BabHorn
10,000+ Posts
Texas is coming off a loss to A&M that drops them to 0-4, the worse start since the 2007-08 for seasons listed through 2001-02 when the team started off 1-3. OSU comes off a win over Colorado that leaves them at 1-3. Texas has a 3-4 record over the past three seasons, having won 2-1 at home, 1-2 on the road and 0-1 in the Big 12 tournament. Texas wins averaged 12.7 pts while losses were by an average of 3.8 pts. Texas and OSU have faced two common opponents to date: Baylor and A&M. Texas lost to both by 15 pts. OSU lost to Baylor 70-39 and to A&M 82-57. Texas is 0-2 at home in conference play while OSU is 0-2 on the road. One of those streaks will be broken Saturday afternoon.
Since OSU doesn’t have separate stats for Big 12 games, I used the Big 12 stats for them. Toni Young (# 15, 6-2 Soph. F) leads OSU in scoring (11.0 ppg) and rebounding (7.9 rpg). She is second in blocked shots at 1.25 bpg and at steals at 1.8 spg. Vicky McIntyre (# 34, 6-6 Fr. C) leads the Cowgirls in blocks at 1.5 bpg which places her fifth in the league for conference play. Carissa Crutchfield (# 5-6 Fr. G) leads them in steals with 2.5 spg. Jenni Bryan (# 11, 5-9 Fr. G/F) is their top 3pt shooter by percentage, hitting 4-10 for 40.0%. Lakyn Garrison (# 00, 5-5 Sr. G) is averaging two 3s per game.
OSU has used three different lineups in four Big 12 games. The starters for the last one, a win over Colorado: Tiffany Bias (# 3, 5-6 Fr. G); Bryan; Garrison; Lindsey Keller (# 25, 6-2 Soph. C); and Young. Of the 12 players on the roster, 11 have played in Big 12 games. The lone exception has been Jazmyn Dorsett (# 5-9 Fr. G), former teammate of Longhorn Tiffany Moore at Frisco High School. Nine of the 11 are averaging double figures in minutes played. Six freshmen and three sophomores are on the roster with only one Junior and two seniors. The last game played by OSU had one senior, two frosh and two sophs starting.
Horns are led by Chassidy’s 21.6 ppg, which is third in Big 12 play. Ashleigh adds 14.3 ppg while Kat contributes 12.3 ppg. Chassidy (10-30, 33.3%), Kat (6-17, 35.3%) and Chelsea (3-6, 50.0%) are the top 3pt threats for the Horns. Chassidy (16-18, 88.9%) and Ashleigh (11-18, 61.1%) have been the most effective at getting to the line. Chassidy, Kat (7-7, 100.0%), Kristen (7-8, 87.5%) and Tiffany (2-2, 100.0%) are the Horns hitting over 65% from the FT line. Kat’s 10.3 rpg tops the team and ranks second in the league. Ashleigh is second on the team and 10th in the league with 8.0 rpg. Three other Horns average between 4.8 and 5.3 rpg. Ashley’s 13 blocks (3.25 bpg) rank second on the league and tops the Horns. Ashleigh leads the team in steals with 6.
Of the 11 players on the roster, nine have played in the Big 12 games with eight playing in all four games. Chassidy, Kat , Ashleigh, Yvonne and Ashley have started all four conference games. Chassidy (34.8 mpg), Kat (38.0 mpg) and Ashleigh (38.5 mpg) are all averaging over 34 minutes a game. Five others are averaging at least 10 minutes a game.
Projected Starting Lineups: For OSU, it’s based on the last game, but could change as they have three different lineups in four league games and eight different players have started at least one game. Texas has had pretty much the same lineup most of the season and has started the same five in all four league games. A change would be a bit of a surprise but not totally unexpected.
