Why Trump is Routing the Free Traders

Musburger1

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http://buchanan.org/blog/trump-routing-free-traders-125393
By Patrick J. Buchanan

In Tuesday’s indictment of free trade as virtual economic treason, The Donald has really set the cat down among the pigeons.

For, in denouncing NAFTA, the WTO, MFN for China and the Trans-Pacific Partnership, all backed by Bush I and II, Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, Trump is all but calling his own party leaders dunderheads and losers.

And he seems to be winning the argument.

As he calls for the repudiation of “globalism” and a return to “Americanism,” a Republican Congress renders itself mute on whether it will even vote on the TPP this year.

On trade, Bernie Sanders is closer to Trump. Even Hillary Clinton has begun to renounce a TPP she once called the “gold standard” of trade deals.

Where have all the troubadours of free trade gone? Why do economic patriots seem ascendant? Is this like the Cold War, where the other side gets up and goes home?

Answer. As Trump pointed out in Monessen in the Mon Valley of Pennsylvania, the returns from free trade are in, and the results are rotten.

Since Bush I, we have run $12 trillion in trade deficits, $4 trillion with China. Once a Maoist dump, China has become the greatest manufacturing power on earth. Meanwhile, the U.S. has lost 50,000 factories and a third of its manufacturing jobs.

Trump is going to start a “trade war,” wail the critics.

But the damage wreaked upon U.S. industry by free traders already rivals what Arthur “Bomber” Harris did for German industry in the Ruhr.

In recent decades, every major U.S. trade partner — China, Japan, Canada, Mexico, EU — has run annual trade surpluses at our expense. How do 40 years of trade deficits in goods, run by a nation that rarely ran one for a century before, make us stronger or wealthier?

Or is what is best for the world now more important than what is best for America?

And here we come to the heart of the argument.

Washington, Hamilton, and Henry Clay, father of the “American System,” and Lincoln and every Republican president up to Eisenhower, crafted trade policies to promote manufacturing to grow the wealth of the USA.

They were patriots not globalists.

They knew that America’s political independence required economic independence of all other nations. They wanted to build an economy where Americans would cut their bonds to foreign lands and come to rely upon one another for the needs and necessities of their national life. They sought to make us independent, so that we could not be dragged by economic ties into the inevitable wars of the Old World.

And they succeeded magnificently.

Britain, which embraced free trade in the 1840s, became so reliant on imports that a few dozen German submarines almost knocked her out of World War I. Protectionist America had to come pull her chestnuts out of the fire.

Free trade ideology is not America-made. It is an alien faith, a cargo cult, smuggled in from the old continent, the work of men Edmund Burke called “sophisters, economists, and calculators.”

David Ricardo, James and John Stuart Mill, Richard Cobden, all chatterers and scribblers, none of whom ever built a great nation, declared free trade to be the new New Testament, the salvation of mankind.

These men in whose souls the old faith was dying seized on a utopian belief that world government and free trade would be the salvation of mankind. The Economist magazine was founded to preach the heresy.

Before the modern era, Americans never bought into it. But now, our elites have. And, undeniably, there are beneficiaries to free trade.

There are first the owners, operators and shareholders of companies who, to be rid of high-wage American labor, moved production to China or Mexico or where the costs are lower and regulations near nonexistent.

Transnational companies, their K Street lobbyists, and media that survive on their advertising dollars, are the biggest boosters of free trade, as they are the biggest beneficiaries.

Consumers, too, at least initially, see more products down at the mall, selling at lower prices. Cheap consumer goods are the bribes free traders proffer to patriots to sell out their country and countrymen to capitalists who have no country.

But we are not simply consumers. We are Americans. We are fellow citizens. We are neighbors. We have duties to one another.

When a factory shuts down and a town begins to die, workers are laid off. The local tax base shrinks, education and social services are cut. Folks go on unemployment and food stamps. We all pay for that.

Wives go to work and kids come home from school to empty houses, and families break up, and move away. Social disintegration follows.

“Creative destruction” is the antiseptic term free traders use to describe what they have done and are doing to the America we grew up in.

