The Cliff Lee Decision

FWHORN

10,000+ Posts
As the Rangers play in game four of the ALDS this seems a good time to reflect back on the decision not to break the bank in an effort to bring back Cliff Lee this past offseason.

Like most fans I hoped the Rangers could bring him back as the jewel that would anchor an already steady if not spectacular starting rotation without him. He pitches a ton of innings each start and is a stopper of losing streaks and saver of bullpen arms. He would be a factor in winning the division. Plus excepting last years World Series his playoff record is amazing. No doubt he brought a lot to the table. But was he worth the projected money he was going to cost.

Hindsight is 20/20 but with hindsight it seems clear the right decision was made.

The Rangers won 96 games this season. Would he have increased that total? Possibly but not likely. He won 17 games for Philly and projecting him in and the fifth starter out (at 15 wins) that is a difference of two games. But can you really say that it would have meant that increase, probably not so thats a wash.

But what about the losing streak stopper and bullpen arm saver aspect. This year the solid but not spectacular staff played that role across the rotation. There wasnt a single stopper needed as everyone stepped up. Similarly very smart moves to bring in arms by management in July and August meant a rested bullpen as September and October rolled around.

The last item in consideration was his playoff success. With his loss Sunday he is now 0-3 in his last three playoff starts and the dominance is certainly not as present.

So all things considered, after one year you can certainly chalk up as a success the decision by Rangers management (particularly Nolan Ryan over the wishes of Greenberg who is now gone) to pass on breaking the bank for him.
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It is my understanding that what the Rangers are spending on Napoli and Beltre combined is what they would have spent on Lee alone. Makes you wonder where they would be if the Lee deal had gone down.
 
putting "all your eggs in one basket.." was proven very bad on A-Rod. Seems like obvious lesson learned. What if Phils blow first round and he was a loser?

Hook'em!!!
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Having now won a division title and a playoff series without him, the decision becomes even smarter.

Nolan Ryan is proving to be one heck of a managing partner.
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Philly losing tonight really puts a period to whether or not the right decision was made.
 
The Rangers front office comes off looking pretty good. Who was more valuable, Jon Daniels, Nolan Ryan or Lady Luck? Was it good fortune that kept MY from being traded basically for a pair of used batting gloves from someone willing to pick up his salary? Who knew that Napoli was capable of hitting for power and average? Young was the glue that kept the batting order together in a lineup of people who get really hot and really cold. His presence allowed the Rangers to shrug off injuries to key personnel and keep up run production.
 
Luck certainly played a role but luck is what happens when you put yourself in the right place and are there to take advantage of the opportunities that present themselves.
 
Any move made by Texas has Nolan's stamp of approval on it. Daniels may do the negotiations, but Nolan judges the talent.

Anyone thinking otherwise need only go back to last February when Greenberg went to Arkansas with Simpson (the money man) but without Nolan. The result - no Lee and no Greenberg within a month.
 
The front office definitely got lucky on the Michael Young thing. I wonder when his contract is up? I ask, because he is on a pace to get 3000 hits, and his agent now has a fantastic trump card to use. Don't you want Michael to get his #3000 as a Ranger?

I imagine those would be some tough negotiations, for both parties.
 
I still can't believe Lee went from a $100 million dollar man to not making it to the NLCS.

Philly seemed a shoe-in to do that.
 

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