Surprises Tomorrow on NSD?

HornSwoggler

HornSwoggler

Horn Fan
Will there be any surprises tomorrow for UT on National Signing Day?

Are there any active recruiting targets on the radar?

Does Texas hold onto the current 15 verbal commits?
 
One thing that will NOT be a surprise is to watch Mack smear lipstick on
this class, ask us to pucker up, and tell us how quality is much more
important than quantity. Of course if he had not had so many defections
that would NOT be the message. Clap, clap, clap.
 
The only surprise will be if Mack doesn't lose anymore of tomorrows commits.
 
It's not so much rats abandoning a sinking ship. More like them abandoning ship before it sails, because they know it could very well sink.
 
I sure agree that defensively, UT is having a very bad year with in-state stars. I agree with many of the above points but some are exaggerated or a matter of semantics. If a recruit has no interest in going to UT from the git-go, I don't consider it a miss. Some kids wouldn't go to UT if it was their only offer just as some would not go to TAMU period.

Losing a recruit to a top level program such as DB Smith to Alabama is unfortunate but Texas was in play for him for a long time. However, UT got the top DB in Davis at least according to some listings. Not sure but I think Miles falls into the Never Gonna Go To Austin group.

Losing an OOS DB such as Luke to ND is not surprising. I would never count on an OOS recruit as anything but a bonus.

IIRC, LB Mitchell was viewed by UT coaches as a DL not a LB. He had no desire to play DL so he was never likely to go to UT. That evaluation may have been a miss but only time will tell.

One thing I hate about the whole recruiting process is the verbal commitment. For whatever reason, verbal commitments can not be relied on and can hurt both the athlete and the team depending on the circumstances. It seems to me that verbal commitments are more trouble than they are worth. I would move the earliest offer date to much later in the process and make it at least later than a recruits senior season.
 
I would do away with NSD.
I would install a mandatory 24 hr waiting period after a visit before you could commit.
(IOW, they have to go home & sleep on it 1 night first)
Annnnd... I would install a 48 hr signing limit after the 24 hr wait is up. IOW. if you verbally commit, you have a 72 hr window to sign your LOI. Otherwise, you can not sign at that. school once it expires.
Soooo... if you like a school, wait to commit until you are absolutely certain that you are going to sign there or you will lose that school as a choice.

Guarantee ya that de-commits would basically be a thing of the past.

HOOK 'EM,
Texdoc
smile.gif
 
I like that idea, doc!

It would be interesting to see how many HS underclassmen would be offered. The most elite would still get offers early but I think most recruits would have to wait for offers later in their HS careers.

A decommitting recruit would have to sit out a year or move to a lower NCAA division.

Then, add that an oversigning institution would forfeit $XXXXXX and Y scholarships.
 
I believe every recruit needs an education on the meaning of 'commitment'....try to play a hand of poker in Vegas and commit /bet your chips as 'all in'; then try to take your bet back! please I really did not mean it!
 
I expect no big surprises on signing day. What is kinda funny is the slowly unfolding surprises that follow. Kids we were excited to get will show up on campus and underperform. Kids we were despondent about missing out on will fall on their faces and be a pain in the butt for the colleges where they signed. Kids we didn't get excited about at all will have a light come on and become great players here or elsewhere. After a while I guess the big surprise is that I continue to be so damned interested in who signs where.
 
Crockett,
I feel the same way. For me, I think it is also a combination of filling the void of the offseason and seeing the potential future of the Horns team. I just wish we were privy to the thought processes involved in selecting recruits and making offers.

My gut says there will be no surprises tomorrow but I hope I am wrong from the standpoint of adding an unexpected stud. There is not much scholarship room for much activity.
 
We're done. No surprises this year. Won't be surprised if we lose a couple on signing day. Don't know who that might be but I expect it. Since 2006 we've missed on a lot if kids that wanted to come to Texas but were snubbed or recruited at a position they did not want. Kids that committed early then bailed probably looked at the program and performances and thought that there is a real lack of development. Couple that with the SEC coming in touted as the premier conference to give a kid a shot at playing in a conference where the NC lives, and their heads turn, we've seen that already.
 
Right on the money, Crockett. Just look at the draft busts and surprises that happen in the NFL every year. And then remember that these kids are 3-5 years younger and much harder to evaluate than those kids are. This is much more of a crap shoot than many of us are willing to admit to.

It certainly won't be this class that spells the end for Mack if he's eventually forced out. It'll be the highly ranked classes of the preceding 2, 3, 4 years that failed to develop that do it.
 
Last years class has a lot of potential. Liked what I saw from them. What we continue to not get is a top flight QB. Looks like a miss once again. That's the difference in 2 wins a season the last 3 years.
 
A couple of years ago TCU beat Wisconsin in the Rose Bowl. The friggin' ROSE BOWL.

I remember at that time going to Rivals to check out TCU's and Wisconsin's track record on recruiting for the 4-5 years leading up to that game.

TCU wasn't even a blip on the radar; I think Wisconsin MAY have had a recruiting year where they were rated at about 15th nationally.

Now, I know, a bit of apples and oranges, comparing UT to TCU and Wisconsin. But this was a BCS bowl and they made it with 2-3 star recruits with a periodic 4 star, IIRC, NO 5 star high school talent.

Certainly, the first priority for a major college football program head coach is recruiting; you've got a much greater chance of succeeding if you get the best talent to work with.

But then you have to work with them.

I think that's become more of a recent problem at the 40 acres.

This year's UT recruiting class, though not high in number due to a pretty full roster already, is still considered a top-10 when evaluated by "average stars."

Texas is NOT hurting for talent. Not yet. And won't for a couple of years.

It's the USE of that talent that I"m more concerned about.

Hook 'em
 
Andy Dalton was a 3-star recruit out of Katy, TX with a Rivals QB rating of 5.5:

The Link

David Ash was a 3-star recruit out of Belton, TX with a Rivals QB rating of 5.7:

The Link

I guess the question could be posed: "If we could go back in time and David Ash was in Andy Dalton's shoes at TCU would they have gotten to/won the Rose Bowl, and if UT would have Andy Dalton right now would he be performing as well in Austin as he did in Fort Worth?"

I know, a goofy question, but their ratings/physical attributes were virtually identical upon leaving high school. Actually, Ash was rated 0.2 higher than Dalton, was 2" taller, 15 pounds heavier, and 0.1 second faster in the 40.

Aside from just natural variability/chance, maybe coaching has something to do with what's going on?
 
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