@ProdigalHorn and
@Horns11 are taking the position that it was reasonable to think our defense could make a stop. They are surprisingly supported by
@Statalyzer. Let us review this game and see if it was more reasonable to think our defense would make a stop or that if we gave the ball back with plenty of time left, West Virginia would likely score. Let us also review whether it was likely Texas would be able to drive, run clock and score, or whether we needed to score at the first opportunity.
UT-WVU Drive Chart:
WVU - Field Goal
UT - Punt
WVU - Punt
UT - Touchdown
WVU - Touchdown
UT - Touchdown
WVU - Touchdown
UT - Touchdown
WVU - Touchdown
UT - Touchdown
WVU - Field Goal
UT - End of Half (drive started with 9 seconds left)
UT - Turnover on Downs on WVU 5 yard line
WVU - Punt
UT - Field Goal
WVU - Turnover on Downs on the UT 20 yard line
UT - Field Goal
WVU - Touchdown
UT - Touchdown
WVU - Touchdown
UT - End of Game (drive started with 16 seconds)
Throwing out the 2 last drives before the end of the halves,
UT scored on 7 of its 9 drives. UT got within field goal range on 8 of its 9 drives. If UT is getting within field goal range 88% of the time is has the ball, IT IS VERY LIKLEY UT WILL BE ABLE TO SUSTAIN A DRIVE TO RUN THE CLOCK AND GET IN FIELD GOAL RANGE.
West Virginia scored on 7 of its 10 drives and got within field goal range on 8 of its 10 drives. West Virginia has one of the best QBs in the country and great receives. UT suffered injuries to the defensive line and the secondary. We got no pressure whatsoever on their QB on their second to last drive. Yes, it was very likely they could go down field and score on us in the last two minutes. Holgorsen knew our defense was done and that is why he always planned to go for two. Hell, they converted the two point conversion twice.
West Virginia had 578 yards and 28 first downs. Texas had 520 yards and 28 first downs. There was no defense in this game, much less when both teams were worn down in the 4th.
I did not make some crazy prediction. Running the clock and playing the field goal was the obvious call supported by the facts at the time. My prediction that if we left too much time, West Virginia would score was the likely scenario
and I was proven right.
Yes, in general football, you take the points. However, the exception is when your defense is unlikely to make a stop. If you cannot rely on the defense and you have an opportunity to run out the clock, you run out the clock. We did not do that and it was a poor decision on Herman's part. Anyone that thinks it was a good call apparently was not sure what game they were watching as they did not seem to realize it was a full on, no defense Big 12 shootout.
@TEXnSEATTLE is right.