Will Texas Make A Regional?

M

Media Man

100+ Posts
How many teams from the BIG XII will make a regional this year? People keep saying that the BIG XII is way down this year, so will Texas even make a regional this season?
 
After catching up on various sites this morning, Texas better be ready for the Bears and Texas State.

Most are getting used to seeing Texas drop numerous games a week, this does not bode well for a Regional bid.

I'd say anything less than 3-1 this week will have us on the outside looking in come next Monday, with only 5 games left and the Big XII Tourney.

Can't believe we are having to sweat this with all the talent in our dugout.
 
Barton Hills

As you second reply states, everyone knows Texas is down, the RPI for Missouri is terrible (they might be high in a poll, but their RPI is pitiful) and the Aggies have a terrible RPI and finally made the top 10 for Baseball America even though they are 18-3 in conference and something like 36-7 overall. If you look at the comments by Baseball America they are not impressed by the Aggies still. So that probably does not bode well for the rest of the conference, especially when teams continue to lose mid-week games.

Try not to be so defensive next time and pay attention to really how bad baseball has gotten in these parts..
 
Rank Rating W L W L Conference

1 0.589 224 133 224 134 Pac 10
2 0.588 335 193 338 193 ACC
3 0.572 324 206 325 206 SEC
4 0.572 264 164 275 165 Big 12
5 0.557 236 157 236 157 C-USA
6 0.550 189 168 191 168 Big West


This time last year A&M and Texas were both top 6 and Nebraska and Missouri were both top 25. To show how good the conference was last year, A&M was 13-13 in conference with Top 8 RPI

This year the teams that are near .500 in conference are Texas #36 and Missour #41
 
Barton Hills - In your opinion, do you think Texas will be in the field of 64. I do not see how we can be higher than a 3 seed, and will not host a regional. I am conerned about being selected in the field of 64. Remember Stanford a couple of years ago was omitted. Your thoughts? Thanks.
 
Here is how I see it, with a possible 9 regular season games left, and 3 in the Big XII Tourney.

We must win all three of our OOC games, which won't be easy. Texas State is solid, DBU is slated as a Tourney team on the last projection I saw.

We must also take 4 of 6 from Baylor and A&M. Very difficult. If we lose the BU series we dig our own grave.

In the Big XII Tourney we must go 2-1 in the round robin. Hopefully one of the 2 wins will be against the Top 4 in the conference.

Now this has some flexibility if we do better than expected in one of the three areas listed above ... for example, if we go only 3-3 vs BU/A&M, but then go 3-0 in the Big XII and advance to the Final we should be OK.

Just my two cents. With our recent success I expect the name "Texas" will be hard to keep out of the field. I predict a #3 seed as well.

As I stated last week, some host team is going to be EXTREMELY pissed to see the Horns as the #3 in their Regional, assuming we make it that far.
 
"Aggies have a terrible RPI..." - Media Man

Let's be accurate & objective here guys.

A&M's RPI is in the top 20 & should rise with games to come. I remember their 13-13 Big 12 record last year cost them hosting a Super Regional even after posting a top 10 RPI & winning the conference tourney, then winning their own Regional. A&M lost at Rice in the Supers of course. RPI definitely is the barometer for the committee (SOS, ISR, etc.).

Plus, they still play at Lincoln so that will help as well (& upcoming weekend series with DBU, a solid team, & of course Texas). TCU is an OOC game Tues. for them fwiw. I don't see RPI being a problem for A&M esp. with games left to play. I see Texas going to Reckling for Regionals too.

Here are the RPI rankings as of now (4-28-08)...

Division I Overall
Rank Rating W L W L Team

1 0.660 36 5 36 5 Miami, Florida
2 0.655 35 7 35 7 Florida State
3 0.653 38 8 38 8 North Carolina
4 0.639 35 7 35 7 Arizona State
5 0.619 30 11 32 11 Oklahoma State
6 0.618 34 11 34 11 Rice
7 0.611 31 8 32 8 Nebraska
8 0.610 30 13 30 13 North Carolina State
9 0.610 28 10 28 10 UC Irvine
10 0.609 32 13 32 13 East Carolina
11 0.609 28 13 28 13 Arizona
12 0.608 25 13 25 13 Stanford
13 0.608 29 14 29 14 Georgia
14 0.607 20 14 20 14 Oregon State
15 0.606 31 13 31 13 Southern Mississippi
16 0.606 37 7 37 7 Texas A&M
17 0.606 31 14 31 14 South Carolina
18 0.606 36 9 36 9 Coastal Carolina
19 0.602 26 15 26 15 Cal State Fullerton
20 0.600 27 16 27 16 Florida

Top 8 national seeds if today IMO: Miami, FSU, UNC, ASU, Georgia, Rice, & 2 others from among NEB, A&M, Ok State, Stanford, UCI, maybe others ??.
 
I think a trip to Rice would almost be more than the horns deserve. In addition, even though we are not in the same conference, three regular season meetings will make the committee look elsewhere. Given the record, I think they are going to punish Texas. No short drive to Rice, maybe a return to Fullerton for Augie.
 
Having to travel a longer distance seems to be the only real difference between being a 2 or 3 seed. Number 2 at Rice would be a possiblity, but as a 3 seed, I would predict a west coast trip.
 
If we win today I believe we will earn a regional spot on the road @ Florida State or some where on the east coast.
hookem.gif
 
For purely selfish reasons, I'd like to see Texas go to ASU so that way I can see them play once I'm done with school so I can heckle.
 
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