[pre]
Texas OSU
Kat (6-2) Young (6-2)
Ashley (6-4) Keller (6-2)
Ashleigh (5-8) Bias (5-6)
Chassidy (5-10) Bryan (5-9)
Yvonne (5-7) Garrison (5-5)
[/pre]
Young is the main cog in OSU’s offense now that Riley is gone. She is, to this point, strictly an inside player. She has yet to take a 3pter this season and took only one last season, which she missed. While Keller is listed as a C and Young as a F, the better matchup for Texas may have Ashley on Young and Kat on Keller as Young has taken almost two and half times as many shots as Keller. Of course, if the 6-6 McIntyre starts instead of Keller, Gayle will draw that assignment while Kat will battle Young. While Bryan is the more accurate 3pt shooter for the Cowgirls, Garrison is the more prolific shooter from BTA. Horns can’t afford to leave either open BTA. The problem for OSU will be who to use to clamp down on Chassidy. Bias and Crutchfield are the top thieves for the Cowgirls. But will they be used to shadow Chassidy or to apply pressure to the players bringing up the ball for the Horns? I would expect Anne Marie to get double digit minutes against an opponent that looks to slow the game down. The Horns bench should get a lot of minutes as Texas pushes the pace as often as possible.Big 12 stats. Texas is 0-4 and OSU is 1-3. Big 12 rankings are in parentheses. A tie with other teams is denoted by a (t)
[pre]
TEAM STATISTICS Texas OSU
--------------------------------------------------
SCORING................. 284 199
Points per game....... 71.0 (3) 49.8 (12)
Scoring margin........ -9.7 (8) -16.2 (12)
FIELD GOALS-ATT......... 101-278 72-229
Field goal pct........ .363 (9) .314 (12)
FGs made per game .... 25.3 18.0
FGs Att. per game .... 69.5 57.3
FGs Att. per minute... 1.74 1.43
2 POINT FG-ATT........... 78-204 57-163
2-point FG pct........ .382 .350
2-pt FG made per game. 19.5 14.3
2-pt FG Att. per game. 51.0 40.8
3 POINT FG-ATT........... 23-74 15-66
3-point FG pct........ .311 (5) .227 (11)
3-pt FG made per game. 5.8 (t-3) 3.8 (10)
3-pt FG Att. per game. 18.5 16.5
FREE THROWS-ATT......... 59-91 (8) 40-62 (9)
Free throw pct........ .648 .645
F-Throws made per game 14.8 10.0
F-Throws Att. per game 22.8 15.5
REBOUNDS................ 190 136
Rebounds per game..... 47.5 (1) 34.0 (12)
Rebounding margin..... +0.0 (6) -9.0 (11)
ASSISTS................. 39 28
Assists per game...... 9.8 (t-10) 7.0 (12)
TURNOVERS............... 65 67
Turnovers per game.... 16.3 16.8
Turnover margin....... -5.0 (10) +2.5 (3)
Assist/turnover ratio. 0.6 (9) 0.4 (12)
STEALS.................. 19 28
Steals per game....... 4.8 (11) 7.0 (5)
BLOCKS.................. 21 15
Blocks per game....... 5.3 (2) 3.8 (6)
ATTENDANCE.............. 11158 4076
Home games-Avg/Game... 2-5579 (6) 2-2038 (10)
SCORE BY PERIODS: 1st 2nd OT OT2 Total
-------------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----
Texas............... 91 112 16 - 219
OSU................. 100 99 - 199
Ave. Score by Half: 1st 2nd OT OT2 Total
-------------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----
Texas............... 30.3 37.3 5.3 - 73.0
OSU................. 25.0 24.8 - 49.8 [/pre]
Horns should dominate the boards. OSU is poor in rebounding, giving up 9 more boards a game than they grab. There is likely to be around 70-80 boards up for grabs. The Horns’ ability to get second chance pts will be critical. But OSU has held their own in that category with only A&M really getting separation in that area. OSU has had trouble in league games in guarding the 3pt line. With proper screenings, Chassidy, Kat and Chelsea could put on a shooting display from BTA. I’m looking for Ashleigh and Yvonne toregain their shooting touch also. OSU has done a very good job of managing TOs. This is one area where they appear to have an edge over Texas. While they had 24 TOs against A&M, they forced 20. Against Baylor, they had 13 TOs while forcing the Lady Bears into 19. Neither team has done well in moving the ball to find the open player as Texas ranks 10th and OSU 12th in assists. With OSU hitting a meager 22.7% from BTA, look for them to take the ball inside. They tried to hit from BTA against Baylor with Griner guarding the lane and were 3-26 from there. While they were 8-29 from BTA in their win against Colorado, they will face a lot more pressure from Texas when they shoot the 3. Their best option, with Ashley in the paint, may be to take the mid-range jumper where the percentages are better than the 3pter and still far away from the lane that Ashley is unlikely to block the shot. Just my thoughts.
