I was pretty much outed in a previous post for alarming the begeezus out people in my subject line so I will be more distinct going forward.
For the Record Marc Lawrence is a pretty crappy handicapper even though he gets a lot of run nationally.
UPSET GAME OF THE WEEK
MISSISSIPPI over Texas by 1
Shame on us for counting on a ‘green’ Miami team to exact revenge
last week and deliver an outright upset of Kansas State. Especially
when you consider that our 4* Top Late-Phone release of UCLA was
a home dog that garnered Incredible Stat of the Week honors. Yes,
hindsight is 20-20 but we won’t make that mistake again. Thus, we’ll
grab a home dog this week where the double-digits look like pure
gravy. It appears as if the hiring of Hugh Freeze is already paying
dividends in Oxford as the Rebels are 2-0 for only the second time
in 10 seasons, outstatting both foes by a combined 1,103 yards to
658. And though we can’t expect them to put up 550 yards today,
we do know that they won’t be intimated by Texas as the Rebs’ last
two bowl wins have come against Big 12 opposition (Texas Tech in
2008 and Oklahoma State in 2009). In fact, it may be UT that tries
to tiptoe through this venue as they have not fared well against the
SEC, posting an overall 3-8 ATS mark, including 0-3 ATS on the road
and 0-5 ATS when the SEC enters off a SU win. Even ‘ol Macky Brown
is a (sukey) tawdry 1-6 SU and ATS in his career versus .700 or greater
SEC opposition. And when you toss in the SEC’s 16-12 ATS mark when
taking points against the Big 12 (including 4-1 ATS as home dogs)
along with UT’s 2-7 ATS mark as non-conference road chalk of 13 or
less points and 2-5 ATS log before dealing with Oklahoma State, you
can why the points become a must. So in the only meeting between
the SEC and Big 12 this regular season, we say take ‘em, not hook ‘em.
And don’t forget about that juicy +300 on the money line either!
For the Record Marc Lawrence is a pretty crappy handicapper even though he gets a lot of run nationally.
UPSET GAME OF THE WEEK
MISSISSIPPI over Texas by 1
Shame on us for counting on a ‘green’ Miami team to exact revenge
last week and deliver an outright upset of Kansas State. Especially
when you consider that our 4* Top Late-Phone release of UCLA was
a home dog that garnered Incredible Stat of the Week honors. Yes,
hindsight is 20-20 but we won’t make that mistake again. Thus, we’ll
grab a home dog this week where the double-digits look like pure
gravy. It appears as if the hiring of Hugh Freeze is already paying
dividends in Oxford as the Rebels are 2-0 for only the second time
in 10 seasons, outstatting both foes by a combined 1,103 yards to
658. And though we can’t expect them to put up 550 yards today,
we do know that they won’t be intimated by Texas as the Rebs’ last
two bowl wins have come against Big 12 opposition (Texas Tech in
2008 and Oklahoma State in 2009). In fact, it may be UT that tries
to tiptoe through this venue as they have not fared well against the
SEC, posting an overall 3-8 ATS mark, including 0-3 ATS on the road
and 0-5 ATS when the SEC enters off a SU win. Even ‘ol Macky Brown
is a (sukey) tawdry 1-6 SU and ATS in his career versus .700 or greater
SEC opposition. And when you toss in the SEC’s 16-12 ATS mark when
taking points against the Big 12 (including 4-1 ATS as home dogs)
along with UT’s 2-7 ATS mark as non-conference road chalk of 13 or
less points and 2-5 ATS log before dealing with Oklahoma State, you
can why the points become a must. So in the only meeting between
the SEC and Big 12 this regular season, we say take ‘em, not hook ‘em.
And don’t forget about that juicy +300 on the money line either!