Southeast of the old Steel City, in the Mon Valley of Pennsylvania, where my mother and her six brothers and her sister grew up, folks describe what happened more poignantly and graphically.
 
I find it odd any time a capitalism-loving, red-blooded American like Pat tries to stand up for the manufacturing/factory industries in the U.S.

It will never be what it once was, and while that's sad for places like Steel City in terms of losing their 1950s way of life, NAFTA has created 3 jobs in our own country's borders for every 1 factory job that has moved to Mexico. So is their end game the economy? Manufacturing isn't going to fix that. Cutting down labor unions at the knees doesn't help the argument either. The American System that he speaks of is the product of a bygone era in which our economy wasn't linked to the rest of the world's... oh and we also went through about 7 economic depressions during it.

My wife's uncle was the president of a major camping goods corporation back in the 60s. Japanese guys came over to tour their production facilities. Then they opened up factories using the same production methods for half the cost and put his company under. He went to testify at Congress about protective tariffs to save American manufacturing. When asked by a Republican committee member if consumers should pay twice as much for his similar product during an economic downturn (early 70s), he basically gave the same response that Pat Buchanan did. You're unpatriotic if you accept Walmart prices.

Cheap consumer goods are the bribes free traders proffer to patriots to sell out their country and countrymen to capitalists who have no country.

I guess you could just tell the middle class to double their salaries to pay for the American manufacturing that I'm sure Trump will bring back. Oh, wait... no he won't. His own business practices wouldn't pull that ****, let alone his commander-in-chiefness.

So it's not an economic argument... it's just "we should make America the way it used to be when moms stayed home with kids and things seemed fine" argument.
 
You can't simply "bring back manufacturing". 66% of the manufacturing jobs that were lost were not due to oversees influence but rather efficiencies in the manufacturing process. Technology is the primary culprit of that manufacturing job loss. Walk into any auto factory in the country and you'll see where the jobs went. This isn't just a US problem but an industrialized world problem. Look at the manufacturing powerhouse of South Korea or Taiwan which is finding their neighbors who are less developed delivering any new manufacturing needs for a fraction of the cost due to lower wage labor. Guess what? China will hit a point too when they reach a development stage where other countries can manufacture cheaper due to lower wage labor.

We've transitioned to a service economy. Western Europe has too. The question is, are you providing a highly valued service (legal, IT consulting, etc) or flipping burgers?
 
I'm not sure where I stand on this issue. You made many valid points. Unlike the 50s and 60s, other nations began to catch up and became competitive; Japan began making cars and so forth. Where trade agreements hurt working Americans is when American companies began moving production overseas (and Mexico) and then shipped the products to America to be sold. The cost of production decreased which increased corporate profits. The trade off being slightly lower prices for consumers. But even if Trump is able to return production to the United States, robotics and automation will see to it the highly paid manufacturing jobs will not be needed to run the factories.

Self-driving vehicles are expected to eliminate tens of thousands of trucking jobs within a decade. This will lower transportation costs and make products more affordable, but it also will reduce income for tens of thousands of people whose services aren't needed.

Communism failed, and it's very possible capitalism will fail as well if large segments of the population are no longer productive. An economic system based on growth and tax revenue can't continue if incomes don't grow.
 
You can't simply "bring back manufacturing". 66% of the manufacturing jobs that were lost were not due to oversees influence but rather efficiencies in the manufacturing process. Technology is the primary culprit of that manufacturing job loss. Walk into any auto factory in the country and you'll see where the jobs went. This isn't just a US problem but an industrialized world problem. Look at the manufacturing powerhouse of South Korea or Taiwan which is finding their neighbors who are less developed delivering any new manufacturing needs for a fraction of the cost due to lower wage labor. Guess what? China will hit a point too when they reach a development stage where other countries can manufacture cheaper due to lower wage labor.

We've transitioned to a service economy. Western Europe has too. The question is, are you providing a highly valued service (legal, IT consulting, etc) or flipping burgers?
Even much of the service economy will come under pressure. Software is making many legal services obsolete. Skills such as writing code is a field that will soon be taken over by AI (artificial intelligence). Every innovation is deflationary, but in a debt based system, inflation is required to sustain debt servicing. Something has to eventually give.
 

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