The okstate.com preview.
The texassports.com preview.
Bevo’s Bargains
Since OSU doesn’t have separate stats for Big 12 games, I used the Big 12 stats for them. Toni Young (# 15, 6-2 Soph. F) leads OSU in scoring (11.0 ppg) and rebounding (7.9 rpg). She is second in blocked shots at 1.25 bpg and at steals at 1.8 spg. Vicky McIntyre (# 34, 6-6 Fr. C) leads the Cowgirls in blocks at 1.5 bpg which places her fifth in the league for conference play. Carissa Crutchfield (# 5-6 Fr. G) leads them in steals with 2.5 spg. Jenni Bryan (# 11, 5-9 Fr. G/F) is their top 3pt shooter by percentage, hitting 4-10 for 40.0%. Lakyn Garrison (# 00, 5-5 Sr. G) is averaging two 3s per game.
OSU has used three different lineups in four Big 12 games. The starters for the last one, a win over Colorado: Tiffany Bias (# 3, 5-6 Fr. G); Bryan; Garrison; Lindsey Keller (# 25, 6-2 Soph. C); and Young. Of the 12 players on the roster, 11 have played in Big 12 games. The lone exception has been Jazmyn Dorsett (# 5-9 Fr. G), former teammate of Longhorn Tiffany Moore at Frisco High School. Nine of the 11 are averaging double figures in minutes played. Six freshmen and three sophomores are on the roster with only one Junior and two seniors. The last game played by OSU had one senior, two frosh and two sophs starting.
Horns are led by Chassidy’s 21.6 ppg, which is third in Big 12 play. Ashleigh adds 14.3 ppg while Kat contributes 12.3 ppg. Chassidy (10-30, 33.3%), Kat (6-17, 35.3%) and Chelsea (3-6, 50.0%) are the top 3pt threats for the Horns. Chassidy (16-18, 88.9%) and Ashleigh (11-18, 61.1%) have been the most effective at getting to the line. Chassidy, Kat (7-7, 100.0%), Kristen (7-8, 87.5%) and Tiffany (2-2, 100.0%) are the Horns hitting over 65% from the FT line. Kat’s 10.3 rpg tops the team and ranks second in the league. Ashleigh is second on the team and 10th in the league with 8.0 rpg. Three other Horns average between 4.8 and 5.3 rpg. Ashley’s 13 blocks (3.25 bpg) rank second on the league and tops the Horns. Ashleigh leads the team in steals with 6.
Of the 11 players on the roster, nine have played in the Big 12 games with eight playing in all four games. Chassidy, Kat , Ashleigh, Yvonne and Ashley have started all four conference games. Chassidy (34.8 mpg), Kat (38.0 mpg) and Ashleigh (38.5 mpg) are all averaging over 34 minutes a game. Five others are averaging at least 10 minutes a game.
Projected Starting Lineups: For OSU, it’s based on the last game, but could change as they have three different lineups in four league games and eight different players have started at least one game. Texas has had pretty much the same lineup most of the season and has started the same five in all four league games. A change would be a bit of a surprise but not totally unexpected.
