Of course, if the funds that formerly went into the social security trust fund went into the market, would we even be seeing the losses on the major exchanges? Collectively, those funds would represent a huge infusion of capital into the marketplace. Would it be an illusion of expansion? Of course. Has that ever mattered? Not really.
Truth is that our downturn is based on the simple fact that our economy is based on the service industry and revolving debt. We don't make anything here anymore but more debt and chain restaurants. Our consumption economy depends on the waiter at Chili's using his credit card to buy a big screen TV and stop by the Applebee's for dinner. What happens when the waiter from Chili's amazingly can't afford the $150K mortgage that the idiots at Countrywide wrote him. He is foreclosed on. Chances are that during his futile attempts to avoid foreclosure on his lone asset he maxed out his credit cards, eventually causing a default on those accounts. Now without access to the credit that financed his life, he is forced to rely upon his meager income to try and make ends meet. He can no longer afford to eat out for every meal and buy big screen TVs. As such, our waiter friend is no longer is the engine driving our economy. No problem, both political parties believe that we should give the waiter another $800 so that he can spend a little more.
Problem is nobody seems to be acknowledge that our economy is dependent on consumption by guys just like this. We have done a masterful job at masking the deficencies of our economy through the dramatic increases in access to consumer debt in the past 15 years.
But the truth is that there is only so much wealth in the world. If the economies of the developing world, China, southeast Asia and Western Europe are all increasing, it is likely at our expense. The global economy has taken vast swaths of high paying manufacturing jobs. We can't expect that it will not catch up with us eventually.