Nah, I think PHX will be in, although they'll be a very low seed.
Over the next few weeks, the Suns have an extremely favorable (not easy) schedule.
They are currently on a five game homestand - even the games vs. SA and GS I might consider winnable. We know they'll beat Memphis and Sac.
Though six of their following seven on the road, look at who four of those games are against - a fading Portland, a horrid Seattle, and at below average Philly and New Jersey. You figure they'll at least win those four, even on the road, and five if they can knock off the Rockets at home.
That said, if they don't make their move now, I see them struggling to make the playoffs. Starting March 30, 7 of the Suns final 9 are against teams with winning records.
If Phoenix is gonna make the move to seal a playoff berth, it's gotta be right now.