[pre]
Texas OSU
Kat (6-2) Young (6-2)
Ashley (6-4) Keller (6-2)
Ashleigh (5-8) Bias (5-6)
Chassidy (5-10) Bryan (5-9)
Yvonne (5-7) Garrison (5-5)
[/pre]
Young is the main cog in OSU’s offense now that Riley is gone. She is, to this point, strictly an inside player. She has yet to take a 3pter this season and took only one last season, which she missed. While Keller is listed as a C and Young as a F, the better matchup for Texas may have Ashley on Young and Kat on Keller as Young has taken almost two and half times as many shots as Keller. Of course, if the 6-6 McIntyre starts instead of Keller, Gayle will draw that assignment while Kat will battle Young. While Bryan is the more accurate 3pt shooter for the Cowgirls, Garrison is the more prolific shooter from BTA. Horns can’t afford to leave either open BTA. The problem for OSU will be who to use to clamp down on Chassidy. Bias and Crutchfield are the top thieves for the Cowgirls. But will they be used to shadow Chassidy or to apply pressure to the players bringing up the ball for the Horns? I would expect Anne Marie to get double digit minutes against an opponent that looks to slow the game down. The Horns bench should get a lot of minutes as Texas pushes the pace as often as possible.Big 12 stats. Texas is 0-4 and OSU is 1-3. Big 12 rankings are in parentheses. A tie with other teams is denoted by a (t)
[pre]
TEAM STATISTICS Texas OSU
--------------------------------------------------
SCORING................. 284 199
Points per game....... 71.0 (3) 49.8 (12)
Scoring margin........ -9.7 (8) -16.2 (12)
FIELD GOALS-ATT......... 101-278 72-229
Field goal pct........ .363 (9) .314 (12)
FGs made per game .... 25.3 18.0
FGs Att. per game .... 69.5 57.3
FGs Att. per minute... 1.74 1.43
2 POINT FG-ATT........... 78-204 57-163
2-point FG pct........ .382 .350
2-pt FG made per game. 19.5 14.3
2-pt FG Att. per game. 51.0 40.8
3 POINT FG-ATT........... 23-74 15-66
3-point FG pct........ .311 (5) .227 (11)
3-pt FG made per game. 5.8 (t-3) 3.8 (10)
3-pt FG Att. per game. 18.5 16.5
FREE THROWS-ATT......... 59-91 (8) 40-62 (9)
Free throw pct........ .648 .645
F-Throws made per game 14.8 10.0
F-Throws Att. per game 22.8 15.5
REBOUNDS................ 190 136
Rebounds per game..... 47.5 (1) 34.0 (12)
Rebounding margin..... +0.0 (6) -9.0 (11)
ASSISTS................. 39 28
Assists per game...... 9.8 (t-10) 7.0 (12)
TURNOVERS............... 65 67
Turnovers per game.... 16.3 16.8
Turnover margin....... -5.0 (10) +2.5 (3)
Assist/turnover ratio. 0.6 (9) 0.4 (12)
STEALS.................. 19 28
Steals per game....... 4.8 (11) 7.0 (5)
BLOCKS.................. 21 15
Blocks per game....... 5.3 (2) 3.8 (6)
ATTENDANCE.............. 11158 4076
Home games-Avg/Game... 2-5579 (6) 2-2038 (10)
SCORE BY PERIODS: 1st 2nd OT OT2 Total
-------------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----
Texas............... 91 112 16 - 219
OSU................. 100 99 - 199
Ave. Score by Half: 1st 2nd OT OT2 Total
-------------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----
Texas............... 30.3 37.3 5.3 - 73.0
OSU................. 25.0 24.8 - 49.8 [/pre]
Horns should dominate the boards. OSU is poor in rebounding, giving up 9 more boards a game than they grab. There is likely to be around 70-80 boards up for grabs. The Horns’ ability to get second chance pts will be critical. But OSU has held their own in that category with only A&M really getting separation in that area. OSU has had trouble in league games in guarding the 3pt line. With proper screenings, Chassidy, Kat and Chelsea could put on a shooting display from BTA. I’m looking for Ashleigh and Yvonne toregain their shooting touch also. OSU has done a very good job of managing TOs. This is one area where they appear to have an edge over Texas. While they had 24 TOs against A&M, they forced 20. Against Baylor, they had 13 TOs while forcing the Lady Bears into 19. Neither team has done well in moving the ball to find the open player as Texas ranks 10th and OSU 12th in assists. With OSU hitting a meager 22.7% from BTA, look for them to take the ball inside. They tried to hit from BTA against Baylor with Griner guarding the lane and were 3-26 from there. While they were 8-29 from BTA in their win against Colorado, they will face a lot more pressure from Texas when they shoot the 3. Their best option, with Ashley in the paint, may be to take the mid-range jumper where the percentages are better than the 3pter and still far away from the lane that Ashley is unlikely to block the shot. Just my thoughts.
The okstate.com preview.
The texassports.com preview.
Bevo’s Bargains
