Gustav - NOLA possibly in the sights again

However, in that same link, Masters also says this:

"The general trend of most of the models has been to build a stronger ridge of high pressure over the southern U.S. on Monday and Tuesday, and I forecast that Gustav will come very close to the Louisiana coast on Monday as a Category 3 hurricane, stall, then move westwards towards Texas."
 
here's the thing - that cone of uncertainty is the range that two thirds of hurricanes will make landfall in. so they are sure within a 66% that it will hit somewhere between corpus christi, tx and panama beach, fl at four days out. which pretty much leaves most of the gulf coast of the us at some level of risk. when we're around 36-24 hours from landfall, thats when we'll have a decent idea of where it will make landfall.

i'd rather they don't predict **** that they have no level of certainty of, its like a preseason AP football poll.
 
All of the models are starting to line up with one another as far as where landfall will occur.

at200807_model.gif
 
Intensity models put Gustav as a CAT 4, (reduced from a CAT 5 in the middle of the Gulf) close to landfall.. so NO will experience ~ 20 ft storm surge - with waves on top of that... add 2 ft to that if landfall is at high tide. All this is still assuming current tracks, so figure landfall over ~Morgan City.

Gawd, what a mofo Gustav is... forecast is a CAT 5 before he leaves Cuba, then nothing to impede this in the Gulf.
 
restore the lost marshland and N.O. has a hell of a lot better chance of surviving a major hurricane. The natural barrier that is the marsh has been torn asunder in the name of progress and it has left the butt end of N.O. hanging out in the breeze.
 
I really hope it does not hit there and prove many of us and our opinions correct. Screw that, I would rather have it not hit them or anybody populated and just keep on having this debate forever, as tedious as that would be. I am vexed over this and what may be coming in the next few days...again.
 
To me, the most bizarre thing is that NO is crisscrossed by manmade canals. These canals vastly increase the number of levees that need to be built and maintained. The city was flooded by water from the industrial canal, not the river or lake. Close it up and the city is about 400% safer.
 
Isn't one necessary use of those canals to remove rainwater that falls on the city after it is pumped up into them?

The canals connect to the lake and the river.

With much of the city below sea, river and lake level, the rainwater can't be removed by gravity flow alone.
 
Here's an interesting read on the subject. There are man made drainage canals that had levee breaks as well as the major ones on the industrial canal. Presently, American taxpayers are paying billions to build levees along the industrial canal, an outdated, unnecessary man made structure.

This committee suggests closing the northern end. I'd say get rid of the whole thing.


pdf
 
They need to let the Mississippi re-rout itself west like it has been trying to do for about 50 years. Then rebuild New Orleans there. The Army Corps of Engineers has been forcing it to stay in its current channel as well as not letting sediment flow naturally which has wiped out the wetlands. The delta is not being rebuilt because sediment is being taken out of the river by the Corps projects. Meanwhile it is still being eroded away by the ocean.
 
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