!
 
think that was foul # 3 on Nneka. still over 13 minutes to go. gonna have good minutes from Nekia and Gigi.
 
Turning off sound and listening to the radio isn't much better. At least they know all the names, but it's like Dave South levels of homerishness. Maybe not a fair criticism because Craig Way is so good he'd make a lot of decent announcers sound bad in comparison, but still...

We're playing about equally as well as Baylor but we've got to make more FTs. We could end up with a loss that was actually much better played by Texas than several of our wins have been. Not that that would be any consolation...

Definitely like the 13 assists to Baylor's 10. We feel like a more complete team to me but Davis / Sims 1-2 punch is so effective and their whole team does take care of the ball very very well, although it's certainly easier to take care of the ball when you just have to pass to one of two people vs move the ball around. It seems we have to work harder for the same baskets than they do.
 

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