What happened to Texas’ 2019 recruiting class?

That’s why it’s so hard to handicap classes. If I am not mistaken, that year we got something like 8-9 of the top 20 players in Texas, weighted heavily at the top.

So who knows what to believe or expect? I’m looking at Ryan Watt, DB at Ohio State that has portaled. The kid was # 38 in Texas for the 2020 class… That low ranking would historically not impress me. Then again, we have seen top 3 players not pan out.

I suppose the question becomes, what staff has the insight to accurately project how a 17 year old recruit will develop from an intellectual, psychological, and physical standpoint?

If the NFL hit rate on upper first round draft choice quarterbacks is only about 65 or 70% (my estimate), you have to wonder how many of these top rated kids will not pan out.

It seems to me that heart, drive and character often trumps measurables. Poona Ford would seem to be the perfect example…
 
These are 17 and 18 year-old kids who sign a Letter of Intent. All the way through elementary, junior and senior high school, they were the star of their team. They felt destined for the NFL. Growing up, I knew many who felt this way.

Now these young men are surrounded by other stars and they do not get to start or even see the field. That can be a shock to many and they look elsewhere to play.

In the mid-80's there was an SI article with an overhead shot of Nebraska at practice and the title of the article was something like "What's it like to find out you are not the best player on your team." I can't remember the actual title, but that is the upshot of the article.

Some can adjust and hopefully improve their game; some cannot.
 
Outside of Roschon, literally that entire class is a big swing-and-a-miss.

Rattler, Haselwood, and Wease were all ranked highly overall in that class and they're bolting, so I guess anything could happen.

Just watched Liebrock's film from the recruiting site again and... I'm unsure how he was rated the best overall TE and #77 overall player in the country in 2019. He spent his entire HS career flexed out and ran a bunch of RPO's until the cows came home. There's no way an average HS team can stop that.
 
moondog_LFZ said:
I don't think so.
Not like this.
Click to expand...

I don't remember what thread but I posted about this. Recently both OU and Alabama had classes with over 60% attrition. OU just continued with another Big XII champonship and Bama made the playoffs. The national average is over 40% annually. Its nothing new.
 
You can survive a class falling apart if you have other good classes around it. Texas’ problem wasn’t just 2019 blowing up it was that other classes either weren’t good enough or didn’t pan out either. OU and Bama can have a class blow up and be ok because they have other strong classes around them. Texas needs two or three good classes to get depth and have the ability to weather a 2019 type meltdown.
 
FWHORN said:
You can survive a class falling apart if you have other good classes around it. Texas’ problem wasn’t just 2019 blowing up it was that other classes either weren’t good enough or didn’t pan out either. OU and Bama can have a class blow up and be ok because they have other strong classes around them. Texas needs two or three good classes to get depth and have the ability to weather a 2019 type meltdown.
Click to expand...

Why is it only Texas has classes "not panning out"? 4 of the past 6 years are top 10 classes. One fell apart, how did the rest not pan out? This is my point.
 
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