Will Mitt lose the House for the Repulicans ...

[Burnt Orangeman]

as well as the presidency?

 

[Leftwith]

lol

This board will be liberal-free on November 7th.

Keep clinging to those bogus polls using the 2008 turnout as their model. Reality will not be kind to you.

Your only chance is if the Dems manage to rig it. (very possible)

 

[WashU-Horn]

So, on November 7th, Leftwith will be left with the right. And the fascist right. Good for him.

And if Obama wins... it will be because the dems rigged it all... not because the polls told us all along; because all these polls of likely voters are somehow linked to the 2008 turnout.

Got it! Thank you for letting us know.

 

[NEWDOC2002]

Not sure of the outcome but I can guarantee posters will continue to post ludicrous questions without any support or links to back themselves.

 

[Michtex]

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[DFWAg]

I am reading the Price of Politics right now. It had an interesting view of the GOP house backers and how they can be divided up. It basically went:

1) Tea Party backed candidates
2) Moderates
3) Old crusty entrenched types that will die at their desks
4) People up for re-election and have postured in the least controversial manner.

Basically the point was that Obamacare was embraced whole hog by Dem Senate, House, and Exec branch folks and that is the reason that last congressional election was such a historic rebuke. The GOP is more fractured these days with different pockets of backers have varying degrees of allegiance to Romney. So the chances of wholesale failures like we saw more recently are slim.

 

[I35]

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[Mr. Deez]

Back to the original topic . . .

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[WashU-Horn]

What the hell are you talking about? Most polls showed that Walker had a slight to comfortable lead over Barrett.
The Link

Walker actually won the union vote and 70% of Wisconsin voters were against the recall.

But hey, never let the facts get in the way, right?

 

[pasotex]

I have not followed the House projections, but the latest I saw on the Senate has it 52-48 Democrats (this is really 50-2-48 Democrats because the two independents caucus with the Democrats). I think things were much closer a month ago. I have always found Nate Silver's 538 blog to pretty solid on the overall numbers and projections particularly close to the election.

 

[DFWAg]

Commentary about House Models

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[WashU-Horn]

The Statistical State of the Race
The Link

From 538: Nate Silver's political calculus.

 

[Mr. Deez]

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[pasotex]

I would be very surprised bordering on shocked if the Republican's do not keep the House. I still think the Senate winds up at 50-50 or maybe 51-49.