Right now, at 22-8, 11-6 is projected by Lundardi at a 6 seed:
The Link
Texas is tied with OU at 11-6 for 2nd place. OU goes to TCU; UT to Tceh.
Very unlikely that the Horns beat Tceh AND OU loses to TCU to get that #2 seed bye.
So, blow off that possibility for the moment. Assume the worst case: Horns lose to Tceh, lose their first round Big 12 game, probably fall from a potential 6 seed to somewhere around 7-9.
The dreaded 8 v. 9 game. Playing in theoretically one of the 4 most closely matched games of the tournament, those 8 v. 9s. And your reward if you win, .... well, you get to play the winner of your regional's #1 seed (yeah, they will have beaten the #16 seed, always have). Losing both games (Tceh, Big 12 first round) and dropping to a 8 v. 9 game might also ship the Horns to a less friendly regional and more distant and time-zone affecting than Indianapolis (or Memphis), like New York or Anaheim.
If the Horns win at least one of Tceh or Big 12 first round, I think they'll stay pretty close to their currently projected 6. If Lunardi is correct in the region and opponents, the Horns could have a match against either Arkansas or Nebraska in San Antonio. I would love to see either of those, just for old times sake.
A 1-point buzzer-beating win would be sweet.
Next up would likely be #3 Creighton (also in San Antonio), #2 Wisconsin, and finally the #1 Shockers of Wichita State, both latter games at Indianapolis.
That to me looks like the potentially easiest path the Horns would face in the Dance in a long time.
My best guess: Horns win a close one, maybe even OT at Lubottock (MAN, this league has a who's who of coaches, Tubby Smith, Lon Kreuger, Huggy Bear, etc. who can coach up lessor talent pretty well), lose first round Big 12 (looks like that game would be....OU again) and gets a 6 in somewhat friendly confines.
Even so, absolute worst case, 22-11, 11-7 (reg season), an NCAA bid and one and done. Still a GOOD season for this team. Hope they all return for next year.
Hook 'em
The Link
Texas is tied with OU at 11-6 for 2nd place. OU goes to TCU; UT to Tceh.
Very unlikely that the Horns beat Tceh AND OU loses to TCU to get that #2 seed bye.
So, blow off that possibility for the moment. Assume the worst case: Horns lose to Tceh, lose their first round Big 12 game, probably fall from a potential 6 seed to somewhere around 7-9.
The dreaded 8 v. 9 game. Playing in theoretically one of the 4 most closely matched games of the tournament, those 8 v. 9s. And your reward if you win, .... well, you get to play the winner of your regional's #1 seed (yeah, they will have beaten the #16 seed, always have). Losing both games (Tceh, Big 12 first round) and dropping to a 8 v. 9 game might also ship the Horns to a less friendly regional and more distant and time-zone affecting than Indianapolis (or Memphis), like New York or Anaheim.
If the Horns win at least one of Tceh or Big 12 first round, I think they'll stay pretty close to their currently projected 6. If Lunardi is correct in the region and opponents, the Horns could have a match against either Arkansas or Nebraska in San Antonio. I would love to see either of those, just for old times sake.
Next up would likely be #3 Creighton (also in San Antonio), #2 Wisconsin, and finally the #1 Shockers of Wichita State, both latter games at Indianapolis.
That to me looks like the potentially easiest path the Horns would face in the Dance in a long time.
My best guess: Horns win a close one, maybe even OT at Lubottock (MAN, this league has a who's who of coaches, Tubby Smith, Lon Kreuger, Huggy Bear, etc. who can coach up lessor talent pretty well), lose first round Big 12 (looks like that game would be....OU again) and gets a 6 in somewhat friendly confines.
Even so, absolute worst case, 22-11, 11-7 (reg season), an NCAA bid and one and done. Still a GOOD season for this team. Hope they all return for next year.
Hook 'em
