Would be a big get by Rs
"A new poll finds that Sen. Bill Nelson (D-Fla.) would be in a close race with Florida Gov. Rick Scott (R) if he decides to mount a bid for Senate in 2018.
According to a poll from University of North Florida, Nelson is narrowly leading by 37 percent, compared to Scott, who garnered 36 percent, which is within the poll's margin of error. Twenty percent of registered voters are undecided.
“Like most statewide races in Florida, the Senate race between Nelson and Scott is going to be too close to call all the way until Election Day,” said Michael Binder, faculty director of the Public Opinion Research Lab at UNF.
The survey finds that Scott has a job approval rating of 59 percent, who either strongly or somewhat approve of his gubernatorial tenure. But Scott, who’s been publicly encouraged to run for Senate by President Trump, has been under fire from Democrats over his response to the 14 people who died at a Florida nursing home amid Hurricane Irma...."
If that holds, Nelson probably loses, and he's not supposed to be on of the vulnerable Ds. Of course, that's a big "if."