What constitutes a tax is the interesting crux of this case.
I don't think that the decision indicated that the government couldn't set up some type of stab at broad healthcare. That's allowable. So the question becomes how do you pay for it? You can't use the Commerce Clause to make people pay. But a fine, considered as a tax, is acceptable under a different constitutional aegis.
I wouldn't call it a tax. It is a fine, which is the price the government levies for a citizen's failure to abide by a directive. There is going to be a national health care package and the government is going to administer the financing of that edifice. Roberts apparently feels that the fine fits within acceptable definitions of a tax, and the government's ability to tax is not constitutionally closed off by this particular tax mechanism.
It's novel, but the problem before the court was novel. His perspective could not have been easily discerned before he handed it down. No predictions. I read something about Rove trying to vet Roberts and it made is sound that Rove was impressed by Roberts' stated position is disconnect from political sway. The article suggested that Rove failed to read the potential for Roberts to actually think for himself.
Meanwhile, while some will no doubt see red as the result of the word 'tax' being connected to 'Obamacare,' many are going to absorb this outcome as a win for Obama. Americans like winners for reasons that are not always altogether connected with the substance of the victory. People don't vote out of anger alone. This was a huge political victory for him, though he could still **** it up in a hundred ways.
The tinfoil hat readings from above are precious in every way. Don't you guys go changing on us, you hear.