I hate to say it, but I think Obama wins re-election. The idiot factor+Republican suckitude is a lot to over come. The R's suck at getting their message out and they always get sidetracked by useless pledges, causes. Casey Anthony has better PR than Republicans.
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This is true but I do not think the economy is going to improve. the only way for that to happen is for the real estate market to get better and it won't. there is no capital available. banks are not going to loan money out to build in the states with a depleted real estate market. corporations have learned to run on a more streamlined budget and are making profits and are not going to hire lots of new people (unless its really necessesary) with the healthcare bill kicking in next year. The energy sector is hiring because we actually need the people, but that is it as far as i know. You have to look at the election from a more practical standpoint. 35% of voters are registered republicans and vote that way. same with democrats. you are not going to have the fired up independent electorate out there wanting to vote for obama. the swing state independents that voted for obama last time are not going to do it this time imo. i don't think it matters who the republicans put up there. frankly, i don't think it matters who wins the next election. so many tough choices will need to be made, you are going to piss off enough that there will be civil unrest. the next president is going to have to deal with real fundamental change but probably not the kind obama was talking it...or maybe it was....