Strength of Schedule ...

Barton Hills

1,000+ Posts
So ... let's talk strength of schedule. We are currently #6 in the country in the polls, but I was surprised to see that we only play three more ranked teams all year. And possibly only two. Pretty likely that BU may not be ranked come March 6th.
Our SOS is #73 as of today. I was surprised to see this after games vs UNC, MSU, UCONN, etc. We are 2-2 against teams currently ranked. What are the chances that SOS actually "hurts" us down the stretch in regard to getting a #1 seed?

A quick glance shows that the Top 5 all appear to have stronger schedules from here on out ...

UK plays 5 more ranked teams
KU plays 3 more
Nova plays 6 more
Cuse plays 4 more
MSU plays 4 more

Current SOS of the Top 5

UK (150)
KU (52)
Nova (18)
Cuse (48)
Mich St (59)
 
That number will go up as we get into Big XII play. Having said that, I think the team got some bad luck in how some of its nonconference opponents have panned out this year. That's why the UConn loss really hurts, IMO.
 
We need to win the Big 12. If that doesn't happen, it might not matter what our RPI is...There is a LOT of basketball left to be played, but at this point in the season, I'd argue #1 seeds will go to the following:
Kentucky
Big East Champion ('Cuse, Nova at this point)
Big 12 Champion (KU, Texas)

That leaves only one #1 seed between the following:
Michigan St
Big East Runner Up
Big 12 Runner Up
ACC Champion

I'd have to think the money would be on the Big East runner up to have the highest RPI among those three, although the Big East does have some real garbage at the bottom of their league that could really bring down an RPI.

...and of course, it gets really sticky if the Big 12 and/or Big East have different regular season and conference tournament champs.

Also, the way the regional sites are set up, this could be a year where a #1 seed gets screwed by having to play a #2 in front of a virtual home crown for the #2. For example, the Carrier Dome and Syracuse is hosting the East Regional, but because a host can't play on its home court, most projections at this point would have Syracuse going to Salt Lake City if they make it to a #1 seed. Salt Lake City would be a prime place to send BYU as a #2 if the season ended today...especially considering the Salt Lake Regional will be played on a Thurs/Sat, which wouldn't conflict with BYU's restriction of not playing on Sundays.

...or I could see one of the following #1/#2 mixes playing out: Kentucky/KU in St Louis, KU/Texas in Houston.
 
I have a hard time talking about a # 1 or # 2 seed for the Texas team i have seen the past 4 or 5 games. I am not giving up on them but with this team I think we need to take one game at a time.
 
Dude, get a grip! It's way too early to be worrying about seeding in the tourny. If we keep it up, we won't even be a top 4 seed in the big 12 tourny.
 

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